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The Ecotechnic Future: Envisioning a Post-Peak World [Paperback]

John Michael Greer
4.5 out of 5 stars  See all reviews (22 customer reviews)

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Book Description

October 1, 2009

“[John Michael] Greer’s work is nothing short of brilliant. He has the multidisciplinary smarts to deeply understand our human dilemma as we stand on the verge of the inevitable collapse of industrialism. And he wields uncommon writing skills, making his diagnosis and prescription entertaining, illuminating, and practically informative. Not to be missed.”—Richard Heinberg, Senior Fellow, Post Carbon Institute and author of Peak Everything

“There is a great deal of conventional wisdom about our collective ecological crisis out there in books.  The enormous virtue of John Michael Greer’s work is that his wisdom is never conventional, but profound and imaginative.  There’s no one who makes me think harder, and The Ecotechnic Future pushes Greer’s vision, and our thought processes in important directions.” —Sharon Astyk, farmer, blogger, and author of Depletion and Abundance and A Nation of Farmers 

“In The Ecotechnic Future, John Michael Greer dispels our fantasies of a tidy, controlled transition from industrial society to a post-industrial milieu. The process will be ragged and rugged and will not invariably constitute an evolutionary leap for the human species. It will, however, offer myriad opportunities to create a society that bolsters complex technology which at the same time maintains a sustainable interaction with the ecosystem. Greer brilliantly inspires us to integrate the two in our thinking and to construct local communities which concretely exemplify this comprehensive vision.” —Carolyn Baker, author of Sacred Demise: Walking The Spiritual Path of Industrial Civilization’s Collapse, and publisher/editor, Speaking Truth to Power

In response to the coming impact of peak oil, John Michael Greer helps us envision the transition from an industrial society to a sustainable ecotechnic world—not returning to the past, but creating a society that supports relatively advanced technology on a sustainable resource base.

Fusing human ecology and history, this book challenges assumptions held by mainstream and alternative thinkers about the evolution of human societies. Human societies, like ecosystems, evolve in complex and unpredictable ways, making it futile to try to impose rigid ideological forms on the patterns of evolutionary change. Instead, social change must explore many pathways over which we have no control. The troubling and exhilarating prospect of an open-ended future, he proposes, requires dissensus—a deliberate acceptance of radical diversity that widens the range of potential approaches to infinity.

Written in three parts, the book places the present crisis of the industrial world in its historical and ecological context in part one; part two explores the toolkit for the Ecotechnic Age; and part three opens a door to the complexity of future visions.

For anyone concerned about peak oil and the future of industrial society, this book provides a solid analysis of how we got to where we are and offers a practical toolkit to prepare for the future.

John Michael Greer is a certified Master Conserver, organic gardener, and scholar of ecological history. He blogs at The Archdruid Report   (www.thearchdruidreport.blogspot.com), and is the author ofThe Long Descent.


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Editorial Reviews

Review


This is an extremely erudite book, filled with references to philosophies, and ancient works, which is also readable and an exciting addition to what might be called the 'libraries of the future', which try to make sense of our predicament and offer not just hope, but a intellectual route map to a better way of living.— ,earthtimes.org

About the Author

John Michael Greer is a certified Master Conserver, organic gardener and scholar of ecological history. His widely-cited blog, The Archdruid Report, deals with peak oil. He is the author of The Long Descent and lives in Ashland, Oregon.

Product Details

  • Paperback: 288 pages
  • Publisher: New Society Publishers; First Edition edition (October 1, 2009)
  • Language: English
  • ISBN-10: 0865716390
  • ISBN-13: 978-0865716391
  • Product Dimensions: 9.1 x 0.9 x 6.1 inches
  • Shipping Weight: 1 pounds (View shipping rates and policies)
  • Average Customer Review: 4.5 out of 5 stars  See all reviews (22 customer reviews)
  • Amazon Best Sellers Rank: #438,613 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)

More About the Author

Born in the gritty Navy town of Bremerton, Washington and raised in the south Seattle suburbs, I began writing about as soon as I could hold a pencil. SF editor George Scithers' dictum that all would-be writers have a million words of so of bad prose in them, and have to write it out, pretty much sums up the couple of decades between my first serious attempt to write a book and my first published book, "Paths of Wisdom", which appeared in 1996. These days I live in Cumberland, Maryland with my spouse Sara; serve as presiding officer -- Grand Archdruid is the official title -- of the Ancient Order of Druids in America (AODA), a Druid order founded in 1912; and write in half a dozen nonfiction fields, nearly all of them focused on the revival of forgotten ideas, insights, and traditions of practice from the rubbish heap of history.

