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Another year, another Bill James handbook: A treat
on December 13, 2013
I look forward to each year's new edition of The Bill James Handbook. This one is no exception.
One, there is accountability. The Handbook predicts performance of individual players in the coming year. And, afterwards, one can see how well the projections performed.
Two, record and Hall of Fame projections. Odds of pitchers getting to 300 wins? Justin Verlander ranks # 1, with a 30% chance (not very encouraging). 3,000 hits? Alex Rodriguez is listed at 98% likely (but if a suspension?). Then, Adrian Beltre at 81%. 762 home runs? Miguel Cabrera at a measly 13%. Etc.
Then, projections for pitchers. I am a White Sox fan and am curious about Chris Sale. He is predicted to have a 3.08 ERA and a 15-10 record. Hitting? Adam Dunn is projected to hit 32 home runs and 86 RBIs, with another underwhelming batting average--.211.
Leading candidates for the Hall of Fame? A score of 100 indicates a near sure thing to get into the Hall. Among those with this score: Mariano Rivera (no brainer), Manny Ramirez, Chipper Jones, Alex Rodriguez (we shall see, given the allegations), Derek Jeter, Vlad Guerrero, Ichiro Suzuki, Albert Pujols, and Miguel Cabrera.
Then the individual player statistics for 2013. And so on and so on. A myriad intriguing statistics.
Are you a figure filbert? Then this is for you.