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Thinking about the Future, Guidelines for Strategic Foresight
 
 
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Thinking about the Future, Guidelines for Strategic Foresight [Perfect Paperback]

Andy Hines (Author), Peter Bishop (Author)
3.5 out of 5 stars  See all reviews (2 customer reviews)


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Book Description

February 28, 2007
Thinking about the Future distills the expertise of three dozen senior foresight professionals into a set of essential guidelines for carrying out successful strategic foresight. Presented in a highly scannable yet personable style, each guideline includes an explanation and rationale, key steps, a case example, and resources for further study. The 115 guidelines are organized into six sequential categories that mirror the phases of a strategic foresight activity, namely Framing, Scanning, Forecasting, Visioning, Planning, and Acting. Executives will find both the guidelines and the framework invaluable for understanding what it takes to successfully explore the future, while analysts who actively carry out strategic foresight projects will find the book an indispensable reference that they turn to again and again.


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About the Author

Andy Hines manages the consulting practice at Social Technologies, and also serves as an Adjunct Professor at the University of Houston MS Program in Futures Studies, whose program he graduated from in 1990. He enjoyed earlier careers as both a consulting and organizational futurist, including at Dow Chemical and Kellogg and at the futures think tank Coates & Jarratt. He co-founded and was Executive Director of the Association of Professional Futurists, has co-authored two previous books including 2025 Science and Technology Reshapes US and Global Society (Oak Hill, 1997) and has authored dozens of articles, speeches, and workshops including An Audit for Organizational Futurists, which won the 2003 Emerald Literati Awards Outstanding Paper accolade when it was published in Foresight magazine. Dr. Peter Bishop is an Associate Professor of Strategic Foresight and Coordinator of the MS Program in Futures Studies at the University of Houston. Dr. Bishop specializes in long-term forecasting and planning. He delivers keynote addresses and conducts seminars on the future for business, government, and not-for-profit organizations, and facilitates groups in developing scenarios, visions, and strategic plans for the future. He is a founding board member of the Association of Professional Futurists, as well as President of his own firm, Strategic Foresight and Development, which provides businesses with education and training in futures thinking and techniques. He received his doctoral degree in sociology from Michigan State University in 1974.

Excerpt. © Reprinted by permission. All rights reserved.

There has perhaps never been a time in human history where strategic foresight is more needed. Whether for business, government, education, nonprofits, or even individuals, the ability to--as Richard Slaughter suggests in the preface--"create and sustain a variety of high-quality forward views and to apply the emerging insights in useful ways" is at a premium. Yet precious little guidance is available on the best ways to do this. This book is not an explicit methodology text, but rather suggests what executives and analysts should be thinking about and doing when contemplating or performing activities involving strategic foresight. It aims at communicating the collective wisdom of three dozen expert contributors for attaining excellence in strategic foresight. Thus, its primary goal is to provide readers with clear and useful guidance regarding how best to practice strategic foresight.

This guidance is presented in the form of guidelines that represent a distillation of best practice. The presentation style is brief and to the point--designed to provide essential, need-to-know information that can be immediately put into practice. We believe that analysts and organizations that follow these guidelines will be more effective than those that do not.

Many practicing analysts today have little experience or formal training in strategic foresight. This work addresses that gap by cataloging the best guidelines for successfully applying strategic foresight, offered by professionals in the field today. It is intended both for those new to strategic foresight who would benefit from a reference guide, and for more experienced practitioners who will be able to pick out ideas to refine and improve their practices. As organizations become more efficient, payrolls are shrinking and more analysts are being tasked with activities that require strategic foresight. At the same time, analysts find themselves with few places to turn for readily available and applicable guides on how to do it. Providing that guidance is the primary aim of this book.


