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The Futures: The Rise of the Speculator and the Origins of the World's Biggest Markets [Hardcover]

Emily Lambert
4.0 out of 5 stars  See all reviews (20 customer reviews)

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Book Description

December 28, 2010
In The Futures, Emily Lambert, senior writer at Forbes magazine, tells us the rich and dramatic history of the Chicago Mercantile Exchange and Chicago Board of Trade, which together comprised the original, most bustling futures market in the world. She details the emergence of the futures business as a kind of meeting place for gamblers and farmers and its subsequent transformation into a sophisticated electronic market where contracts are traded at lightning-fast speeds. Lambert also details the disastrous effects of Wall Street's adoption of the futures contract without the rules and close-knit social bonds that had made trading it in Chicago work so well. Ultimately Lambert argues that the futures markets are the real "free" markets and that speculators, far from being mere parasites, can serve a vital economic and social function given the right architecture. The traditional futures market, she explains, because of its written and cultural limits, can serve as a useful example for how markets ought to work and become a tonic for our current financial ills.

 


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Editorial Reviews

From Booklist

In the late 1800s, the Chicago Sanitary and Ship Canal was completed, creating the only shipping link between the Great Lakes and the Mississippi River system. As Chicago became a major trading hub, a group of businessmen formed an organization called the Chicago Board of Trade that would centralize the trading of wheat, corn, and other grains. To minimize the risk of fluctuating grain prices, farmers used the exchange to lock in a price for a promise to deliver the crop at a future date, and the futures contract was born. In 1898, the Chicago Mercantile Exchange opened to trade in perishables such as butter, eggs, and onions. Lambert tells the colorful history of these commodity markets, which were designed to hedge risk for farmers but became hotbeds for speculators, fast-deal makers, and shrewd manipulators. The chapters are organized chronologically by the commodities that were added to the “pits,” such as pork bellies, currencies, stock options, oil, and bonds. Lambert, a senior writer for Forbes magazine, keeps the story moving with a surprising litany of legendary traders you probably never heard of until now. --David Siegfried

Review

Wall Street Journal
“In The Futures, Emily Lambert addresses the subject with as much affection as is ever likely to be stirred by the pork-belly business. She’s a believer: ‘With futures, traders were more than gamblers. Gamblers created risk to bet on. They threw dice that didn’t have to be thrown. But in the futures business, men bet on risks that already existed. The corn crop could fail’. . . . [P]icaresque tales enliven what could have been a dry subject.”

Kirkus
“[Lambert] devotes loving attention to a parade of outrageous risk-takers. . . . Although she provides lucid explanations of how the market works and how the various money-making strategies collide, the charm of her fast-paced, informal history comes from the book’s animating insight: ‘Finance is like biology: Everything is intertwined.’  For the general reader, a full-blooded introduction to an arcane world.”
 
Booklist 
“[A] colorful history… Lambert, a senior writer for Forbes magazine, keeps the story moving with a surprising litany of legendary traders you probably never heard of until now.”
 
Library Journal
“Lambert includes numerous colorful anecdotes about the exchanges and their traders, also touching briefly on the 2008 financial crisis. VERDICT: For readers interested in the Chicago exchanges’ history, Lambert’s book will be satisfying.”
 
Frank Partnoy, author of The Match King
“Most people know about the derivatives that nearly brought down the financial system. Less known, but even more intriguing, are the futures and options traded on exchanges, especially in Chicago. The Futures is a window into that market and its gripping history, with rough-and-tumble locker room trading floors, loud colorful characters, rumpled shirts, cigars, and – most important – lots of money. The book is a front row seat on a massive gambling operation that has been surprisingly stable for a century and a half, and remains closely connected to the very real worlds of farming and food. If subprime mortgage derivatives had been traded openly in a Chicago pit, instead of secretly among Wall Street banks, we wouldn’t have had the recent financial crisis.”
 
Dennis Kneale, CNBC Media and Technology Editor
“With a passion for pork bellies, Emily Lambert takes us on an unexpectedly entertaining tour of the most volatile gambling pit in the world. Frenzied and fully wired on caffeine and fiber-optics, the exchange shapes food prices and influences global trade, yet it remains obtuse and impenetrable. Not after reading this fine book.”
 