Customer Reviews

Most Helpful Customer Reviews
57 of 59 people found the following review helpful
5.0 out of 5 stars The "deindustrial dark ages" to come March 6, 2010
Format:Paperback
The underlying assumption of this book is that fossil fuels cannot be effectively replaced, neither cost-effectively nor in the gross amount of available energy. And once the fossil fuels are gone, they are gone forever, meaning that industrial civilization as we know it will collapse--or more to be hoped, industrial society will experience a slow decline into what Greer calls "The Ecotechnic Future." Along the way there will be "scarcity industrialism" and a "salvage society." Some bad times will be had by almost everybody, and for some it will be horrific.

The idea that renewable energy sources won't measure up to what we are wantonly consuming today is not new, but it is sobering. (And we do need to sober up.) Robert U. Ayres and Edward H. Ayres make a more modest point in their book, Crossing the Energy Divide: Moving from Fossil Fuel Dependence to a Clean-Energy Future (2010). They argue persuasively that regardless of how much money the government and private enterprise put into the development of green alternatives, those sources of energy will not be developed fast enough. Their prescription is more efficient use of fossils fuels until the green revolution catches up.

Greer doesn't see any catching up. He writes that the world's annual energy consumption equals about one-fourth of the total solar energy absorbed by green plants annually with 86% of that coming from fossil fuels. (p. 247) Instead of energy conservation helping us to a sustainable future, he sees four "sweeping impacts on human life" to come. They are

(1) Depopulation. Quite simply, "the population bubble of the last few centuries is just as much a product of the exploitation of fossil fuels as the industrial age itself." And without fossil fuels to help grow and cheaply move food around the globe, "food surpluses that support toady's population levels will be impossible to maintain." (p. 39)

(2) Migration. People will move as they have done in the past from areas of relative poverty to areas of relative wealth, and the "wealth" will mainly be in food stuffs. Much of the world is already experiencing these migrations, Latin Americans into the US for example, Muslims into Europe; but in the future the migration directions may change and people from further away may land on more distant shores.

(3) Political and cultural disintegration. Greer does not dwell or make vividly scary what this can mean--but it would not be surprising to see that when things get scarce those with power will use that power to get what they want by any means necessary.

(4) Ecological change. Greer speaks of ecology a lot in this book, comparing the rise and fall of civilizations with the successions of natural ecologies from grasslands to climax forests.

What I think is most sobering (an apt usage worth repeating since we have been guzzling oil and are addicted to it) is Greer's point that "by the time actual shortages began, all existing resources would already be committed to meet existing needs." (p. 13) One of the consequences of this is that the transformation of our economies from fossil-based energy to renewal-based energy will be impossible to implement because the energy required for the transformation will be unavailable. It takes oil energy to build a nuclear power plant for example, and oil energy to build wind turbines and transport them.

Greer laments: "the fossil fuels that might have powered the transition to a sustainable future were wasted on a quarter century of extravagant living." (p. 13)

Some bon mots and sharp insights:

"...[G]overnment and business leaders in the world's industrial nations, which have even more to lose from the twilight of cheap abundant energy than their poorer neighbors, are still treating the twilight of the age of oil as a public relations problem." (p. 19)

"As it exists today, industrial society can best be described as a scheme for turning resources into pollution as fast as possible." (p. 28)

"...[F]rom the tumbrils of the French Revolution to the killing fields of Khmer Rouge Cambodia, it has always been those radical movements that promised heaven on earth that yield the closest approximation to hell." (p. 187)

"It's vanishingly rare for a society to collapse at the peak of its wealth and power, for the simple reason that wealth and power are two of the most effective means of staving off collapse." (p. 192) This suggests that the US is not yet in its dotage--although things might get a little rough for our grandchildren.

Central to Greer's argument is the idea that we will pass through successions such as a landscape passes from R-stage invasive plants like weeds to shrubs and bushes to K-stage plants like oaks and pines in ecological sequence, which typically ends in what ecologists call a climax forest. Greer emphasizes that "succession moves toward stability, not toward Utopia." (p. 240)

He sees history (and I would say that Greer is primarily a historian working here as a futurist) as an ecological phenomenon with "processes that appear across the range of ecosystems in the nonhuman world." The equivalents that in sees in history are (1) a rhythm in the rise and fall of civilizations; (2) the succession mentioned above "ending in the social equivalent of a climax community that remains stable until changes in the environment disrupt it; and (3) cultural evolution. (pp. 241-242)

As much as I admire Greer's erudition and insight I think the main strength of this book is in Greer's eminently readable prose. As Yogi Berra might have said, "prophecy is hard, especially about the future"; but Greer 's vision is one that I think is well worth paying attention to.

