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The Accidental Superpower: The Next Generation of American Preeminence and the Coming Global Disorder Paperback – February 23, 2016
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About the Author
- ASIN : 1455583685
- Publisher : Twelve; Reprint edition (February 23, 2016)
- Language : English
- Paperback : 384 pages
- ISBN-10 : 9781455583683
- ISBN-13 : 978-1455583683
- Item Weight : 13.4 ounces
- Dimensions : 6 x 1 x 9 inches
- Best Sellers Rank: #23,410 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)
- Customer Reviews:
Top reviews from the United States
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Will the Eurozone break up as he predicts? The Euro has been largely a peace project and the benefits have been enormous when we consider closer European integration during an unprecedented 70 years of peace in Europe.
The author lists the geographical, natural resources arguments that make the USA have a comparative advantage. However, does the USA desire to become an island simply because it can?
I give it to the author that he sticks his neck out and tries to rationalize his predictions. We do not know whether these will come to pass and so I give it a 3 based on the arguments rather the outcomes. Some predictions have been wrong already.
That said, the book fails to taken into account in any significant way the change in geography (particularly desertification) that will result from climate change in the coming century. The shift in areas of arable land and their accessibility will modify the favorable position of the United States. The degree of this change cannot be accurately predicted at present, but there will certainly be some change.
Another climate-change related “blind spot” is the opening of polar sea routes to trade. This will transform the trading mechanisms of countries with Arctic ports, particularly Russia and Canada, and this has not been addressed.
There is insufficient attention to what might be described as “wild card” events. In particular, the fragmentation of powers like Russia and China, both with significant nuclear arsenals, could lead to nuclear confrontation, with traumatic effects that would certainly disrupt or delay the processes that Zeihan lays out.
All in all, this is an interesting contribution to understanding forces that will shape the near future of our globe. And while it leaves out what I would consider important factors in determining the course of events, it clearly presents several that are well worth considering.