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Trading on Corporate Earnings News: Profiting from Targeted, Short-Term Options Positions
 
 

Trading on Corporate Earnings News: Profiting from Targeted, Short-Term Options Positions [Kindle Edition]

John Shon
3.8 out of 5 stars  See all reviews (18 customer reviews)

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Editorial Reviews

Product Description

This is the eBook version of the printed book.

Profit from earnings announcements, by taking targeted, short-term option positions explicitly timed to exploit them! Based on rigorous research and huge data sets, this book identifies the specific earnings-announcement trades most likely to yield profits, and teaches how to make these trades—in plain English, with real examples!

 

Trading on Corporate Earnings News is the first practical, hands-on guide to profiting from earnings announcements. Writing for investors and traders at all experience levels, the authors show how to take targeted, short-term option positions that are explicitly timed to exploit the information in companies’ quarterly earnings announcements. They first present powerful findings of cutting-edge studies that have examined market reactions to quarterly earnings announcements, regularities of earnings surprises, and option trading around corporate events. Drawing on enormous data sets, they identify the types of earnings-announcement trades most likely to yield profits, based on the predictable impacts of variables such as firm size, visibility, past performance, analyst coverage, forecast dispersion, volatility, and the impact of restructurings and acquisitions. Next, they provide real examples of individual stocks–and, in some cases, conduct large sample tests–to guide investors in taking advantage of these documented regularities. Finally, they discuss crucial nuances and pitfalls that can powerfully impact performance.

From the Back Cover

Trading on Corporate Earnings News is one of those rare, high-quality pieces of work that is destined to become an instant source of value creation for serious investors. Its greatest strength lies in linking actual statistics to market behavior and fundamental analysis. Serious investors who study the material will undoubtedly discover its value as a springboard for further analysis. That said, nobody interested in structuring option trades around corporate events such as earnings should be without this book. John Shon and Ping Zhou must be commended for creating a study of this caliber.”

Jeff Augen, author, Trading Options at Expiration and Day Trading Options

 

“John Shon and Ping Zhou have transformed two dry subjects–earnings announcements and options trading–into a dynamic, interesting, well documented, and highly readable book. Anyone wanting to improve their trade timing will need to read this book. It is an excellent addition to the options trading literature.”

Michael C. Thomsett, author, Options Trading for the Conservative Investor

 

“John Shon and Ping Zhou have written the ultimate recipe book for trading earnings news with options. They cover the theory and evidence of earnings announcements and market reactions, and describe in great detail the implementation of option trading strategies that exploit these findings. Trading on Corporate Earnings News demonstrates that rigorous statistical, economic, and financial analysis can lead to profitable investments. I recommend this book as an excellent reference for all investors interested in improving their option trading skills using earnings news and for all readers curious about the fascinating field of accounting and finance.”

Minh Trinh, CFA, PhD, Managing Principal, Referee Advisors LLC

 

“John Shon and Ping Zhou have created a masterpiece based on clear and penetrating observations on stock price volatility. Their discovery that options-based trading around earnings announcements yields better returns, backed by their research and undeniable evidence, is groundbreaking. Written in simple and plain language, it is appropriate for the pro and novice alike. If you trade–or want to know how to trade options–you need to buy this book.”

John Reilly, Managing Partner, Alliance Capital Partners

 

Trading on Corporate Earnings News shows how to earn large, quick profits by taking targeted, short-term options positions timed explicitly to exploit companies’ quarterly earnings announcements.


The authors begin by presenting new findings from cutting-edge studies on market reactions to quarterly earnings news and surprises. Drawing on enormous data sets, they identify the types of earnings announcement trades that are most likely to yield profits, based on the predictable impact of several key variables. Next, they provide real examples of individual stocks–and, in some cases, conduct large sample tests–to help investors profit from these regularities. Finally, they show how to manage crucial nuances and pitfalls that can powerfully impact performance.


Designed for every investor or trader, Trading on Corporate Earnings News brings together everything you need: strong underlying theory, rigorous empirical research, actionable strategies, and real-world, plain-English execution techniques.

 

Equity and options behavior around earnings announcements

How stocks and options really move before and after earnings news


Surprising reactions to earnings surprises

Why markets often don’t react the way you expect–and what to do about it


Improving your odds on every trade

Practical issues, proven theories, and unexpected empirical regularities


Beyond options: powerful ideas for stock-based investing

Gain deep market insights that you can apply in every investment


Product Details

  • Format: Kindle Edition
  • File Size: 1437 KB
  • Publisher: FT Press; 1 edition (April 15, 2011)
  • Sold by: Amazon Digital Services
  • Language: English
  • ASIN: B004GXB3DA
  • Text-to-Speech: Enabled
  • Average Customer Review: 3.8 out of 5 stars  See all reviews (18 customer reviews)
  • Amazon Best Sellers Rank: #194,050 Paid in Kindle Store (See Top 100 Paid in Kindle Store)
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Customer Reviews

18 Reviews
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 (7)
4 star:
 (6)
3 star:
 (2)
2 star:    (0)
1 star:
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Average Customer Review
3.8 out of 5 stars (18 customer reviews)
 
 
 
 
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Most Helpful Customer Reviews

13 of 13 people found the following review helpful:
1.0 out of 5 stars Useless, July 10, 2011
Save yourself the time and money, here's the meat of the entire book;

It's very difficult to predict earnings, and even if you could, its just as difficult to predict the markets reaction to those earnings. So buy a straddle or strangle just before the market close the day before the earnings annoucement, then dump the position before the market closes the day of the actual earnings announcement. That's it! That's essentially the entire book!