Product Details

  • Perfect Paperback: 253 pages
  • Publisher: Social Technologies; 1st edition (February 28, 2007)
  • Language: English
  • ISBN-10: 097893170X
  • ISBN-13: 978-0978931704
  • Product Dimensions: 7.9 x 7.8 x 0.6 inches
  • Shipping Weight: 15.2 ounces
  • Average Customer Review: 3.5 out of 5 stars  See all reviews (2 customer reviews)
  • Amazon Best Sellers Rank: #705,029 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)

More About the Author

Andy Hines is Lecturer and Executive-in-Residence at the University of Houston's Graduate Program in Futures Studies, bringing together the experience he earned as an organizational, consulting, and academic futurist. He is also speaking, workshopping, and consulting through his new firm Hinesight (www.andyhinesight.com).

Before that, he was Managing Director of Social Technologies (now Innovaro), and served as an Adjunct Professor with the university for five years. Hines enjoyed earlier careers as a consulting and organizational futurist. He was a partner with Coates & Jarratt, Inc., a think tank and consulting firm that specialized in the study of the future. He was also Futurist & Senior Ideation Leader at Dow Chemical with a mission of using futures tools and knowledge to turn ideas into new business opportunities. Before that, Hines established and ran the Global Trends Program for the Kellogg Company.

Hines is motivated by a professional hunger to make foresight practical and useful, and he believes that foresight can help deliver the insight that is so needed in today's organizations and the world. His goal, he says, is to infect as many change agents as possible with this message. Thus, he has honed a skill set designed to make foresight more actionable in organizations.

In this pursuit, he co-founded and is currently on the Board of the Association of Professional Futurists, and has co-authored three books -- Thinking About the Future: Guidelines for Strategic Foresight (Social Technologies, 2007)," 2025: Science and Technology Reshapes US and Global Society (Oak Hill, 1997) and Managing Your Future as an Association (ASAE, 1994). He has also authored dozens of articles, speeches, and workshops, including the 2003 Emerald Literati Awards' Outstanding Paper accolade for best article published in Foresight for "An Audit for Organizational Futurists" and the 2008 award for "Scenarios: The State of the Art." In the last year, he has appeared on several radio and television programs, including KRIV-26 News talking about the future of libraries and the CBS "Early Show," to talk about a study MTV commissioned his team at Social Technologies to investigate: "The Future of the Youth Happiness."

 

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6 of 8 people found the following review helpful:
4.0 out of 5 stars Future Thinking with a hidden potential, August 2, 2007
This review is from: Thinking about the Future, Guidelines for Strategic Foresight (Perfect Paperback)
Personally I would have put a 5 star rating; but, I lowered it to keep it real. The actual 5 star rating would require more introduction to the principles behind thinking in general and specifically thinking about the future. But with a little creativity this book could be used as a thinking system like Edward de Bono "Six Thinking Hats". This is the answer to his latest adventure into designing the future. If he wants to really move ahead with "New Thinking" this will give him a Quantum leap to the future. Futurlogics is another possibility. Every business should consider the ideas in this book with great editing by Andy Hines.
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0 of 14 people found the following review helpful:
3.0 out of 5 stars Good, March 3, 2008
This review is from: Thinking about the Future, Guidelines for Strategic Foresight (Perfect Paperback)
It is a good book, delivery was ok. I did not like the soft cover of the book
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Inside This Book (learn more)
Key Phrases - Statistically Improbable Phrases (SIPs): (learn more)
foresight activity, foresight professionals, strategic foresight, foresight activities, scanning hits, foresight work, futures wheel, integral perspective, strategic conversation, baseline forecast, spiral dynamics, official future, different thinking styles, unlikely idea, creative conversations
Key Phrases - Capitalized Phrases (CAPs): (learn more)
New York, Currency Doubleday, United States, Global Business Network, Harvard Business School Press, San Francisco, Viewed August, Free Press, Harvard Business Review, Soviet Union, Accelerating Organizational Learning, Causal Layered Analysis, Futures Research Quarterly, Millennium Project, The Sixth Sense, Futures Research Methodology, Oxford University Press, Uncertain World, Viewed June, World Future Society, Air Force, Corporate Strategy Board, Crown Content, Ice Wine, Pierre Wack
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