Eric Margolis has written a book of tumultuous ethnic, political and religious conflict in the border regions of China, India, Pakistan, India and Tibet that rivals the tectonic majesty of the Himalayas. Although his book is short, it is an intense, detailed read of the a region in which the world's two most populous nations border, and three of the world's nuclear powers contend for regional survival and dominance.
The first part of the book focuses on Afghanistan and "the bravest men on earth." While I think that the veterans of Iwo Jima, Inchon and the Normandy invasion might have a claim or two to that title, Margolis nonetheless paints a convincing picture of tough, determined fighters bound by strict codes of honor and rivers of tribal blood. The explanations of the Great Jihad and how the defeat of the Soviet Union has dissipated the focus, and thus the forces, of the struggle against "Satan #1" have led to the present spread of militant Islam (not unlike the 7th and 8th centuries AD) are clairvoyant. While it would overstate the claim that our current war stems directly from the conflict termination of the Russo-Afghan War of the 1980's, there are strong causal ties. Margolis further accurately captures the very circumstances of controlled chaos and weak to non existent government that Osama bin Laden and his al-Qeada criminals look to exploit, whether in eastern Indonesia, southern Philippines, Afghanistan, Lebanon or eastern Africa.
After this opening section, Margolis turns his attention to another, more serious upheaval and potential for conflict with not just religious ideologies, but nuclear weapons. Margolis does a superb job of capturing in short paragraphs and chapters the British penchant for drawing arbitrary boundaries where none have ever stood or belong when dismembering their empire, and the resultant inevitable clashes. The "Durand Line" that separated the Pashtun tribe, one of the world's largest, into half in Afghanistan and half in Pakistan, is another case of British Imperial folly. As if that were not enough, the split down the middle of the Kashmir ensures a constant shifting population around that border between India and Pakistan, and armed conflict as each attempts to assert its supremacy and sovereignty over that contested fertile region. In trying to control the Kashmir, and the headwaters, both sides are naturally pushed higher and higher into the mountains, in essence trying to find a flanking position. In this case, the "flanking" movements have led them to the Siachen Glacier, 17,000 feet above sea level where men begin to die of cardiac and pulmonary edema and other exotic mountain climber maladies. Further, given the inaccessibility of the region, the cost of each round of artillery ammunition is exorbitant, and being paid by two of the poorest nations on earth for a piece of national pride. Lastly, in this section, Margolis neatly captures and summarizes the strategic dilemma for Pakistan: like Israel, lacking strategic depth and having a flat open southern border which can be quickly overrun by Indian armored task groups, Pakistan feels it has no option but to build nuclear, and be prepared to "go ugly early" in case of a war with India. Unlike the former USSR and the USA during the Cold War, neither side has enough weapons to apply the MAD doctrine, so there is no "comfortable" negating influence.
Enter the Dragon. In the last third of the book, Margolis tries to portray the depth and complexity of the relationship between China and India at the top of the world. China has its own expansionist mandate, and internal fundamental rebellious Muslim population. India, too, has an expansionist plan into the Himalayas and northern high mountain plains. Both have postured against the other looking for leverage, and a flank. While Margolis does not paint quite so bleak a picture of these tow nations and the probability of war, given their size, and rapid naval expansion of both powers, it may be more inevitable than the more intuitive Pak-India war.
This book has the traditional strengths and weaknesses of a book written by journalists. Favorably, it presents in short form a massive spectrum of international relations, geopolitics, ethnic divisiveness and religious separatism that is breath taking in its scope. Unfavorably, it requires that the reader have some pre existing knowledge of the region and subject matter. It does not have footnotes, so it is hard to plan further reading. It lacks enough maps or pictures to add richness to the written word. All in all, a good read that presents the issues clearly and concisely, prompts the reader to ask as many questions as it attempts to answer, and raises grave concern about perhaps the world's most dangerous flash point.