Justin Fox, author ofThe Myth of the Rational Market
“A highly readable, informative and—here’s the most amazing part—downright charming account of where the Chicago derivatives exchanges came from and where they’re going.”
 
Liaquat Ahamed, author ofLords of Finance
The Futures tells the rich and colorful story of the  Chicago futures exchanges—once the homes of trading in grains, eggs and pork bellies, which then went on to remake themselves into the world’s central marketplace for financial futures—and the generations of traders and speculators and financial entrepreneurs who ran them. It is not only a book about a transformative episode in financial history, it is also a wonderfully vivid portrait of an important slice of Chicago life."
 
Financial Times
“How Chicago’s trading pits were transformed from parochial gambling dens in the wake of the great fire of Chicago in 1871 to the electronic trading powerhouses they are today is Emily Lambert’s lively narrative, told with a sharp eye for the characters involved.”
 
Bloomberg News
“A bouncy historical jaunt through the city’s trading pits. . . . In brisk yet lyrical prose, Lambert describes how pits pulsating with sweaty guys trading their own dough gave way to computer networks of institutions laying wagers with other people’s money. The book is timely. With commodities at two-year highs and record food prices sparking riots, regulators are seeking to curb speculation. Yet the trading explosion reflects innovations that the watchdogs themselves condoned.”
 
The Week
“While tracking the futures racket from the ‘brawling trading pits’ of the 19th century to the ‘glass-tower imperiousness’ of today, Lambert heaps plenty of love on the industry’s most outrageous risk takers and rogues. Their stories matter, we learn, because past practice shapes even today’s markets, making history’s heroes and swindlers part of the industry’s DNA.”
 
Business Insider.com
The Futures is delivered as a flat midwestern yarn—as if told by a Chi-town native, holding forth on a barstool over beers. . . . By the close of the story, the color and the craziness is clearly fading, the pushers and shovers in brightly colored jackets being replaced by the quiet hum of computers. Gone are the days of frantic hand signals, spontaneous fist fights, and drug-using clerks wearing goggles to protect their eyes against paper cuts. As Chicago modernized itself, trading in stockyards for towers of steel and glass, so too has the futures industry. The future is electronic, and global. That makes it all the more fun, though, to revisit the fast, amusing tale of how the exchanges grew up with the city, and the gritty roots of how it all came about.”
 
The National (Abu Dhabi)
“In writing this book Emily Lambert conducted hundreds of interviews, pored over archives in Chicago’s Public Library and Museum and fell a little bit in love with her subject. That affection informs this meticulous history of Chicago’s commodity exchanges. It’s not an emotion commonly associated with things financial - especially traders. But as Lambert tells the story of the Board of Trade's first “pit,” literally stamped out in the 19th century by the men who gambled on the prices of corn, soybeans, and eggs, that's what comes through.”

 

Futures Magazine
“The book does a good job of introducing people completely unfamiliar with the futures markets to their early origins. Lambert particularly shines as she recounts early attempts to corner different markets and it is evident she did her research.  The book is written in an easy-to-approach style with very little technical jargon. What little jargon there is, Lambert clearly explains, making the book even more accessible to those new to the futures world.”

Chicago Life Magazine
“This book could well be titled ‘Everything You Always Wanted to Know about the Stock Market and Were Not Afraid to Ask’… The Futures is a remarkable book, hard to put down, and made to order for those interested in finance, people, history, psychology, movers and shakers.”

 


Product Details

  • Hardcover: 240 pages
  • Publisher: Basic Books; 1ST edition (December 28, 2010)
  • Language: English
  • ISBN-10: 0465018432
  • ISBN-13: 978-0465018437
  • Product Dimensions: 9.3 x 6.4 x 1.2 inches
  • Shipping Weight: 14.9 ounces (View shipping rates and policies)
  • Average Customer Review: 4.0 out of 5 stars  See all reviews (20 customer reviews)
  • Amazon Best Sellers Rank: #39,168 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)

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Customer Reviews

Most Helpful Customer Reviews
19 of 21 people found the following review helpful
5.0 out of 5 stars Onions and Eggs January 19, 2011
Format:Hardcover|Amazon Verified Purchase
"The Futures" is delivered as a flat midwestern yarn -- as if told by a Chi-town native, holding forth on a barstool over beers. (PBR of course.)

