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When the Market Moves, Will You Be Ready? Paperback – September 26, 2003


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Product Details

  • Paperback: 240 pages
  • Publisher: McGraw-Hill; 1 edition (September 26, 2003)
  • Language: English
  • ISBN-10: 0071413294
  • ISBN-13: 978-0071410670
  • ASIN: 0071410678
  • Product Dimensions: 9.2 x 7.4 x 0.7 inches
  • Shipping Weight: 1.1 pounds (View shipping rates and policies)
  • Average Customer Review: 4.6 out of 5 stars  See all reviews (8 customer reviews)
  • Amazon Best Sellers Rank: #1,025,876 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)

Editorial Reviews

From the Back Cover

The First Hands-On Guidebook for Macrowave Investing--Today's Most Potent, Strategically Advanced Event-Trading Technique

"Macro" events play a large part in determining movement in markets, sectors, and individual stocks. Often these events are preceded by signals that a price-impacting event is about to occur. The key to success is using those signals to determine your buys and sells. The companion to Dr. Peter Navarro's bestselling If It's Raining In Brazil, Buy Starbucks, which won over the investing world to the effectiveness of macrowave investing, this workbook features:

  • Techniques to determine the direction of the market, sector trends, and stocks within those sectors

  • Exercises, review questions, checklists, and more to preparee you for macrowave investing

  • The Three-Point Break Method--A tool to identify trend reversals and the profitable points at which to buy or sell

Financial markets are driven by the emotions, and reactions of investors to headline reports and events. When the Market Moves, Will You Be Ready? shows you how to use the predictive strength of macrowave investing to determine when such events will occur, the impact of these events on the market, and the sectors or stocks that will help you profit from the aftermath.

"This book takes a wonderful 'bifocal' look at investing. If you want a book that is both practical and insightful, this is the book for you."--Julie Stav, author of the #1 bestseller Get Your Share

About the Author

Peter Navarro, Ph.D. is a professor of business and economics at the University of California. The author of If It's Raining in Brazil, Buy Starbucks, Dr. Navarro has written articles for Harvard Business Review, BusinessWeek, the Wall Street Journal, and other financial publications.


More About the Author

Peter Navarro is a Harvard Ph.D. economist and professor of public policy at the University of California, Irvine. His latest book Death By China is a sequel to his best-selling book The Coming China Wars and is now a documenatry film (www.deathbychina.com).

In addition to his work on China, Professor Navarro has written numerous books on strategically managing the business cycle from both an executive and a stock trading point of view. His books include: "The Well-Timed Strategy," "Always a Winner," "If It's Raining in Brazil, Buy Starbucks," "What the Best MBAs Know," and "When the Market Moves, Will You Be Ready?"

A widely sought-after and gifted public speaker, Professor Navarro has appeared frequently on Bloomberg TV, CNN, CNBC, NPR, and all three major network news shows as well as 60 Minutes. Navarro's articles have appeared in a wide range of leading publications, including Barrons, Business Week, Harvard Business Review, The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, and Sloan Management Review. His weekly newsletter on the economy and stock market is distributed widely and is available to the public at www.peternavarro.com .

Customer Reviews

4.6 out of 5 stars
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He uses a very logical flow of concepts and supports them with good information.
Arizona Photographer
The book is very instructive and very useful for novice as well as experienced investors.
ceroneinc
He combined macro economic factors with fundamental/technical approach to the market.
Brian E. Mitchell

Most Helpful Customer Reviews

23 of 25 people found the following review helpful By ServantofGod on July 24, 2004
Format: Paperback
Though the title of this book leads one to take it as the sequel to the author's first book "If it's raining in Brazil, buy Starbucks", it is quite different from it coz "if" is more like an "if then if then" excercise/reminder for relatively veteran investors, whilst this book is more like a beginner's guide to the author's concept of "Macrowave Investing", essence of which can be described by its three golden rules and four stages:-

R1. Buy strong stocks in strong sectors in an upward-trending market

R2. Short weak stocks in weak sectors in a downward-trending market

R3. Stay out of the market and in cash when there is no definable trend.

