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A Vision for 2012: Planning for Extraordinary Change [Hardcover]

John L. Petersen (Author)
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Editorial Reviews

Review

"...forecasting through the visual language of contemporary news...shows readers a healthy and positive approach to today's panoply of troubles." --The Futurist, November-December 2008

Product Description

Many believe that the world is entering a time of monumental historic change that will accelerate in the next five years. Our leaders need to be prepared to address life-altering events such as a rapid climate change, a severe restriction of the oil supply, a tipping point in the global financial system, a bird flu epidemic, or a new level of sophistication among terrorists, argues noted futurist John Petersen in this timely and insightful book.

A Vision for 2012 shows how the effectiveness of the new administration that takes office in 2009, and the future of the nation, depends upon whether our leaders grasp the extraordinary significance of what lies ahead.

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Product Details

  • Hardcover: 128 pages
  • Publisher: Fulcrum Publishing (May 14, 2008)
  • Language: English
  • ISBN-10: 1555916619
  • ISBN-13: 978-1555916619
  • Product Dimensions: 7.6 x 4.6 x 0.5 inches
  • Shipping Weight: 6.4 ounces (View shipping rates and policies)
  • Average Customer Review: 4.3 out of 5 stars  See all reviews (16 customer reviews)
  • Amazon Bestsellers Rank: #68,661 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)
    #91 in  Books > Nonfiction > Social Sciences > Political Science > United States > Executive Branch
    #62 in  Books > Nonfiction > Politics > Leadership

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John L. Petersen
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Front Cover | Table of Contents | First Pages | Back Cover | Surprise Me!
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Customer Reviews

16 Reviews
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4.3 out of 5 stars (16 customer reviews)
 
 
 
 
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18 of 19 people found the following review helpful:
3.0 out of 5 stars More 2012, October 8, 2008
By R. Elliott Ingersoll (Kent, OH United States) - See all my reviews
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This review is from: A Vision for 2012: Planning for Extraordinary Change (Hardcover)
Well here is yet another 2012 book. Don't get me wrong - this is far better than most. John Petersen outlines his view of what is going wrong, what the possible scenarios are, and what directions might prove resourceful. The problem is of course that most of the things he suggests will not show up on the "radar" for most people.

There are some contradictions and fact-related problems in the book. On the one hand Petersen admits (quoting Ilya Prigogene) that no one can predict the future and that unique, novel emergents can arise that "save the day" so to speak. He never considers though that unique, novel emergents may arise that solve some problems while not fundamentally changning the power structures (e.g. a new way to make internal combustion engines so efficient that the oil reserves we have would last 5 times longer than anticipated).

Petersen also speaks glowingly of progress (with some justification) but seems to ignore the problems with things like cloning, cold fusion, and saltwater agriculture.

In the end I'd say this is a book worth reading though because it is concise and in being concise helps the reader make her or his own position an object of awareness. And once you know where you stand on some of these issues, you know what you're willing to try.
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14 of 15 people found the following review helpful:
5.0 out of 5 stars Good coverage of our future trajectory, June 10, 2008
This review is from: A Vision for 2012: Planning for Extraordinary Change (Hardcover)
This book covers many scenarios of decline, examples and data showing us the rate of accelerating change and many arguments for increasing resilience personally, as a community, and nationally. The changes we shall face on our journey to 2012 we should consider moral and solvable. These issues are drastic, human, and not bound to political party. John's book creates a good introduction to this debate - we should have the debate and together develop a brighter future.
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14 of 15 people found the following review helpful:
4.0 out of 5 stars A Must Read Call to Action, June 5, 2008
By Jerry Berman (Washington, DC) - See all my reviews
(REAL NAME)   
This review is from: A Vision for 2012: Planning for Extraordinary Change (Hardcover)
John L. Petersen, the well regarded futurist and head of The Arlington Institute, has written A Vision for 2012, a must read timely essay-length call to action for citizens and governments. In Petersen's view, global warming, fossil fuel depletion, recent economic market disruptions and more, portend massive societal and planetary disruption in the next decade. For some, the year 2012 is a year of foretold doom. 2012 is Petersen's symbolic way of saying "Stop thinking about tomorrow" as the song goes, and start thinking about today. A self-proclaimed optimist, Petersen balances one set of trend lines with another that point to scientific and technological breakthroughs, from new medicines, to the Internet, as holding out the possibility for resolving the challenges we face. But there is no way around the need for government planning and action, and here Petersen is flying on a wing and a prayer. As the book also concedes, governments and society in general usually act conservatively and plan and deal in the less painful policy world of incremental, short term advance until the crisis occurs (think about our failure to address the ticking time bomb of entitlement obligations). We have a lot of political talk about Manhattan projects to develop alternatives to oil or reduce greenhouse emissions (called for in the book) but we know that governments and the citizenry usually act after the fact (e.g. Katrina). Global cooperation is even more difficult and the United States, which the author calls on to lead, has not exactly led over the last decade (think Kyoto) Petersen hopes it can be different if we work together---using technologies like the collaborative Internet---to think, plan, and advocate for change together. Read the book.
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Most Recent Customer Reviews

5.0 out of 5 stars A Compelling Theory of the Future
Futurologist John L. Petersen has digested and distilled trend data from numerous sectors and locales to pen this vision of the future. Read more
Published 3 months ago by Anonymous Reader

5.0 out of 5 stars Brilliant
Petersen does a truly brilliant job of describing - in understandable terms - the myriad of trends that will be affecting us ... and very soon. Read more
Published 7 months ago by Green Doctor

4.0 out of 5 stars Promotes Global Government
Combine it with other visionary works like Psyearth Quest, Kachina Revelation and Balance Point for a more balanced perspective.
Published 9 months ago by P. Perry

4.0 out of 5 stars A Good Overview and Call to Action
Many people are seeing 2012 as a turning point of sorts for social, economic, and environmental change. Read more
Published 10 months ago by James H. Lee

3.0 out of 5 stars 2012 Vision Review
Althouth the writer is well versed, he fails to explain the real possibilities of 2012. He waffles around the subject and tries not to get you very excited. Read more
Published 10 months ago by Robert L. Pratt

5.0 out of 5 stars Excellent Information
I highly recommend this book to anyone. It is easy to read, very informative, and contains important material that everyone should be aware of to prepare for the changes that are... Read more
Published 11 months ago by Celeste

3.0 out of 5 stars Annoying
John Petersen's earlier work was vastly more interesting and more structured than this little 4.5 inch by 7 inch 100 page double-spaced blowing in the ears of Gary Hart and Leon... Read more
Published 12 months ago by Robert D. Steele

4.0 out of 5 stars Very interesting read.
This is a very short condensed book that offers ideas of what could/might possibly happen in 2012. This book will not tell you that XY & Z are going to happen when the day comes,... Read more
Published 15 months ago by CFOUR

5.0 out of 5 stars Preparing for the Future
From The Devil's Hammer by Victoria Alexander on FromTheBalcony.com.

A Futurist Looks to 2012. I'm obsessed with 2012. Read more
Published 17 months ago by Victoria Alexander

4.0 out of 5 stars A Vision for 2012: Planning for Extrordinary Change
Very perceptive summary of the current and potential changes that will affect the world. Quite stimulating and, in many ways, stark and threatening but this is reality. Read more
Published 22 months ago by Peter Spence

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