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Forecasting: Methods and Applications
 
 
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Forecasting: Methods and Applications (Hardcover)

by Spyros G. Makridakis (Author), Steven C. Wheelwright (Author), Rob J Hyndman (Author) "Frequently there is a time lag between awareness of an impending event or need and occurrence of that event..." (more)
Key Phrases: preliminary seasonal component, housing sales data, monthly milk production, New York, International Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley (more...)
4.4 out of 5 stars See all reviews (11 customer reviews)

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Editorial Reviews

Product Description
Can You Predict the Future by Looking at the Past? Since accurate forecasting requires more than just inserting historical data into a model, Forecasting: Methods and Applications, 3/e, adopts a managerial, business orientation. Integrated throughout this text is the innovative idea that explaining the past is not adequate for predicting the future. Inside, you will find the latest techniques used by managers in business today, discover the importance of forecasting and learn how it's accomplished. And you'll develop the necessary skills to meet the increased demand for thoughtful and realistic forecasts. New features in the third edition include:
* An emphasis placed on the practical uses of forecasting.
* All data sets used in this book are available on the Internet.
* Comprehensive coverage provided on both quantitative and qualitative forecasting techniques.
* Includes many new developments in forecasting methodology and practice.

From the Publisher
Presents a wide range of forecasting methods useful for undergraduate or graduate students majoring in business management, economics, or engineering. Develops skills for selecting the proper methodology. Integrates forecasting with the planning and decision-making activities within an organization. Methods of forecasting include: decomposition, regression analysis, and econometrics. Stresses the strengths and weaknesses of the individual methods in various types of organizational areas. Numerous examples are included. --This text refers to an out of print or unavailable edition of this title.

See all Editorial Reviews

Product Details

  • Hardcover: 656 pages
  • Publisher: Wiley; 3 edition (December 1997)
  • Language: English
  • ISBN-10: 0471532339
  • ISBN-13: 978-0471532330
  • Product Dimensions: 9.4 x 7.7 x 1.2 inches
  • Shipping Weight: 2.6 pounds (View shipping rates and policies)
  • Average Customer Review: 4.4 out of 5 stars See all reviews (11 customer reviews)
  • Amazon.com Sales Rank: #280,357 in Books (See Bestsellers in Books)

    Popular in this category: (What's this?)

    #65 in  Books > Business & Investing > Management & Leadership > Planning & Forecasting

Inside This Book (learn more)
First Sentence:
Frequently there is a time lag between awareness of an impending event or need and occurrence of that event. Read the first page
Key Phrases - Statistically Improbable Phrases (SIPs): (learn more)
preliminary seasonal component, housing sales data, monthly milk production, shampoo data, beer data, medial average, classical decomposition method, multivariate autoregressive models, pulp shipments, holdout set, exponential smoothing methods, sales force composite, time series decomposition, seasonal indices, forecasting users, dynamic regression model, seasonal plot, possible regression models, forecast variable, seasonal dummy variables, forecasting packages, white noise series, judgmental forecasts, forecasting facilities, quantitative forecasting methods
Key Phrases - Capitalized Phrases (CAPs): (learn more)
New York, International Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley, Basic Forecasting Tools, Management Science, Englewood Cliffs, Industrial Revolution, Theil's U-statistic, United States, King Kong, San Francisco, Journal of the American Statistical Association, Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Census Bureau, Harvard Business Review, Operations Research, Western Europe, Decision Sciences, Academic Press, Australian Bureau of Statistics, Duxbury Press, Lag Figure, Statistics Canada, The Free Press, Year Quarter Period Sales
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Forecasting: Methods and Applications
69% buy the item featured on this page:
Forecasting: Methods and Applications 4.4 out of 5 stars (11)
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Customer Reviews

11 Reviews
5 star:
 (7)
4 star:
 (2)
3 star:
 (1)
2 star:
 (1)
1 star:    (0)
 
 
 
 
 
Average Customer Review
4.4 out of 5 stars (11 customer reviews)
 
 
 
 
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Most Helpful Customer Reviews

 
21 of 21 people found the following review helpful:
5.0 out of 5 stars Excellent book written with the practitioner in mind, April 29, 1998
Excellent book written with the practitioner in mind. Mathematical formalism kept to a minimum. The last 4 chapters (about judgmental forecasting and practical aspects of forecasting) are a plus vs. other books.
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20 of 20 people found the following review helpful:
5.0 out of 5 stars Down to earth, practical guide on forecasting., December 13, 2003
By Frederic Horst (Brussels, Belgium) - See all my reviews
(REAL NAME)   
The book provides coverage of three important areas:

- Basic forecasting tools and methods - summarizing data, statistical tools, regression, as well as some material on more advanced forecasting methods
- Data preparation - time series decomposition, smoothing methods
- A discussion of the issues involved in forecasting - long term versus short term forecasting, accuracy of forecasts, the importance and limitations of judgmental forecasts and combining these with statistical forecasts

I was fortunate enough to stumble across this book in a colleagues office and believe this book should belong in every market research professional's shelf.

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22 of 25 people found the following review helpful:
4.0 out of 5 stars Excellent Examples and Practical Approach, March 23, 2000
By A Customer
This book was not only recommended, but given to me as a MUST READ at work. Excellent practical approach to the theory with a minimum of formulation. Good practical examples and demos. I recommend it as a training manual for new analysts on the job.
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Most Recent Customer Reviews

5.0 out of 5 stars Bible of Forecasting!
Compared with many other forecasting books, I still believe this is the Bible of Forecasting.
Published 8 months ago by Reader

5.0 out of 5 stars Excellent book
If you begin a journey of analyzing time series this is the book for you. Excellent book for every student - you must have and read it. Read more
Published 19 months ago by RobertK

3.0 out of 5 stars Mildly helpful
If you need advanced Forecasting Methods and like the thick mathematical language of typical textbooks, this is for you.
Published on February 13, 2007 by cititor

5.0 out of 5 stars Great reference book!
I've been in the field for a few years now and I finally found a book that explains and summarizes the forecasting theory so good. This is my reference book now. Read more
Published on July 5, 2006 by Mau Ulloa

5.0 out of 5 stars DecisionPro Users must have!
Was referred to this book while evaluating several software packages for forecasting and this really helped us make the right decision. Read more
Published on March 2, 2005 by Vito Perez

5.0 out of 5 stars This book has the formulas.
Chapters 3 and 4, and on covered the vital information that is useful for inventory system forecasting at the SKU level, and for measuring the accuracy of the forecasts. Read more
Published on March 12, 2004 by tones_on_line

2.0 out of 5 stars More of a reference text
I used this text for an undergraduate course in Industrial Forecasting. Unfortunately, the text is not very good if you actually want to learn new material from it. Read more
Published on February 6, 2002

4.0 out of 5 stars excellent for quantitative requirements!
I'm a student at Penn State-Behrend where the economic faculty are first-rate. This text allows them to convey all the valuable principles and applications needed to competitive... Read more
Published on November 19, 1998

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