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The impact of the repeat-voting-habit persistence phenomenon on the probability of voting in presidential elections.(Statistical table): An article from: Southern Economic Journal [HTML] [Digital]

Richard J. Cebula , Garey C. Durden , Patricia E. Gaynor

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Excerpt. © Reprinted by permission. All rights reserved.

1. Introduction

The purpose of this study is to develop and test a probability model of individual voting behavior under the assumption that, when voting for the Office of the President, all potential voters are affected at the margin by the expected costs and benefits of voting. Additionally, some potential voters will have higher voting probabilities that are independent of such considerations. These voters may be independently motivated by external and/or internal factors that are captured under the umbrella of what is referred to here as the "repeat-voting-habit persistence phenomenon." The latter might reasonably be interpreted so as to include the impact of "social conditioning." According to Tollison and Willett (1973), unless social conditioning is accounted for, empirical...

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