S1. Diagnose and prognose on corporate earnings news, flow of macroeconomic data, conduct of fiscal and monetary policy of govt, and exogenous shocks like wars and rain in Brazil, the so called four dynamic factors.

S2. Determine broad market and individual sector trends wrt business cycle, stock market cycle and interest rate cycle.

S3. Screen individual stock thru fundamental and technical analysis.

S4. Uses risk/money/trade management tools

The author said that this book is for all. As a professional trader, I believe that it is much more suitable for amateur long term stock investors who favors fundamental analysis. The coverage on S1 and S2 are brilliant, but not for S3 and S4. Serious investors should read some books else to compliment the inadequacies on TA and risk/money management.

In short, a good book. The Q&A and resource reference in the end of each chapter is very helpful. A value buy!
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12 of 12 people found the following review helpful By L. Masonson on December 8, 2003
Format: Paperback
Professor Peter Navarro teaches at the University of California (Irvine) and has written an interesting workbook on the "macro-investing" method. It focuses on getting a handle on the big picture.
As a teacher, Navarro firmly believes that learning involves not only reading material, but also understanding it which can be assessed by using pertinent questions and exercises. That is why he places questions and exercises after each of his 20 chapters, and provides the answers in a separate 25-page section at the end of the book. This is an excellent reinforcement approach which more books should follow, especially those that are more dense.
Navarro puts forth his three key macro-investing rules:
1. buy strong stocks in strong sectors in markets
2. short weak stocks in weak sectors in declining markets
3. stay in cash in a trendless market
He warns investors that even buying the best stock in the wrong sector in a down market is suicide. According to Navarro, eighty percent of investors lost one-half of their money in the 2000-2002 bear market. Therefore, he urges investors to be on the lookout for macro-economic events, what he refers to as "macrowaves" that precede market action. These include such items as government reports on inflation, employment, growth, Fed policy changes, and large company earnings. He believes this news drives markets up and down.
In multiple chapters, Navarro explains the four steps of macrowave investing and the three key cycles (business, interest rate, and stock market) and which stock sectors would be best to invest in during each aspect of the cycles.
One chapter explains the yield curve and how to use it to understand the changes in stocks can bonds.
Read more ›
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11 of 13 people found the following review helpful By magellan HALL OF FAMETOP 1000 REVIEWER on January 15, 2004
Format: Paperback
Very well written, clear, and concise book on the market, emphasizing using both fundamental value and technical chart analysis to play the market. Perhaps the most important point made in the book is the author pointing out that one must pick strong stocks in strong sectors in order to be really successful. This tip might be worth the price of the book by itself, since 3 out of 4 stocks will ultimately follow the broad market anyway. (You can get that sector strength information from the Investor's Business Daily paper or the paid version of the website, but you'll have to pay the premium subscription price to get it).
One other extremely interesting section is where the author shows that buying stocks during the cold months and selling them during the warm months of the year can produce almost twice the gains of holding them throughout the year. This strategy tested out as valid in the American market going back several decades and incredibly was valid in the British market going back to 1694. The basic point is that holding stocks from October to April resulted in an average return of about 12%, whereas holding them throughout the year resulted in a performance of almost half that, because stocks often declined during the warmer months. Again, that little tidbit of advice might be worth the price of the book by itself, and is reminiscent of the strategy of buying the index and going long when the stock market crosses its 200-day moving average on the upside, and shorting it when it crosses the 200-day moving average on the downside, which has produced an average return of 17%. I've looked at dozens of simple and complex strategies but I hadn't heard of this sort of seasonal strategy before and was very interested to find that out, and may give it a try myself. So overall, a fine book on the market that should be useful to the beginning as well as more experienced investor and trader.
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