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Who Will Win the Big Game? 50 Championship Characteristics - A Psychological & Mathematical Method for Identifying Winning Players, Teams & Coaches Paperback – January 10, 2010
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Top Customer Reviews
A majority of the characteristics discussed have no scientific analysis, but simply reflect unsupported opinions. For example, the section on "Respecting your adversary" (which counts as an entire page) has three sentences spread out over two paragraphs. Or "Margin of Victory or Loss in the Last 5 games", where the authors suggest that "Competitors which can dominate their opponents are likely to feel energized and confident as they approach the big game." This chapter consisted of four sentences, spread out over four paragraphs.
In the areas that the authors attempted to use some quantitative approach, the research was shallow and the conclusions were not thought out critically. The authors do not distinguish or explain the difference between causation and correlation. For example, the authors note that in the Super Bowl, the team that had more fumbles during the regular season went 22-14 in the Super Bowl. Their explanation? "Teams that have a lot of fumbles may work on this in practice and consequently be ready to execute well and avoid these mishaps in the big game." Time and time again, there will be the presentation of some minor statistic with a conclusion that is not well thought-out.
I gave the book 2 stars (instead of 1 star ) because some of the "Quant facts" were mildly interesting, notably in golf and tennis. There was not enough analysis in those topics to recommend this book (and there are much better sources on these topics), but it has a reasonably written introduction to some aspects of quant analysis of those sports.
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