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Baseball Prospectus 2009: The Essential Guide to the 2009 Baseball Season Paperback – February 16, 2009
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I have a few quibbles, however. Because different writers handle different teams, the assessments lack the single voice of the old Bill James "Abstracts." For instance, the comment on Edgar Renteria in the Detroit entry offers the opinion that: "The Giants surprised a lot of people by giving him $18.Read more ›
Prospectus writers do not always limit themselves to stats in their player analysis. Their description of the Angels' Bobby Abreu, for example, starts by admitting "our translations don't do justice to Abreu's brand of defense...You know those long drives that seem like home runs, only to die on the warning track? Abreu watches them bounce." The main thrust of the Prospectus, however, is that you can predict performance through numbers alone. White Sox first baseman Nick Swisher suffered through a drop in average in 2008 from 262 in his prior year in Oakland to a miniscule 219. The authors conclude "that it was the product of little more than bad luck." Since his walk rate, line drive rate and isolated power were in line with prior performance, he apparently did little wrong other than hit the ball at people for 6 months. I guess the breaks don't even out.
I am uncomfortable with the player projections for 2009 (PECOTA).Read more ›
It's easy to praise this year's book as well as all of the others in the series. The authors clearly have a pretty good track record when it comes to examining all aspects of the game. They achieved some level of fame in 2008 for predicting the rise of the Tampa Bay Rays, which put them in a subset of one. The authors also had one of their members, Nate Silver, become famous in politics for his Web site, fivethirtyeight.com. Silver was a great source of information through the election season, and got the final results almost exactly right.
Getting back to baseball, the book has the usual format as well as size (about as big as the phone book of a Triple-A baseball team's city). There is an introduction to each team, followed by a small section on virtually every player that matters on a particular team. The players are listed with their 2008 organization, which does make it a little tough to find a particular player if he moved over the winter. (Note to authors; bring back the index.) There are a few essays in the back of the book.
The writing always has been pretty fearless, and that's still the case in 2009. These guys aren't afraid to say when they think teams are making poor judgments or when players are headed for the scrap heap. It's striking just how few players out of the seemingly endless pool of talent ever make it to become major league regulars, and the authors are more than willing to point out that out -- even for prospects, who probably don't even know that their best case is of a left-handed relief specialist in the majors. It's also striking how many players get hurt along the way in baseball.Read more ›
Most Recent Customer Reviews
I like the analysis. One weak spot with Baseball Prospectus' for all years is that there is no evaluation of prior years' predictions. Read morePublished 6 months ago by El Brocko
Baseball prospectus is one of the books that fans absolutely MUST have heading into each season. Aside from being an excellent resource for fantasy players and fans alike, the... Read morePublished on February 25, 2014 by Josh H.
Very thorough and entertaining descriptions of every major league player and major prospects. Accurate predictions on how they'll perform in the upcoming season.Published on May 13, 2013 by Douglas J. Hervey
Not as critical as players in the past .... I miss the biting criticism. Also had reduced attention to defensive attributes. Still well worth the money though ..... Read morePublished on February 7, 2010 by R. Young
I've been a faithful buyer for several years, and I must say I've been disappointed with this release. Read morePublished on May 10, 2009 by Ed lover
Good stuff for Fantasy baseballers and for just plain fans who follow individual players and stats. I really enjoy Nate Silver's work here and on his political website... Read morePublished on March 30, 2009 by Hd Lemng
Those who dismiss the Baseball Prospectus as strictly for "seamheads" and stat nerds are making a mistake. Read morePublished on March 27, 2009 by John K. Herr