The authors like true accedmic types present wads of supporting studies to back up their claim that its difficult to predict both earnings and the subsequent market reaction to those earnings, but they fail in providing a trading plan that's been shown to make money over time. To be fair, the authors give guidelines for which options (those with small bid/ask spreads) or which types of stocks should be used in executing this plan, but outside of a small set of guidelines, the "plan" is largely to just blindly buy a straddle or strangle the day before a company announces its earnings then dump the position the day of the actual announcement. Is this a long term profitable stratedgy? I dunno, but I am not about to invest my money in a plan that I "hope" works.

One could argue,as other reviewers have, that to employ this method, you should study the company, analyze its earnings, etc, etc....not be lazy as one reviewer has suggested, but that goes against the entire crux of this method in that you can't predict earnings and even if you could, you can't predict the markets reaction to those earnings, that's why you buy a straddle!


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10 of 10 people found the following review helpful:
5.0 out of 5 stars Trading earnings with nondirectional option plays, February 21, 2011
Customer review from the Amazon Vine™ Program (What's this?)
Traders who want to cash in on the huge swings that growth stocks have after earnings are announced will find this book very informative and interesting. The authors show through statistics and empirical data how traders can make money in option plays that are held through a company's earning announcement.

Half of the earnings announcements made by companies have market returns that are 30 times as large as a typical non-announcement day. These kind of moves make volatility driven option strategies successful many times. The research shows that companies that have surprised the market with better than expected earnings will continue to do so. The research also shows that it is very difficult to predict how the market will react to good or bad surprise earnings. Sometimes it sells the news even when it is good and sometimes it goes up on bad news, the complexity of the reports also come into play where revenue is not what the market wanted so it sales off even though the earnings beat expectations.

The book recommends buying options that are very close to at-the-money on both sides both a call and a put where the delta is near 1 in the closest month to expiration. This is an option straddle where you profit on a sharp move in the underlying stock regardless of which way it moves as long as it is a big move. This is where you want to be to get the maximum response to price movement with the option that occurs in the equity. This is a very short term strategy buying the day of the earnings announcement and only holding to the next day. This limits any deterioration in the option through losing the theta value through time. You want to sell the options on both sides the next day to lock in profits after the move before the stock retraces. Growth stocks often have the torpedo effect when they miss earnings and fall dramatically, this would be profitable for this straddle strategy.

However for this strategy to work you must buy options that trade enough contracts to have a tight bid and ask spread so you do not lose your profits going in and out of the trade of a stock with illiquid options. If the stock does not move fast enough after earnings to cover both premiums then you will sell the next day for a loss because of collapsing volatility value in Vega. However if the stock does move farther than the premiums of both the call and the put you will have a profit on the side that was hedged for that direction that will cover the loss of the other side of the straddle that will be almost worthless after the trend.

This strategy caps your down side risk but gives you the potential for unlimited profits theoretically in a strong trend after earnings.

One problem with this strategy is the efficiency of pricing in implied volatility. You must have that greater than expected move to be profitable. The book does a good job of showing option traders how to locate these specific types of trades. The winning trades on the right trades are in the high double digits on the capital used.

These trades are non-directional which increases your odds, you do not have to predict the direction of a big move you just need a big move. Great book for people learning about option strategies, great food for thought.
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12 of 14 people found the following review helpful:
4.0 out of 5 stars To-the-point discussion of option strategies for earnings announcements, February 1, 2011
Customer review from the Amazon Vine™ Program (What's this?)
In a sense, if you already know about straddles and strangles, one could be forgiven to think that the book doesn't offer anything new. If all you are looking for a "new" trading strategy, this book will disappoint. However, this short, easy-to-read book should be mostly viewed as understanding the dynamics of earnings announcements - right from what is included in earnings report and which numbers matter (and why) to post earnings drifts and specific strategies trade around such events.

A recent article in a leading financial weekly cited a research firm that over 75% of the straddles/strangles lost money in the ongoing earnings season (Jan-Feb 2011) - mostly attributed to the collapse of the implied volatility (the authors do explain this phenomenon very well). As such there is obviously no guaranteed results - but this book provides almost everything a trader would want to develop a comprehensive checklist in entering into trades around earnings (in fact, this strategy is not limited to earnings seasons - pharma/biotech companies facing FDA action dates are also viable candidates for this strategy). The authors cite one of my favorite books in option trading - The Volatility Edge in Options Trading: New Technical Strategies for Investing in Unstable Markets whose discussion on volatility collapse is a must-read for any trader. In fact, this book joins another favorite of mine - Trading Options at Expiration: Strategies and Models for Winning the Endgame in devising and refining my strategies.

The book is written in a very down-to-earth manner with not much technical vocabulary assumed. For a more serious reader, the authors provide citations of some of the foundational academic research in this space. Overall, a very crisp, well-organized book. I just wish they had hypothesized on specific strategies and performed some back-testing to give the reader a better understanding of the odds. 4.5*
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From a practical standpoint, you should therefore be particularly cautious when entering orders in contracts that have fewer than 50 contracts traded on an average day. &quote;
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Choose option contracts in the closest/nearest expiration month, because they have the highest delta. &quote;
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Open contracts that are very close to at-the-money. If you cant, due to an uneven stock price, enter into the closest in-the-money or out-of-the-money contract you can. &quote;
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