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42 of 43 people found the following review helpful
5.0 out of 5 stars Brilliant December 19, 2009
Format:Paperback|Amazon Verified Purchase
This book is a welcome leap forward past the earlier works of Richard Heinberg (The Party's Over), James Kunstler (The Long Emergency), Jared Diamond (Collapse) and others. The most important aspect of Mr. Greer's work is that it uses a language that enables further discussion of the post-peak future. Rather than pummeling us senseless with statistics proving the validity of the peak oil hypothesis, he moves forward well past that. Instead he connects the dots between peak-oil, global warming, the future of food, economics, energy, employment, and culture. Using general terms, he wisely avoids being prescriptive about how we might respond to the challenges facing us. The variables are too numerous and fluid to attempt prescriptive solutions. This book is a 'must-read' if you're anxious to move past the body of literature that warns us of impending crisis. It could well become an enduring standard.
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Was this review helpful to you?
35 of 37 people found the following review helpful
Format:Paperback
Following up on his previous work the Long Decline, Author John Michael Greer, has written a masterful thesis where he lays out a case for his vision for humanity as a set of probable outcomes as we begin a tumultuuous transition in the face of physical limits on energy and natural resources. Unlike other visionaries, Greer makes no claim on the exact shape that future holds, he is too well grounded in a broad spectrum of knowledge, from an encylopedic grasp of History, to his keen understanding of disperate fields such as bilogy, and economics, energy and evolution to claim omnisciensce. Instead he offers a theory that integrates his broad spectrum of knowledge with the Ecological concepts of succession. This provide the reader with a context and roadmap for likely scenarios that will unfold and evolve as humanity transitions over a period of time on the order of several centuries to new human ecologies. These new ecologies that will have adapted by neccessity to the energy poor and altered enviornmets of the emergenent future. As JMG is wont to do, he gores a few sacred cows along the way. This is not another uptopic pipe dream vision of the future nor is a complete doom fest. Well written and accessible, this is a fascinating and usefull book that provides a context for which to chart ones own path in these tumultuous times. I highly reccomend it.
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Most Recent Customer Reviews
5.0 out of 5 stars Intelligent conception
For me, John Michael Greer, is always a good time read.
A beautiful examination of a most probable future. Read more
Published 1 month ago by Brody Dale Wilson
5.0 out of 5 stars The peak oil trilogy, part 2
"The Ecotechnic Future" is a book by John Michael Greer, an independent scholar, organic farmer and Druid (sic) who has become something of a household word within the so-called... Read more
Published 4 months ago by Ashtar Command
2.0 out of 5 stars Loved the Long Descent, but not this
I found The Long Descent to be a true masterpiece that blended the stories cultures tell themselves with the reality of finite resources. Read more
Published 5 months ago by Brian Rose
5.0 out of 5 stars Peak Into the Future
Let me put it this way: If Greer is correct in his predictions then the Ecotechnic Future is one of the most important books now occupying shelf space in any library. Read more
Published 9 months ago by Kimera
2.0 out of 5 stars Is the Future Worth Fighting For?
Until recently I was a fan of Greer's books. Though I'm not a druid, I found them insightful and occasionally profound with some notable limitations. Read more
Published 11 months ago by Ntropee
3.0 out of 5 stars The message can't survive its author
I liked how John Michael Greer took the hubris out of modern notions of history. He subjects humanity to the same ecological limits as other animals, and correctly points out that... Read more
Published on March 25, 2011 by Crazy Chester
5.0 out of 5 stars the ecotechnic future
this book is fascinating. i have read several peak oil books but this one stands out in that it offers more
possible outcomes for the future. Read more
Published on March 13, 2011 by polly
4.0 out of 5 stars Too much focus on oil
The book is an easy read with well backed conclusions. It is definitely worth enriching yourself with author's point of view. Read more
Published on January 19, 2011 by B. Vidolov
4.0 out of 5 stars Always a delight to read
As a regular reader of JMG I am not at all disappointed by his fleshing out of his blog posts in this book. Read more
Published on January 6, 2011 by MollfromOz
5.0 out of 5 stars Future Realities
John Greer makes for a compelling case for a future dramatically different from what most experts project. Read more
Published on January 1, 2011 by John H. Wall
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