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The science of prediction

Edward Durney
The list author says: "Many people make money from predicting the future. Stockpickers. Weather people. Climate scientists. Fortune tellers.

Can people really predict the future? I don't think so. Neither do these authors."
The Future of Everything: The Science of Prediction
The Future of Everything: The Science of Prediction
"Great book on the future, and why we are blind to it."
The Fortune Sellers: The Big Business of Buying and Selling Predictions
The Fortune Sellers: The Big Business of Buying and Selling Predictions
"A little dated in some of what it says. Oddly prescient, though, in most of it. Oddly in that Sherden thinks no one can predict the future. But, to a degree, he has."
Future Babble: Why Expert Predictions Are Next to Worthless, and You Can Do Better
Future Babble: Why Expert Predictions Are Next to Worthless, and You Can Do Better
"A great book that takes a look at previous predictions pundits have made, and then sees how close their predictions were. Even the best experts had abysmal records. Given that, why do we still listen to experts? Dan Gardner looks at that too. In short, we want to. The predictions make us feel better about dealing with an uncertain and terrifying world."
Expert Political Judgment: How Good Is It? How Can We Know?
Expert Political Judgment: How Good Is It? How Can We Know?
"The writing is a little dense. But the thinking is fresh and illuminating. Tells how brash and confident "foxes" get most predictions wrong, but modest and hedging "hedgehogs" do better."
The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail - But Some Don't
The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail - But Some Don't
"Entertaining, but not much substance there. Nate Silver says he will tell us why so many predictions fail, but some don't. But he never really does tell us. While a good read, the book has a lot of noise, but little signal."