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Baseball Prospectus 2007: The Essential Guide to the 2007 Baseball Season Paperback – March 2, 2007
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Baseball Prospectus is one of the first things I read every day. -- Theo Epstein, general manager of the 2004 World Champion Boston Red Sox
I never cease to be blown away by how the geniuses at Baseball Prospectus can provide you with new insights into players and teams you thought you couldnt possibly have followed more closely. Theyre amazing. -- Jayson Stark, ESPN
The clear successor to Bill Jamess Baseball Abstract. -- John Sickels, author of The Baseball Prospect Book
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Top customer reviews
My favorite team is the Chicago White Sox. Let's take a look at this team, to get a sense of what this volume contributes. One neat feature of the volume is its prediction of what might happen for each player in the coming year--a breakout year, improvement, collapse, and attrition. For instance, the book suggests that, for Joe Crede, the odds of a breakout year are 33%, for improvement 59%, for a collapse 15%, and for attrition (severe decline in plate appearances or innings pitched) 9%. For Chisox fans, sounds good. What about Jim Thome? Breakout=14%; improvement=37%; collapse=37%; attrition=28%. Oops. makes me nervous if there is over 1/3 likelihood that his performance collapses. Pitchers? Mark Buehrle is projected as having the following odds: Breakout=14%; Improve=50%; Collapse=16%; Attrition=0%.
There are also data on managers' decision making. Despite his reputation as a hot head, Ozzie Guillen looks pretty good in his handling of starting pitchers, relievers, and the basics of sacrifice bunts.
Nice appendices at the end, too. One of these is a listing of the top 100 minor league prospects. For those who are interested, the top prospect is Alex Gordon (in the Royals' farm system), a 23 year old 3rd baseman. Next is Yankee prospect Philip Hughes, a 21 year old pitcher. And so on.
This is manna from heaven for baseball addicts. It complements the Bill James' works nicely.
p.s. to another reviewer: The author of Moneyball is Michael Lewis, not Billy Beane.
The best feature is the extent to which this guide covers top minor leaguers. And they also translate stats from the minor leagues, (including the Mexican league), and to some extent from the Japanese league.
Another great feature is the extended review they give to each front office in the majors during the previous year. Here, the criticism really is, almost always, "deadly accurate."
Worth the price for baseball fans, and worth it's weight for fantasy players who understand how the ML equivalent stats are relevant.