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Breaking the Two-Party Doom Loop: The Case for Multiparty Democracy in America
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Deftly weaving together history, democratic theory, and cutting edge political science research, Drutman tells the story of how American politics became so toxic, why the country is trapped in a doom loop of escalating two-party warfare, and why it is destroying the shared sense of fairness and legitimacy on which democracy depends. He argues that the only way out is to have more partisanship-more parties, to short-circuit the zero-sum nature of binary partisan conflict. American democracy was once stable because the two parties held within them multiple factions, which made it possible to assemble flexible majorities and kept the temperature of political combat from overheating. But as conservative Southern Democrats and liberal Northeastern Republicans disappeared, partisan conflict flattened and pulled apart. Once the parties fully separated, toxic partisanship took over. With the two parties divided over competing visions of national identity, Democrats and Republicans no longer see each other as opponents, but as enemies. And the more the conflict escalates, the shakier our democracy feels.
Breaking the Two-Party Doom Loop makes a compelling case for large scale electoral reform-importantly, reform not requiring a constitutional amendment-that would give America more parties, making American democracy more representative, more responsive, and ultimately more stable.
- ISBN-100190913851
- ISBN-13978-0190913854
- PublisherOxford University Press
- Publication dateJanuary 2, 2020
- LanguageEnglish
- Dimensions9.3 x 1.4 x 6.4 inches
- Print length368 pages
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- Publisher : Oxford University Press (January 2, 2020)
- Language : English
- Hardcover : 368 pages
- ISBN-10 : 0190913851
- ISBN-13 : 978-0190913854
- Item Weight : 1.4 pounds
- Dimensions : 9.3 x 1.4 x 6.4 inches
- Best Sellers Rank: #479,335 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)
- #300 in Political Parties (Books)
- #593 in Elections
- #1,819 in History & Theory of Politics
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Customers find the book compelling, excellent, and well-researched. They say it offers a bold and thoughtful agenda for fixing structural problems. Readers also describe the book as inspiring, giving them hope for America and humanity. Overall, they say it's a good primer on why and how the US needs to reform its politics.
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Customers find the book compelling, excellent, and timely. They say it's terrific for anyone troubled with modern American politics. Readers also appreciate the well-researched and thought-provoking story.
"...Overall, it's one of the best-written, most thought-provoking political books I've ever read." Read more
"One of the most eye-opening books I've read in a long time...." Read more
"...a weighty topic, Breaking the Two-Party Doom Loop is accessible, compelling, provocative and inspiring...." Read more
"...an awkward title, which refers to economic missteps, this is an important book...." Read more
Customers find the book thought-provoking, inspiring, and a good primer on why and how the U.S. needs to reform its political system. They say it gives them hope for America and humanity. Readers also mention the book leaves them feeling more optimistic with an informed understanding.
"...Overall, it's one of the best-written, most thought-provoking political books I've ever read." Read more
"...This is big thinking, and my sense is that Hamilton and Madison would approve...." Read more
"...Drutman, save for one major flaw, has written the best book on American political polarization, as it not only sums up the problem, but also has a..." Read more
"...This book will leave you feeling more optimistic, with an informed understanding that change is indeed possible...." Read more
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The case for the end of dangerous two party gridlock!
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I certainly agree with him on that. As a die-hard libertarian, I long for the day that our small numbers are actively courted by larger parties to help form winning coalitions on an issue-by-issue basis.
I also have long been in favor of the main mechanism he proposes for accomplishing that task, which is ranked-choice voting, a.k.a instant run-off voting. 100% in favor. Bring it on.
His second major proposal is multi-member congressional districts. E.g., North Carolina, instead of having 13 one-member districts, might have one five-member district and two four-member districts. The voter could pick and choose ordered preferences from the entire list of candidates from any of the parties, or just choose one party, and his votes would be registered in the order of preference that the party had submitted in advance. This is how Australia has done things for decades.
I had heard of proposals for multi-member congressional districts before; maybe it was in 2017 when a proposal to allow them (they're currently forbidden by federal law) was introduced in Congress. (It went nowhere.) I dismissed the idea as silly. Now I believe that the law prohibiting them should be repealed, and states be allowed to experiment with them--as long as it's coupled with ranked-choice voting, to prevent a slim majority from capturing all the seats in a district. (Until reading this book, I had not known that the United States used to have some multi-member congressional districts, though they were banned by Congress in the 1840s.)
He further proposes eliminating primary elections for congressional seats. He wants political parties to have more power than they do now, including choosing candidates by a closed process rather than open voting. I think I'm OK with that idea. It might have a moderating effect, whereas primary elections tend to select for polarized candidates.
