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5 Reasons why the 2012 Bill James Handbook is a must buy,
This review is from: The Bill James Handbook 2012 (Paperback)
1- 2012 hitting and pitching projections. The Handbook has been doing projections since 1990 and they are very accurate. Their projections make it possible to sort out position battles of major league teams. For example, based on the projections from the handbook, the Cincinnati Reds should start four rookies next season: Juan Francisco (3b); Zack Cozart (ss); Devin Mesoraco (c); and Dave Sappelt (lf).
2- Win Shares. Win Shares are a great tool to use for quick evaluations such as all-star teams and awards. For example, based on win shares, the voters were right with their two Cy Young selections: Justin Verlander (AL) and Clayton Kershaw (NL). They were half right with the NL MVP. Ryan Braun and Matt Kemp were tied for the NL lead in Win Shares in 2011. However, voters miss big time by selecting Verlander as MVP. Win Shares had Verlander in a tie for sixth in the MVP voting. Teammate Miguel Cabrera should have won the AL MVP award according to Win Shares.
3. Career Stats. The Handbook provides career stats for every player who played in the majors this season.
4. Defensive Info. One area that separates the knowledgeable fan from all others is defense. Ask any baseball fan to name the good hitting clubs and good pitching clubs and most fans can do it. But, the same isn't true of defensive knowledge. Just for the record, the Handbook tells us that the Rays were the best defensive club in the majors last season robbing their opponents of 77 runs during the season. Conversely, the Orioles were the worst defensive teams allowing 45 extra runs as a result of poor defense.
5. Career Targets & Hall of Fame points: The Handbook has a section which provides a percentage chance of players reaching milestones. Such as: Albert Pujols has a 12% chance of hitting 800 home runs. The Handbook tells us that there are four players in the majors right now which have a better than 50% chance of getting 3,000 hits. The Handbook Hall of Fame (HOF) points tell us who has likely done enough to make the Hall. Believe it or not there are 15 players which look to be in the HOF (not counting the steroids factor): 1-A Rodriguez; 2-M Rivera; 3-A Pujols; 4-D Jeter; 5- M Ramirez; 6- F Thomas; 7- M Piazza; 8- K Griffey; 9- T Hoffman; 10- I Rodriguez; 11 I Suzuki; 12- V Guerrero; 13- C Jones; 14- G Sheffield; and 15 - S Sosa