- Series: Ron Shandler's Baseball Forecaster
- Paperback: 280 pages
- Publisher: Triumph Books; 0024-2010 edition (January 25, 2010)
- Language: English
- ISBN-10: 1600783554
- ISBN-13: 978-1600783555
- Product Dimensions: 10.8 x 8.4 x 0.6 inches
- Shipping Weight: 1.2 pounds
- Average Customer Review: 4.5 out of 5 stars See all reviews (11 customer reviews)
- Amazon Best Sellers Rank: #1,977,240 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)
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2010 Baseball Forecaster (Ron Shandler's Baseball Forecaster) Paperback – January 25, 2010
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Top Customer Reviews
Though he is a leader of the statistics-based prediction rather than skills-based analysis, I think Shandler is actually doing a good job of combining skills-based scouting with sabremetric evaluation. His obsession with the accuracy of his forecasts pushes him to optimize the world of data from which he can make predictions. The statistics he uses and the ratios he's developed are all clearly aimed at explaining why it happened on the field. His reliance on skills analyses for younger players gradually gives way to the use of the results data as their carreers progress. Shandler is also keen on interpreting the effect of injury, both looking back and looking forward. Few other Roto forecasters will go out on a limb predicting both down years and improvements for various players.
If you only buy one baseball annual for your fantasy league, this is the one to buy.
-A player's fundamental skills (contact, power, control, stuff) will determine the baseline for the STATS the player will put out. If there is a discrepancy in the skills and the expected stat output, we can identify over/undervalued players and draft accordingly.
-The emphasis on developing/declining skills gives a more dynamic picture of who a player is and who he is becoming. Stats give a recap, skills are a predictive tool.
The book goes into detail on what you should be looking for in a player and why...it has cheatsheets/projections/analysis for nearly every MLB player along with budding prospects. Highly reccommended!
your butt off as they finish in the bottom half of the league year after year. Those mags are pretty much worthless. They give you stats, but as the great Vin Scully once
said "Statistics are used much like a drunk uses a lamp post: for support, not illumination".. so true Vin. This book gives you data, hard core data, that will either legitimizes
or delegitimize what a player has accomplished in a given year.
And no it's not perfect, no system is, but Ron gives you a great starting point to base player evaluations from. Plain and simple.. get this book if you want to dominate your leagues. I have for the past 7 years and will continue to do so.
Most Recent Customer Reviews
I always try to use Shandler for season management of my teams.