He suggests expanding the size of the House of Representatives to around 700, from the current 435. I see his point. First, the US is an extreme outlier among western democracies in the number of citizens represented by each member. Furthermore, expanding the number of seats would allow closer proportionality between votes and seats (i.e., smaller parties are more likely to be able to snag at least one seat when more are up for grabs). I kind of hate the idea of nearly doubling the number of congresscritters, and the amount of office space and staff and budget they'll want. But I reluctantly think that he might be right anyway.
He also suggests increasing the number of senators to 5 for each state, all 5 elected at once. That would not run afoul of the Constitution's requirement that all states be equally represented. But it would, again, allow minor parties a chance at claiming some seats. I think this might be OK. (It would require a constitutional amendment, so it's a long shot.)
Other reforms he wants I'm dead-set against: popular vote for president, public financing of campaigns, etc. Hard no. (I'll spare you the reasons for my opposition.)
I think it's clear that RCV will have to expand in state elections (only Maine and a few cities use it now) for a while before it becomes popular enough that Congress will be compelled to consider the idea seriously.
In fact, if there's a weakness in the book, it's that he doesn't provide a clear road map of how we can get from here to there. All of the proposals will reduce the power of the two major parties. They will no more want to do that than Coke and Pepsi are generous about letting competitors have space in grocery stores and vending machines. Drutman just gives some stories--interesting ones--about how electoral reforms have been birthed around the world, and expresses his optimism that the same sort of thing can happen here. The "how" is left pretty vague, with references to popular pressure and politicians becoming convinced that it's in their own best interest.
But the real strength of the book is the myriad persuasive ways he explains how radically different the current situation is from our entire past history, how dangerous and unsustainable it is, and how it simply cannot be changed by replacing "bad" guys with "good" guys (whoever you think merits those labels). It's a structural problem of our political institutions, combined with a structural problem of our majority/plurality "first-past-the-post" voting. On that, I conclude that he is indisputably correct. Major structural reforms are absolutely necessary. I had sort of vague leanings this way before, but Drutman has succeeded in cementing my thoughts.
Overall, it's one of the best-written, most thought-provoking political books I've ever read.
At the risk of sounding grandiose, this feels a bit like a 21st century addendum to the Federalist Papers. This is big thinking, and my sense is that Hamilton and Madison would approve. Following in the footsteps of those prescient Founders, Drutman looks at how structure either facilitates or inhibits self government, and how it influences the incentives of those seeking and holding elected office.
As it stands, Drutman shows that most (if not all) political incentives currently point towards confrontation, escalation, and erosion of norms. Whereas the parties of the past (i.e mid 20th century) contained diverse geographic and ideological elements, the parties of today have almost no overlap. He walks through the consequences of this, and how it has nationalized our politics in unprecedented ways, seemingly upping the stakes of each election, making voting increasingly a zero-sum question of identity.
With remarkable clarity, Drutman explains why our current two party system is both heading towards an increasingly dangerous place and lacks the means to self-correct. Hence the "doom loop." He then answers the paradox of why a majority of Americans believe more parties would be good for the country, yet no competitive third or fourth party emerges. Namely, under the present zero-sum system, supporting a third party likely means helping the party you agree with the least, and most Americans do not want to do that. Drutman then walks through a concrete solution: a new electoral structure (i.e. ranked choice voting and multi-member districts) that could, and likely would, decisively change that. He does not pull this from thin air, but rather presents real life examples of how this works, where it has worked, and why.
Coming from different parts of the political spectrum, Drutman and I likely have some substantially different policy objectives. Similarly, we perceive some of the historical events he describes from a different point of view.
However, the beauty and the objectivity of his work is that one's policy objectives or partisan preferences matter little in supporting this kind of reform. He is not trying to create an advantage for Democrats or Republicans but rather to think practically beyond the present binary reality, and all of the distortions that come with it.
Drutman's purpose is to open the system to entrepreneurial politics that better reflect Americans' preferences, that de-escalate the present binary division, that restore democratic legitimacy and faith in our institutions, and that allow voters to move beyond a "lesser of two evils" analysis.
He also shows how these kind of reforms could have profound second order effects, such as strengthening Congress and restoring practical federalism, allowing local issues to once again resume their appropriate place in legislative races.
Rarely am I tempted to buy twenty copies of a book to distribute to friends and colleagues. I very well may do that here.
Bravo.
The one issue is Drutman drastically underestimates the importance of direct democracy, as the U.S. has mostly only accomplished electoral reform through referendums, and referendums were integral to countries like New Zealand accomplishing electoral reform in the first place. Hence, his attacks on anti-partisan as merely, "consensus based," ignores how important things like referendums are to the very reforms he seeks, and how even more impossible they would be without the usage of referendums to get the ball rolling in the first place. Its frustrating, as its the one major issue in an otherwise almost perfect book in a genre that can very rather flawed.
