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The Bill James Handbook 2007 Paperback – November, 2006
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The most essential annual published for the baseball fan. -- Rob Neyer
The prize of our winter hibernation. -- Peter Gammons
About the Author
Top Customer Reviews
What are the odds that Tom Glavine will win 300 games? 74% The odds that Kenny Rogers will? 8%. The odds of other luminaries making it to 300 wins: Randy Johnson, 70%; Mike Mussina, 18%; Curt Schilling, 9%; Derek Lowe, 1%.
The odds that Barry Bonds beats Hank Aaron's record? 97%. The odds that Ryan Howard will? 2%. Also note that A-Rod (Alex Rodriguez) is projected to finish his career with 772 home runs. What about the projected homer figure for Albert Pujols? 867. Frank Thomas? 574. All thse projections, of course, assume that players remain healthy.
The odds of Craig Biggio getting 3,000 hits? 99%. The odds of Paul Konerko getting 3,000 hits? 9%. Others: Derek Jeter, 71%; A-Rod, 63%; Albert Pujols, 31%; Alfonso Soriano, 5%.
What about the range of third basemen (Number of successful chances--putouts plus assists--times nine, divided by the number of defensive innings played): The top 3 for 2006 are Brandon Inge, Freddy Sanchez, and Joe Crede. What about Alex Rodriguez? 4th from last. . . .
This volume provides projections for players in 2007; it assesses pitchers, baserunners, managers, baseball parks, etc.
For baseball fans who like statistical analyses, Bill James is a guru. This volume is a must read during Hot Stove League discussions.
In the final analysis, a worthy addition to the Bill James Library. . . .
The but, and it is a considerable one, is that because the book comes out at such an early date that it does not include playoff or World Series records. Nor does it include these stats in the career records of the players. This is a pretty major omission for such an inclusive book. To have this information you must get The Sporting News version of the same book. I prefer the James book because of the James stuff but The Sporting News version also has trade and free agent histories as well as complete minor league records. For this reason I alternate season to season purchasing one of the books. This year I purchased the James and I'm loving it.
Also, I think the preseason update being sold for $10 is stupid. Anyone who bought this book should get that free in pdf format. This book is released at the end of the season before any moves are made. How can I believe any of these predictions for next year?? This is mostly a book of stats. Look elsewhere for real analysis of the stats.
Most Recent Customer Reviews
This is the second year in a row that I purchased the Bill James Handbook (which should say something about what I thought of the 2006 edition). Read morePublished on April 10, 2007 by Curtis Milbourn
Keep this handbook next to you while you're watching baseball games. These statistics will get you ready for the season.Published on April 10, 2007 by Marina Kushner
A useful reference tool which never leaves my side when watching baseball games. Don't know what Bill James gets paid to contribute his name to the book , but it would be nice if... Read morePublished on April 5, 2007 by Bryan L. Jones