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The Improbable War: China, The United States and Logic of Great Power Conflict 1st Edition

by Christopher Coker (Author)
3.7 out of 5 stars 3 customer reviews
ISBN-13: 088-4300761270
ISBN-10: 0199396272
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Product Details

  • Hardcover: 256 pages
  • Publisher: Oxford University Press; 1 edition (January 15, 2015)
  • Language: English
  • ISBN-10: 0199396272
  • ISBN-13: 978-0199396276
  • Product Dimensions: 8.6 x 0.7 x 5.9 inches
  • Shipping Weight: 1 pounds (View shipping rates and policies)
  • Average Customer Review: 3.7 out of 5 stars  See all reviews (3 customer reviews)
  • Amazon Best Sellers Rank: #712,069 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)

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4.0 out of 5 starsAuthor Coker Lays Out the Risks
By Loyd Eskildson HALL OF FAME on February 2, 2015
Format: Hardcover
Some political analysts contend that 1979 was a turning point in world history - the year of the Iranian Revolution and the rise of Islam, along with the year China began its modern-day rise. (Unfortunately, the U.S. has gotten itself into major problems with both these new forces.) Author Coker does not predict war between China and the U.S., but does contend that it is all too probable, given mankind's history and striking parallels with today vs. 1914 just prior to the outbreak of WWI. His objective in the book is to identify the main reasons great powers to go war, along with why they often find themselves in a spiral of intensifying conflict from which they cannot escape. One of the lessons from the outbreak of WWI in 1914 is that leaders took too many risks because they believed great power conflict was unlikely.

Historian prefer to emphasize the long-term dynamics that set the stage for intensification of the pre-war 1914 era. These included economic and imperial competition, rampant nationalism, Social Darwinism beliefs embedded in popular culture, and a system alliances and first strike strategies that made most of the Great Powers victims as much as aggressors.

The underlying reason for WWI is that Europe's leaders were too optimistic, often driven by ideology and not facts. While the Germans were not likely gunning for war from the beginning, they believed they were in a stronger position vs. France and Russia in 1914 than they would have been in the future. Many in pre-WWI Germany believed the British would remain neutral. Britain chose to go to war because it concluded it would be dangerous not to - German hegemony in Europe would otherwise result.Read more ›
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4.0 out of 5 starsFour Stars
By John M. Haran on June 1, 2015
Format: Kindle Edition Verified Purchase
Good historical analysis and thoughtful insight.
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3.0 out of 5 starsThree Stars
By grigore caragacianu on September 4, 2015
Format: Hardcover Verified Purchase
A little bit inconclusive.
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