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The Signal and the Noise in 30 Minutes - The Expert Guide to Nate Silver's Critically Acclaimed Book (the 30 Minute Expert Series) Paperback – April 1, 2013

ISBN-13: 978-1623151218 ISBN-10: 162315121X

 
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Product Details

  • Paperback: 32 pages
  • Publisher: Garamond Press (April 1, 2013)
  • Language: English
  • ISBN-10: 162315121X
  • ISBN-13: 978-1623151218
  • Product Dimensions: 5.8 x 0.1 x 8.3 inches
  • Shipping Weight: 1.4 ounces
  • Average Customer Review: 3.7 out of 5 stars  See all reviews (14 customer reviews)
  • Amazon Best Sellers Rank: #1,528,426 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)

Editorial Reviews

About the Author

About the 30 Minute Expert Series 


The 30 Minute Expert Series is designed for busy individuals interested in acquiring an in-depth understanding of critically acclaimed books.
 
More than just a summary, each book in the 30 Minute Expert Series offers a detailed analysis, key ideas and their application, and a contextual understanding of each work, in a straightforward and easily digestible format. Designed as companions to the original works, the 30 Minute Expert Series texts enable readers to gain expert knowledge of important works ...in 30 Minutes.

More About the Author

Designed for those whose desire to learn exceeds the time they have available, 30 Minute Expert Series enables readers to rapidly understand the important ideas behind critically acclaimed books.

With a condensed format, readers can quickly and easily become experts ...in 30 minutes.

Customer Reviews

3.7 out of 5 stars
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Most Helpful Customer Reviews

2 of 2 people found the following review helpful By Amazon Customer on August 30, 2013
Format: Kindle Edition Verified Purchase
It's a summary. It points out the key themes, although it lacks some of the complexity. The best part is the pros and cons part.
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2 of 2 people found the following review helpful By James B. Foreman on May 2, 2013
Format: Kindle Edition Verified Purchase
I picked The Signal and the Noise off the rack at Barnes & Nobles a few months ago for a brief scan. What impressed me was the simplicity and clarity of Silver's over arching theme - that we are not naturally good at making predictions - but we can become better.
I decided to order the Kindle version of The Signal and the Noise in ...30 minutes; a wise move. This very brief and concise overview speaks to a topic near and dear to my heart. As a mortgage broker I had a front row set to the financial crisis of 2008. Would embracing the Bayesian model of predictions that Nate Silvers uses to express his ideas have saved us from this financial debacle? Maybe not, one of his points is that people do not use the information and tools at hand because of their overconfidence and not recognizing their own biases.
The good news is that this subject is being addressed. Nate Silvers along with Nassim Taleb, Benoit Mendelbrot, Leonard Mlodinow and others are challenging our attitudes toward cause and effect, and our tendency to craft self-justifying narratives. Silvers give us some very useful tools- one great tool from an 18th century English minister.
I will be adding the original book to my financial library.

The Signal and the Noise in 30 Minutes - The Expert Guide to Nate Silver's Critically Acclaimed Book (The 30 Minute Expert Series)
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1 of 1 people found the following review helpful By phil on September 23, 2013
Format: Paperback Verified Purchase
This thin thin book is thin for a reason: there's very little substance in it. I'll summarize it for you: Nate Silver says to avoid personal bias when making predictions (this is hard to do), and he also says that Bayesian thinking is the way to go.

Now, to find out anything more about these quite valid opinions of Mr. Silver's, I'm going to buy his book, The Signal and the Noise, which is what I should have done in the first place.
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1 of 1 people found the following review helpful By Bob Steiner on August 18, 2013
Format: Kindle Edition
Yup, took about 30 minutes to read. This is the first "Expert Guide" I've read, and while I was hoping for just a bit more information, it was exactly what the author says it is - a detailed book review. Next time, I'll probably rely on published reviews and just purchase whatever book I'm interested in. It just isn't a substitute for this particular book.
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1 of 1 people found the following review helpful By John M. Danielski on April 29, 2013
Format: Kindle Edition Verified Purchase
Wouldn't you find it useful to have a book which quickly pinpoints why so many predictions fail and supplies a simple formula that enables you to better predict your own future? This concise work summarizes statistician and political consult Nate Silver's best seller, and explains why it is so important in predictions to separate the signal, or truth, from the noise, or distraction. Predictions which claim to be fully objective, but ignore personal biases and conflicting incentives to establish an impartial outcome, often prove worthless despite computer, massive amounts of data and expert research. Silver supplies examples from politics, weather, and the stock market and suggests Bayesian thinking as an alternative to increase the ratio of truth over noise and reduce the influence of personal assumptions. Bayesian thinking involves assigning simple percentages of probability to possible outcomes of a given situation. It can be easily done by anyone and based on Silver's very considerable success as a predictor of recent elections, it is an improvement on traditional methods of statistical analysis. The book comes with a glossary, suggestions for further reading, and reviews, both pro and con, of the work it summarizes. By the end, you can decide if you would care to proceed with reading the full book.
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By Red Hue on January 4, 2014
Format: Paperback Verified Purchase
VERY NICE SUMMARY ...WITHOUT BEING TO COMPLICATED. I REFER TO IT OFTEN JUST TO STIMULATE IDEAS FOR MY OWN WORK IN PROBABILITY.
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Format: Kindle Edition Verified Purchase
I wanted a good summary of Nate Silver's book with some specific key points and insights but got a fairly useless discussion about the book that did not support informative conversation.
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