The story begins with Chicago's founding in the early 1800s. We find out how the futures business, originally built around grains, was a byproduct of Chicago weather: When the canal and river froze, farmers were forced to store their crops, thus creating gluts in the spring -- and the need to lock in sale prices in advance. By the mid-1860s, the first prototype of the U.S. futures contract had arrived.

There is a saying, "I went to a fight the other day and wound up trading futures in Chicago." The history, and the business itself, is built around colorful characters with descriptive nicknames like "Old Hutch," "Vince the Prince," and "Harry the Hat."

In further example, when one well-liked floor trader expired in the pit, the others kept on trading around him... and later expressed the opinion that "that's the way go."

To be clear, Lambert's book is not a primer on trading. Instead it is a series of narratives, tracing the beginnings of futures trading (and the Chicago exchanges themselves) to the present day.

Having cut my teeth as a commodity broker in the late 1990s, "The Futures" brought back memories. (There is nothing quite like arguing at the top of your lungs with a runner named Sol about a bad fill in the S&P pit, with three phone lines lighting up and the market moving away from your partially executed order.)

One of the characters Lambert touches on is Ray E. Friedman, the founder of REFCO (the firm that cleared our accounts). It turns out old Ray had done a prison stretch for selling grade B chickens as grade A to the army in the Korean War. His corner-cutting habit must have infiltrated the culture of the business. REFCO, after growing to $4 billion in customer assets, collapsed in a fraud scandal in 2005.

"The Futures" is also largely the story of onions and eggs -- the original commodities of the "Merc" or Chicago Mercantile Exchange. Lambert recounts how the CBOT was predominantly Irish and the CME Jewish: If your last name was Murray you were Board of Trade, but if your first name was Murray you went to the Merc. The onion trade was eventually banned by congressional order (at the request of angry onion farmers), while the egg trade revolved around the "butter and egg men" of Fulton Street.

Unlike onions, the egg trade was done in by modernization: Eventually chickens were laying eggs year round, which took the seasonality out. But by the time eggs went away, the bigger businesses -- currencies, indices and interest rates -- were just getting going.

There is very much a "right place, right time" aspect to the later explosive growth of the exchanges. Interest rate futures came into their own as the Volcker Fed wrestled with inflation in the early 1980s, causing bond prices to fluctuate wildly. Currency futures had started in time to take full advantage of the post-Bretton Woods era. And the big daddy of them all, stock index futures, got rolling with the help of a tax advantage at the start of the long-running bull market.

By the close of the story, the color and the craziness is clearly fading, the pushers and shovers in brightly colored jackets being replaced by the quiet hum of computers. Gone are the days of frantic hand signals, spontaneous fist fights, and drug-using clerks wearing goggles to protect their eyes against paper cuts. As Chicago modernized itself, going from stockyards to towers of steel and glass, so too did the futures industry. The new era is electronic, and global.

That makes it all the more fun, though, to revisit this fast, amusing tale of how the exchanges grew up with the Windy City, and the gritty roots of how it all came about.
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7 of 9 people found the following review helpful
5.0 out of 5 stars 7 Stars December 21, 2010
Format:Hardcover|Amazon Verified Purchase
As an equity options professional, I must say this is hands down the best book ever written on the history of Chicago's storied futures markets. The way the author packs so many illuminating and tantalizing stories and characters, while also educating the reader in 200 pages is a testament to her genius.

It is evident the author has done her homework and presented all angles of famous trades and market corners. This book is an inspiration, and makes me proud to say that I'm a trader. In my mind, Emily Lambert has successfully cornered the market on the re-telling of the history of trading in Chicago.
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1 of 1 people found the following review helpful
2.0 out of 5 stars Chicagoans will like The Futures; a waste for others November 28, 2012
Format:Hardcover
During the 60s and 70s I wrote hundreds of stories and columns about the futures markets, the Chicago Board of Trade, Chicago Mercantile Exchange, Chicago Options Exchange and several of the characters mentioned in "The Futures, the rise of the speculator and the origins of the world's biggest markets," by Emilly Lambert, a Chicago-based reporter for Forbes.

