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Uncertainty Modeling and Analysis in Civil Engineering [Hardcover]

Bilal M. Ayyub (Author)

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Book Description

December 29, 1997 0849331080 978-0849331084 1
With the expansion of new technologies, materials, and the design of complex systems, the expectations of society upon engineers are becoming larger than ever. Engineers make critical decisions with potentially high adverse consequences. The current political, societal, and financial climate requires engineers to formally consider the factors of uncertainty (e.g., floods, earthquakes, winds, environmental risks) in their decisions at all levels.
Uncertainty Modeling and Analysis in Civil Engineering provides a thorough report on the immediate state of uncertainty modeling and analytical methods for civil engineering systems, presenting a toolbox for solving problems in real-world situations.
Topics include
  • Neural networks
  • Genetic algorithms
  • Numerical modeling
  • Fuzzy sets and operations
  • Reliability and risk analysis
  • Systems control
  • Uncertainty in probability estimates
    This compendium is a considerable reference for civil engineers as well as for engineers in other disciplines, computer scientists, general scientists, and students.

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    More About the Author

    Bilal M. Ayyub is a professor of civil and environmental engineering at the University of Maryland, College Park, and the director of the Center for Technology and Systems Management (CTSM) at the A. James Clark School of Engineering. Ayyub has been at the University of Maryland since 1983. He is a leading authority in the areas of risk analysis, uncertainty modeling, decision analysis, and systems engineering. Ayyub is also the president of BMA Engineering, Inc., a Bethesda, Maryland-based engineering consulting firm that works with infrastructure and defense systems.

    Ayyub is a multiple recipient of the ASNE Jimmie Hamilton Award for the best papers in the Naval Engineers Journal in 1985, 1992, 2000 and 2003. Also, he received the ASCE Outstanding Research Oriented Paper in the Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management for 1987, the ASCE Edmund Friedman Award in 1989, the ASCE Walter Huber Research Prize in 1997, and the K. S. Fu Award of NAFIPS in 1995. He received the Department of the Army Public Service Award in 2007 for leading the development of the risk model for the hurricane protection system of New Orleans. Ayyub was appointed to many national committees and investigation boards including most recently on the working group on higher education of the transition team of Maryland Governor Martin O'Malley, 2006-07, the working group on homeland security of the transition team of Maryland Governor Martin O'Malley, 2006-07, and the Committee for Assessment of the Bureau of Reclamation's Security Program, Board on Infrastructure and the Constructed Environment, National Research Council of the National Academies, 2006-08. He was appointed to the Maryland Governor's Commission on Middle Eastern American Affairs, and on the Board of Advisors of the ASCE Council on Disaster Risk Management(CDRM). Presently, he chairs the CDRM Vulnerability and Risk Committee. He has delivered many invited talks at leading national and international organizations including most recently a distinguished lecture to the Brazilian Research Agency, the Department of Homeland Security, Naval War College for the Chief of Naval Operations, the Army Corps of Engineers, and the Australian National Marine Safety Committee.

    Ayyub is the author and co-author of more than 550 publications in journals and conference proceedings, and reports. Among the publications of Ayyub are more than 20 books.

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    Inside This Book (learn more)
    First Sentence:
    The process of engineering design can be systematically performed within a systems framework. Read the first page
    Key Phrases - Statistically Improbable Phrases (SIPs): (learn more)
    uncertainty logarithmic standard deviation, subnetwork encircled, average side friction, unit side friction, generalized design space, integrated estimation approach, limiting state surface, plant resistance value, side friction capacity, turning flow data, fuzzy risk analysis, bankfull elevation, fuzzy load, fatigue damage criterion, fuzzy resistance, stream channel restoration, hardware cycles, flange breadth, nearness degree, expert opinion approach, expert opinion data, meander characteristics, miter gate, using bin sizes, longitudinally stiffened panel
    Key Phrases - Capitalized Phrases (CAPs): (learn more)
    New York, Monte Carlo, John Wiley, Journal of Engineering Mechanics, International Conference, Coast Guard, International Symposium, Journal of Structural Engineering, Probability Concepts, Academic Press, Latin Hypercube, Army Engineer Waterways Experiment Station, College Park, Approximate Reasoning, Carderock Division, Electric Power Research Institute, Elsevier Science, Low Growth, Palo Alto, Technical Report, Transportation Research, Years Title, Naval Engineers Journal, Pergamon Press, Probabilistic Structural Mechanics Handbook
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    Front Cover | Table of Contents | First Pages | Index | Back Cover | Surprise Me!
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