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Bestselling author Nassim Nicholas Taleb continues his exploration of randomness in his fascinating new book, The Black Swan, in which he examines the influence of highly improbable and unpredictable events that have massive impact. Engaging and enlightening, The Black Swan is a book that may change the way you think about the world, a book that Chris Anderson calls, "a delightful romp through history, economics, and the frailties of human nature." See Anderson's entire guest review below.
In business and government, major money is spent on prediction. Uselessly, according to Taleb, who administers a severe thrashing to MBA- and Nobel Prize-credentialed experts who make their living from economic forecasting. A financial trader and current rebel with a cause, Taleb is mathematically oriented and alludes to statistical concepts that underlie models of prediction, while his expressive energy is expended on roller-coaster passages, bordering on gleeful diatribes, on why experts are wrong. They neglect Taleb's metaphor of "the black swan," whose discovery invalidated the theory that all swans are white. Taleb rides this manifestation of the unpredicted event into a range of phenomena, such as why a book becomes a best-seller or how an entrepreneur becomes a billionaire, taking pit stops with philosophers who have addressed the meaning of the unexpected and confounding. Taleb projects a strong presence here that will tempt outside-the-box thinkers into giving him a look. Gilbert Taylor
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Very simple idea behind this book. No need to read it to understand itPublished 19 days ago by PhilOtd
A good read that explains the Black Swan concept that is frequently referenced in general, but rarely explained.Published 21 days ago by Mike
Still reading this lengthy book. The author could have organized the main ideas better as he can loose the reader often.
A brilliant man but not a great writer. Read more
Earth shattering. Will change the way you view the world. Will cause you to question conventional norms. Will read again when my head stops spinning from all the lightbulb moments. Read morePublished 23 days ago by George
The book introduces a good concept about the nature of things that are not fathomable and that we cannot predict. Read morePublished 1 month ago by Adnan
He has a valid point, but doesn't need all that to say it well. Rambling at times, not clear in his points (which could be good ones if he'd spit it out), and he clearly things a... Read morePublished 1 month ago by ev