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5 of 5 people found the following review helpful:
3.0 out of 5 stars
Controversial and Thought-Provoking, May 11, 2008
In The China Fantasy James Mann calls for a change in the way America thinks about China. He argues that the two predominant vantage points for understanding China, a soothing scenario asserting economic development will lead to political liberalization and an upheaval scenario predicting political instability will lead to disaster, are woefully misguided characterizations of China's trajectory. In their place, he advocates the advancement of a third scenario, one in which China continues to develop its economy but does not liberalize politically or collapse. Mann argues that this third scenario is a more accurate characterization of the political landscape, railing against the soothing and upheaval scenarios on the grounds that they were developed not by proper analysis of the political state of affairs in China but rather by the personal and professional interests of a loosely collaborated group of American politicians, journalists, academics, and members of the financial sector.
In this slim volume, Mann takes a bold and provocative stance that has served to raise the hackles of those who allegedly propagate the soothing and upheaval scenarios. For all its finger pointing and lamentations that America is operating under the wrong paradigm, however, the book fails to offer any policy solutions for dealing with a politically static and stable China. In the end, the purpose of the book is provocation, which will sit well with those who agree with Mann and chafe those who do not.
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3 of 3 people found the following review helpful:
3.0 out of 5 stars
Needs more depth, May 14, 2008
Mann's analysis gives insight into China's political and economic relations with the US since the Nixon administration. Although the rhetoric of the White House has changed over the years, the policy towards China has stayed more or less the same - first driven by Cold War need for ally, later driven by trade and commerce. Mann concludes that U.S. policy towards China has to change, but before that can happen, Americans need to acknowledge the fact that economic liberalization is not bringing political liberalization to China.
This thought-provoking book is ultimately unsatisfactory in its lack of deeper discussion. Mann seems to suggest that U.S. public opinion, elite interest, and foreign policy is the reason for China's stifled democracy - and that changing public opinion will somehow set China back on track, when in fact the matter is much more complicated.
The reader will get a general insight into the question, but no in-depth answer.
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2 of 2 people found the following review helpful:
4.0 out of 5 stars
The Views of China's political development in the US, August 9, 2009
This book is about hidden assumption and logic that US politicians, scholars, and business elites use when they view the problems of China's political system. According to Mann, the mainstream view of China's political system in the US is the Soothing Scenario (P.2). Advocates of the Soothing Scenario maintain that if China can sustain its rapid economic growth, China will be eventually destined for democracy or political liberalization. Therefore the US government should try to integrate China into the international community (P.103) and trade freely with China. Another mainstream view of China's political system in the US is the Upheaval Scenario (P.7). Purveyors of this scenario including Gerald Segal and Gordon Chang predict that China is on the verge of political unrest and economic collapse because the one-party political system is not capable for handling a multitude of political and social problems such as the continuing prevalent of corruption and growing disparity between rich and poor. To Mann, both scenarios are at best questionable and at worst outright fallible.
In this book, Mann advocates that China's rapid economic growth can be sustained but the Communist Party continues to arrest and detain political dissidents and China will remains entirely undemocratic (P.11). The so-called Third Scenario maintains that for decades, Chinese political leaders including Deng xiaoping, Jiang Zemin, and Hu Jintao have never endorsed any democratic political activity or tolerated any troublesome public opinion that is against their state policies (P.59). The current China foreign policy in the US has been skewed by the Business roundtable mentality that place much emphasis on economic interest so that the "P-factor" such as Carter's human right policy, Regan's anti-communism, and Bush's campaign for democracy (P.88) were not directed towards China. According to Mann, the US government should adopt the right approach to goading China into moving to political liberalization or democracy. Democracy will not automatically come to China if the US government continues to carry out its current China foreign policy that only benefits business interest in the US and China (P.111).
For the previous 10 years, a group of academic scholars such as David Shambaugh (China's Communist Party: Atrophy and Adaptation), Kellee Tsai, (Capitalism without Democracy: The Private Sector in Contemporary China), Cheng Li (China's Changing Political Landscape: Prospects for Democracy), and Bruce Dickson (Wealth into Power: The Communist Party's embrace of China's Provate Sector) have challenged the conventional wisdom that rapid economic development will not lead to political liberalization and democracy in China. China's political development is not a linear path and the emergence of political liberalization and democracy will be predicated upon the interplay of heterogeneous socioeconomic forces, institutional developments, leadership succession, and demographic trends in China. Unlike Taiwan and Korea where democracy was directly pushed by American pressure, it seems that the one-party political system in China can last for long even if the US government is more adamant in claiming its doctrinaire adherence to democracy when dealing with China. The US foreign policy towards China as proposed by Mann seems to be very difficult to bring political liberalization and democracy in China.
This book is recommended to readers from the West who are interested in knowing more about China's political development and it is also relevant to diplomats and politicians in China who intend to understand the views of China that prevail in the US.
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