I give the book only two stars for several reasons:

1. It's useless and barely entertaining for history buffs and Chicago traders.
2. It's shallow. Statistics tell stories. There are no charts nor tables in this book.
3. It slams Leo Melamed, who I was the first to profile in depth while I was a business reporter for the Chicago Sun-Times. He isn't quoted in the book, which means his enemies told his story for him, and he refused to comment, angering the author.
4. The book profiles members of the exchanges as families and tribes. They were much more than that.
5. Lambert is unable to profile an exchange floor trader in a way that shows what kind of person succeeds as a floor trader or as an off-floor speculator.
6. Retail customers are almost totally ignored.
7. The folks who run commercial hedging operations for Cargill and other companies aren't profiled, described in any detail or given much credit for all of the committee work and time they put into exchange politics and development.
8. Descriptions of farmers who hedge or those who don't are missing. The book really down plays the huge role futures prices play in the lives of farmers, agribusinesses, banks, currency traders, petroleum company managers and the U.S. and world economies.
9. Where are the commission brokers? They played huge roles in helping hedgers and speculators lose money while they and the floor brokers did very well.
10. This is one of the most poorly written and structured business and history books I"ve read in a long time. Some people are meant to write articles and columns, and some are meant to write books. Lambert is the former, not the latter. While the author cites her library research, her book looks like the work of a reporter who prefers to talk to people and suck up to some while slamming others. Most of the history of futures exchanges that you get from this book is in the introductory chapters of many books about trading futures.

I don't and never have traded futures, but I do trade options and covered Joe Sullivan as he worked on the development of the CBOE. As a reporter and columnist, I saw how dangerous and risky futures markets are for retail speculators, and they're even riskier today than they were 35 to 47 years ago.
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Most Recent Customer Reviews
3.0 out of 5 stars Detailed review
Author spent a lot of time collecting stories of the Chicago markets. An oral history that needed to be recorded.
Published 1 month ago by Lawrence Stoskopf
5.0 out of 5 stars A Thoroughly Enjoyable History of the Chicago Markets
Emily Lambert has written a history of the Chicago Markets (the CME, CBOT and CBOE) that is engaging and fun to read. Read more
Published 9 months ago by John O. Freed
4.0 out of 5 stars A Succinct Futures Story
This is very good preliminary reading for those who wants to learn more about futures markets. The narrative is succinct and entertaining, without comprising the facts. Read more
Published 13 months ago by FY
2.0 out of 5 stars A book for people want to swap war stories about the "old days"
I had to read up on Commodity trading for work and one of the books I stumbled upon was The Futures by Emily Lambert. Read more
Published 15 months ago by Cort Jensen
4.0 out of 5 stars An excellent narrative, but wonks will be disappointed
I agree with a lot of what has been already said in both praise and detraction for this book. As a story recounting the origins and growth of the futures markets, the book is... Read more
Published 24 months ago by ChacoKevy
4.0 out of 5 stars Superb, interesting history but light on the legacy/economic role of...
Just finished The Futures and thoroughly enjoyed every page. There is no doubt that it is a page-turning, well documented history of the CBOT, CME and other derivatives exchanges. Read more
Published on March 15, 2011 by J. Kurz
5.0 out of 5 stars Loved this book
Call me a nerd, but I love history. Also, I love trading - I trade the foreign currency exchange (FOREX). This book combines those two topics. I couldn't put it down. Read more
Published on March 13, 2011 by D. Patterson
2.0 out of 5 stars Laundry list of futures
If you are looking for a book on analysis of futures and their role in the our economy then you will be disappointed with this book. Trading futures is a zero sum game. Read more
Published on March 10, 2011 by Houman Tamaddon
5.0 out of 5 stars 4.5 stars-Yes.Oil,eggs,grain,corn,wheat,pork bellies,etc., are...
This is a very interesting book that covers the history of the development of the Chicago Board of Trade and Chicago Mercantile Exchange. Read more
Published on February 21, 2011 by Michael Emmett Brady
5.0 out of 5 stars The Futures: The Rise of the Speculator and the Origins of the World's...
I truly enjoyed reading "The Futures". Ms. Lambert captured the dawn of the commodity/futures markets in easily readable and understandable prose. Read more
Published on February 1, 2011 by Edie Korotkin
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