Beat the Sports Books: An Insider's Guide to Betting the NFL (Paperback)

by Dan Gordon (Author), Dan Gordon (Author)
Key Phrases: number power rating, oddsmaker line, teaser bets, Green Bay, Las Vegas Sports Consultants, Super Bowl (more...)

Editorial Reviews

Review
Dan Gordon is a top handicapper with a consistent winning percentage over the years. -- Spiro the Greek, Olympic Sports Book

Product Description
Beat the Sports Books exposes the truth about the media, sports touts, and bookmaker pitfalls that lie in wait for the beginning bettor. It provides a step-by-step guide to odds, point-spreads, and public betting patterns that create opportunities for the professional bettor. Dan explains how to make your own lines using power ratings, motivational edges, and statistical indicators, and how to manage money and emotions for survival and maximum profits over the long haul. Making money from the sports books is not easy, even if you ve got both the edge and the bankroll. For those who like to bet on sports, however, or for those who are interested in finding another real way to beat the casinos in the long run, Beat the Sports Books is a revelation.

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Product Details

• Paperback: 175 pages
• Publisher: RGE Publishing, Ltd. (August 1, 2001)
• Language: English
• ISBN-10: 0910575185
• ISBN-13: 978-0910575188
• Product Dimensions: 10.7 x 8.3 x 0.5 inches
• Shipping Weight: 1 pounds (View shipping rates and policies)
• Average Customer Review: 3.2 out of 5 stars See all reviews (4 customer reviews)
• Amazon.com Sales Rank: #773,441 in Books (See Bestsellers in Books)

Customer Reviews

Most Helpful Customer Reviews

25 of 26 people found the following review helpful:

4.0 out of 5 stars How to Handicap NFL Games, March 7, 2003

By	mirasreviews (McLean, VA USA) - See all my reviews (TOP 100 REVIEWER)    (COMMUNITY FORUM 04)

Whether this book would be helpful to you, the potential NFL bettor, depends largely on what kind of information you are looking for. Beat the Sports Books is primarily devoted to teaching the reader how to handicap his/her own NFL games -specifically, how to make your own lines. The author, Dan Gordon, has over 20 years of experience handicapping and betting on NFL games and gives the reader the benefit of this experience. He explains, in considerable detail and with many examples, how to calculate your own lines and power rankings and how to determine which bets are worth making. This is an in-depth course in line-making and takes concentration and persistence to fully absorb. The author also devotes one chapter to pointers for betting at different stages in the NFL season, which is simpler and might be worth considering even if you don't intend to make your own lines.

62 of the book's 165 pages are appendices. Appendix 1 follows one NFL team through an entire season in order to illustrate the finer points of calculating a team's power ranking over the course of a season. The second Appendix contains a full season (1996) of bets that the author made with explanations of why he made each bet. Included are some bets that he didn't make and reasons that he passed on those. The appendices could prove to be invaluable references if you intend to get serious about NFL betting, especially betting over the long haul.

There is some information in this book that is not about handicapping. The title of the book's first chapter is: "How Pro Football Is Bet and How the Point Spread is Set". It includes explanations of different kinds of bets (spreads, over-under, parlays, parlay cards, reverses, teasers) and explanations, with examples, of how the Las Vegas Sports Consultants set their lines each week. In chapter 2, the author goes on to explain how the media can affect betting, how touts work... These chapters contain a lot of interesting information that would be useful to both serious and casual NFL bettors.

Beat the Sports Books is really dedicated to teaching you how to determine what bets to make. There isn't much advice on precisely how to place those bets beyond the author's emphasis on trying the get the early lines and shopping for a fair price on your bet. There are no lists of sports books or internet casinos or instructions in how exactly to communicate what you would like to bet once you've found one. The information in Beat the Sports Books would seem to be intended for the relatively experienced bettor.

I'll risk repeating myself here, just to be clear: Beat the Sports Books is a lesson in handicapping NFL games with an overwhelming emphasis on making your own lines. Dan Gordon provides the reader with detailed instruction in the methods that he uses to calculate lines, based on over 20 years of experience as an NFL bettor. There is relatively little advice on other methods of handicapping. If you would like to be able to calculate your own lines in order to exploit the errors of the lines the sports books use, this is the book for you!

10 of 11 people found the following review helpful:

1.0 out of 5 stars One handicapping method you don't have time for , October 22, 2004

By	Al Medrano (Greenville, SC) - See all my reviews (REAL NAME)

First, I do not recommend this book for the beginner. However, I do recommend it for the serious handicapper who is interested in designing a new method for handicapping NFL games. Gordon's book would give one detailed insight into one professional's perspective.

Second, while there is useful information on trends, the primary focus is dedicated to creating one's own lines. His method, though detailed, is unrealistically complex. There are several conversion tables involving values Gordon claims to have validated over the years. The amount of manual effort needed to duplicate his recommendations is cumbersome, open to interpretation and, therefore, severely prone to error. If a computer application program were available to do the calculations, based on regularly downloaded data, I might be persuaded to study it. Otherwise, I seriously doubt anyone would take the time to do it as described.

Third, according to independent reviews, Gordon's performance as a tout is, at best, only par with most others - about 55%. For example, in one review authored by Colin Caster dated 12/04/02 wrote: "...Incidentally, his current record on sides and totals is 27-31-2, a record at or below which one would expect a 57.5% handicapper to fall less than 7% of the time..." So even with exotic statistical manipulations, the end result is not much better than flipping a coin.

On the up side, I do agree with one principle Gordon stresses: A handicapper should have an independent method of setting lines so as to be able to determine the "value" of a potential bet once the official lines are published. As for the typical weekend gamblers, with a lot of other priorities such work and family matters, I would recommend a computer program that will do the grunt work for you. There are several such program products available ranging from $10 to $200. Though more costly, these would be more useful immediately while saving time for more important matters.

Al Medrano
Greenville, SC

3.0 out of 5 stars One of the better books on NFL Sports betting, October 4, 2005

By	Patrik Hagen "onkelochtant" (Uppsala, Sweden) - See all my reviews (REAL NAME)

I find Gordon's book to be one of the better books on how to find winners vs the line. However, the suggested approach is at some points described in a less than cristal clear fashion.