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The Long Thaw: How Humans Are Changing the Next 100,000 Years of Earth's Climate (Science Essentials) Paperback – August 15, 2010
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From Publishers Weekly
Copyright © Reed Business Information, a division of Reed Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved. --This text refers to an out of print or unavailable edition of this title.
Winner of the 2009 Walter P. Kistler Award, The Foundation For the Future
One of The Australian's Best Books of 2009
Selected to appear on ClimateUnited's Booklist of Top Books on Climate Change
"Worried about warming but confused about carbon? Try [The Long Thaw], which tells you nearly everything you need to know with down-to-earth clarity and brevity."--Evan Hadingham, PBS's NOVA blog
"Archer . . . presents the dire and long-lasting consequences of our fossil-fuel dependency but concludes that it's not too late for us to go a different, better way."--Avital Binshtock, Sierra Club Blog
"A beautifully written primer on why climate change matters hugely for our future--on all time scales."--New Scientist
"Archer has perfectly pitched answers to the most basic questions about global warming while providing a sound basis for understanding the complex issues frequently misrepresented by global warming skeptics. With a breezy, conversational style, he breaks complex concepts into everyday analogies. Divided into three parts--the Present, the Past and the Future--Archer provides a complete picture of climate change now, in the past, and what we can expect in years and centuries to come. His models, though conservative, imply that humans won't survive the environmental consequences of severe warming over the next thousand years. While Archer is neither grim nor pessimistic, he is forthright about what's at stake, and what must do to avert catastrophe."--Publishers Weekly
"It is comprehensive, well written and includes numerous useful vignettes from climate history. Archer leads the reader to a simple yet accurate picture of climate changes, ranging from geological time scales to current warming, ice ages and prospects for the future."--Susan Solomon, Nature
"The Long Thaw is written for anyone who wishes to know what cutting-edge science tells us about the modern issue of global warming and its effects on the pathways of atmospheric chemistry, as well as global and regional temperatures, rainfall, sea level, Arctic sea-ice coverage, melting of the continental ice sheets, cyclonic storm frequency and intensity and ocean acidification. This book will also appeal to scientists who want a clear and unbiased picture of the global-warming problem and how it may progress in the future. It encapsulates Archer's own efforts in the field of climate research, which I found invaluable."--Fred T. Mackenzie, Nature Geoscience
"The power of Archer's book is to show that such [climate] changes, which we can bring about through just a few centuries of partying on carbon, can only be matched by the earth itself over vastly longer periods. . . . It's the kind of perspective we need in order to realize how insane we're being."--Chris Mooney, American Prospect
"Global climate change is the subject of thousands of books; this short volume is distinctive in multiple ways. Archer is a geophysicist (and a look-alike--except for stubble--for late British actor David Niven), whose scientific background lets him place climate change in the context of its variations in geological history. He points out that the Earth's orbital cycles had poised it to enter a new ice age when human influences began to override natural forces."--F.T. Manheim, Choice
"If you think global warming is going to stop in its tracks as soon as our fossil fuel fix runs its course, think again. Intensifying hurricanes, mega-droughts, and the mass extinction of species are just the beginning, says leading climatologist David Archer, renowned in part for his work with the respected blog RealClimate. Though we still have time to avert the worst of climate change, he says, the ramifications of our carbon spewing (think a ten-foot rise in ocean levels) will last well beyond even our grandchildren's years. A good storyteller, Archer walks us through the history of climate change, starting in the 1800s, when the term 'greenhouse effect' first made its way into scientific parlance. Tempering techie speak with accessible analogies, Archer manages in the James Hansen-approved volume to speak to scientists and laymen alike."--Plenty
"Notice to climate change deniers: I don't want to hear another word about the Little Ice Age, cosmic rays of the Palaeocene Eocene thermal maximum event 55 million years ago until you've read David Archer's little book. He's a geophysical scientist at the University of Chicago and he knows his stuff. He sets out the latest scientific understanding of climate change through geological time, human time, and beyond. It's the clearest introduction I've seen yet to the complexity of the planet's climate system and how a certain bipedal species may know it gally wonk."--Leigh Dayton, The Australian
"The great appeal of this short book lies in Archer's ability to find easily comprehensible analogies and his no-nonsense prose. . . . This is a true rarity. A book about climate change written by an expert everyone can understand."--Sydney Morning Herald, "Pick of the Week"
"David Archer has written a highly engaging and accessible review of the scientific bases for anthropogenic global warming and the dilemmas of what, as a global community, we should do next. The text is written for a general audience, reflecting the aims of the Science Essentials series of which it is a part, namely, to bring the findings of cutting-edge scientific research to the public."--Tim Denham, Journal of Archaeological Science
