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Amazon Best of the Month, January 2009: "Be Practical, Expect the Impossible." So declares George Friedman, chief intelligence officer and founder of Strategic Forecasting, Inc. (Stratfor), a private intelligence agency whose clients include foreign government agencies and Fortune 500 companies. Gathering information from its global network of operatives and analysts (drawing the nickname "the Shadow CIA"), Stratfor produces thoughtful and genuinely engrossing analysis of international events daily, from possible outcomes of the latest Pakistan/India tensions to the hierarchy of Mexican drug cartels to challenges to Obama's nascent administration. In The Next 100 Years, Friedman undertakes the impossible (or improbable) challenge of forecasting world events through the 21st century. Starting with the premises that "conventional political analysis suffers from a profound failure of imagination" and "common sense will be wrong," Friedman maps what he sees as the likeliest developments of the future, some intuitive, some surprising: more (but less catastrophic) wars; Russia's re-emergence as an aggressive hegemonic power; China's diminished influence in international affairs due to traditional social and economic imbalances; and the dawn of an American "Golden Age" in the second half of the century. Friedman is well aware that much of what he predicts will be wrong--unforeseeable events are, of course, unforeseen--but through his interpretation of geopolitics, one gets the sense that Friedman's guess is better than most. --Jon Foro
--This text refers to an out of print or unavailable edition of this title.
With a unique combination of cold-eyed realism and boldly confident fortune-telling, Friedman (Americas Secret War) offers a global tour of war and peace in the upcoming century. The author asserts that the United States power is so extraordinarily overwhelming that it will dominate the coming century, brushing aside Islamic terrorist threats now, overcoming a resurgent Russia in the 2010s and 20s and eventually gaining influence over space-based missile systems that Friedman names battle stars. Friedman is the founder of Stratfor, an independent geopolitical forecasting company, and his authoritative-sounding predictions are based on such factors as natural resources and population cycles. While these concrete measures lend his short-term forecasts credence, the later years of Friedmans 100-year cycle will provoke some serious eyebrow raising. The armed border clashes between Mexico and the United States in the 2080s seem relatively plausible, but the space war pitting Japan and Turkey against the United States and allies, prognosticated to begin precisely on Thanksgiving Day 2050, reads as fantastic (and terrifying) science fiction. Whether all of the visions in Friedmans crystal ball actually materialize, they certainly make for engrossing entertainment. (Feb.)
Copyright © Reed Business Information, a division of Reed Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved. --This text refers to an out of print or unavailable edition of this title.
I thoroughly enjoyed this book and his approach and insights. Its actually been kind of neat that since this book was written 6-7 years ago to already see some of the early... Read morePublished 5 days ago by aaron
The first 3/4 is very good, but towards the end the guy smoked a joint or something and everything he says is just great material for a movie, but far from whichever reality we... Read morePublished 15 days ago by jaa
Insightful book, interesting perspective. Now I buy it as a gift for my friends.Published 28 days ago by IWONA KESSLING
The author has a very insightful grasp of what might be current and future events. This book seems to have been written during the last Iraq war, The possible events he writes... Read morePublished 29 days ago by Roamin' Ron
The Next 100 Years should be required reading for all Poly Sci majors as well as for Historians. The author's ability to trace the threads of the past to root causes and then... Read morePublished 1 month ago by Thomas K. Sheppard
Friedmans supposedly interesting book starts out exactly just like that - interesting...if only it continued so. Read morePublished 1 month ago by Carl Bilbo
Took a while to get through but was worth it in the end, half a chapter at a time.
Only mentions climate change once, in the prologue. Read more