"If you have time in your busy schedule to read only one book on climate change and climate science basics, this would be a good choice. Archer, an oceanographer and University of Chicago geosciences professor, has written a conversational, engaging, and short (remember, you're busy) book."--Natural Hazards Observer
"If you have time in your busy schedule to read only one book on climate change and climate science basics, this would be a good choice. Archer, an oceanographer and University of Chicago geosciences professor, has written a conversational, engaging, and short (remember, you are busy) book that covers the last 500 million years or so of the Earth's climate."--Disaster Prevention and Management
"David Archer's The Long Thaw . . . tells you nearly everything you need to know with down-to-earth clarity and brevity. . . . [R]eading The Long Thaw is sobering and enlightening rather than depressing. It's packed with informative, accessible background on past climate cycles and why they are relevant to assessing today's warming."--Evan Hadingham, Inside NOVA
"[T]he ideas expounded in the book are of great importance to the debate on climate change and deserve to be more widely appreciated. Let us hope that Archer's message becomes widely understood and acted upon before we find that we have already committed ourselves to damaging (and potentially irreversible) climate change."--John King, Journal of Polar Record
More About the Author
Top Customer Reviews
Since climate science is often befogged by climate anti-science articles and books, before buying a book, it is helpful to check the author before buying. Does the author have a sustained track record of publishing relevant articles in *peer-reviewed science journals*, is still doing so, and whose results get referenced and used by other working scientists? Nothing else really counts for much, in science.
In Archer's case, this is easy:
go to Google Scholar, enter:
David Archer carbon
Hint: serious expert.
Of the 50 or so books I own that discuss climate, this has jumped into the small group I recommend to people who ask "where should I start?"
I usually tell them to read a few books first to build a coherent science knowledge base, before spending much time on blogs and websites. It is worth reading several different treatments for comparison, contrast and complementary emphases.
My starter kit of generally-accessible climate science books is now:
1) This book.
2) William F. Ruddiman, Plows, Plagues, and Petroleum - How Humans Took Control of Climate (2005)
3) Michael E. Mann, Lee R. Kump, Dire Predictions - The illustrated guide to the findings of the IPCC (2008)
You can buy all 3 for less than $50.
Unlike some of the other reviewers, I feel one should NOT choose this text as a person's first introduction to climate change. Most people's first goal in learning more about Global Warming is to thoroughly understand how we know humans are forcing rapid climate change right now, and they want to settle questions they have heard from climate skeptics. "Understanding the Forecast" or Global Warming: The Complete Briefing is better for that purpose. With this latter book's larger scope, Archer just briefly reviews current climate status before launching into a comprehensive exploration of the dramatic climatic events of the recent and distant past. He explains how this knowledge is helping answer the very important question of determining Earth's climate sensitivity: how much warming we will experience from the known climate forcing of rising CO2 and other human impacts.Read more ›
For now the carbon cycle is responding to the CO2 increase by inhaling into the ocean and high-latitude land surface, damping down the warming effect. But on the timescale of centuries and longer the lesson from the past is that this situation could reverse itself, and the warming planet could cause the natural carbon cycle to exhale CO2, amplifying the human-induced climate changes. Sea level rise is the most obvious long-term impact and there is no doubting the possible severity of this effect on human civilisation. It's a sober message, communicated gently.
Most Recent Customer Reviews
At first blush, this is another in a long line of books written to introduce people to the concepts of global climate change. Read morePublished 11 days ago by Frederick S. Goethel
At last we see a global warming believer who knows what he is talking about. This a fine popularization of this author's 2007 book “Global Warming: Understanding the Forecast”... Read morePublished 13 days ago by Gderf
Should be a school text book. Everyone needs to know what we are up against.Published 9 months ago by Chuck Swackhammer
This is a good introduction to the science behind all the arguments over climate change. Archer presents the different sources of evidence that climatologists use, the methods... Read morePublished 10 months ago by TKerr
David Archer’s The Long Thaw looks at the long-term consequences of human induced climate changes, and effects of climate change on human lives. Read morePublished 11 months ago by Abdullah Karim
For many years, scientists have spoken of the change in the Earth’s climate and how humans have contributed to this phenomenon. Read morePublished 14 months ago by Hannah Smith
This is a very well written book from an Oceanographer’s perspective. Archer does an excellent job of keeping political and alternative energy solutions out of his argument and... Read morePublished 16 months ago by Matt Saldana
I bought this book because for years I have been wondering whether global warming is anthropogenic or not (to the extent there has been global warming). Read morePublished 20 months ago by Bent A
This is the one book I have read on global warming that puts the phenomenon into crystal clear perspective. Read morePublished on January 19, 2014 by Yvette Borcia and Gerry Stern