Otherwise, judging by reviewers from dramatically different political backgrounds than me liking the book as well, this manages to be one of the only political science books that can speak to a relatively broad audience, which speaks well for its ability to spark the want for electoral reform among those who read it.
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Breaking the Two-Party Doom Loop: The Case for Multiparty Democracy in America
By Lee Drutman
Oxford University Press (2019)
A year before the 2020 election, political scientist Lee Drutman published this book, clearly hoping to get his fellow Americans thinking about alternatives to their present mess. Last September, weeks before the vote, he drew on the book to offer a quiz in the New York Times, inviting readers to position themselves politically in relation to six hypothetical American parties.
Americans who took the quiz would find themselves aligned with one of those parties. Social conservatives fell into the Patriot Party or Christian Conservatives. Economic conservatives would support the Growth and Opportunity Party. On the left would be the American Labor Party, the New Liberal Party and the Progressive Party (where I predictably landed, with the likes of Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Elizabeth Warren).
Each would have the support of only a fraction of the American electorate, Drutman estimated in his article. The Progressives would win just 14 per cent of the vote, while the New Liberals would take 26 per cent and the Christian Conservatives 20 per cent.
So once elected to Congress and the Senate, their representatives would have to work out coalitions like those that run democracies like Germany’s, Italy’s and Israel’s. Given such coalitions, American politics in 2021 would have looked far different from the present horror show.
I know — multiparty democratic governments tend to be either short-lived and volatile like Italy’s, or locked-in for years like Israel’s and Germany’s. They often stay in power by catering to idiot splinter parties. They take weeks or months to get their act together.
Still, as Drutman notes in his book, in multiparty democracies the governments run on compromises, voter turnout is higher and economic inequality tends to be lower.
Drutman argues that U.S. politics actually used to run under “a hidden four-party system: liberal Democrats and liberal Republicans in the culturally liberal northeast and upper Midwest, the West Coast, and the big cities in between, and conservative Democrats and conservative Republicans in the rural, traditional parts of the country and the South.”
Only in the 1990s did the four parties begin to polarize into two national parties — a process that climaxed in the election of Donald Trump in 2016.
The result, as Drutman sees it, is a “doom loop” in which each side sees the other as an enemy who must never be allowed to take power — on any level from school board to the courts to the White House. Negotiation is impossible, and the enemy must be silenced as well as kept out of office. Otherwise, the only recourse is civil war.
We Canadians aren’t quite that badly off, but our parliamentary democracy might do much better with more parties than we have now. Many of us like the idea of proportional representation; Justin Trudeau got himself elected on the promise of it in 2015, only to renege once elected with a majority.
Third parties inevitably get co-opted in American two-party democracy. But as reluctant coalition members, they at least get some influence in one party or the other, and maybe a chance to take the party over, as Trumpists have done with the Republicans.
In Canada, the federal New Democrats have never held power. They’ve survived for 60 years by moving gradually right and sometimes demanding a leftward step from minority Liberal governments like the current one. When the Harper Conservatives were in tenuous power in 2008, the Jack Layton NDP, Stéphane Dion Liberals and Gilles Duceppe Bloc Québécois attempted as a coalition to bring down the government; they failed.
In theory, a party ought to form around a set of principles for dealing with problems: employment, education, climate and so on. In practice, like the Americans, our own parties are far more interested in power. So they tell us what they think we want to hear, and try to put as many people as possible under their proverbial big tents. As Groucho Marx once famously said, “Those are my principles, and if you don’t like them… well, I have others.”
So they read their bases very closely, and consider how to lure a few more into those bases by offering a fresh principle or two. Or dropping some old principles. Even when elected, Canadian parties routinely break any promise they never meant to keep and count on voter amnesia to escape punishment in the next election. The result is horse-race politics, voter apathy and pundits earning good incomes bemoaning the sad state of Canadian democracy.
Suppose we took Drutman’s ideas and applied them in Canada: multiple parties with distinct policies, which are elected to Parliament in proportion to their electoral support. What might they look like?
To escape the crazy splinter parties that afflict democracies like Israel’s, let’s say 10 per cent is the minimum to elect an MP — even if the 10 per cent are scattered across the country, not focused in one riding or region.
Our thought experiment is complicated by Quebec, and by Prairie regions that think their regional issues of language, culture or economy supersede any national issues. But we could still develop at least six parties with distinct platforms:
People’s Party of Canada: Maxime Bernier, this is your moment. You’re the Canuck version of the Trumpist Patriot Party.
Conservative Party of Canada: Stephen Harper, all is forgiven. Come back and push for your neoliberal programs. Erin O’Toole clearly can’t handle the job.
New Conservatives: The return of the Red Tories: Do we have a new Joe Clark willing to demand vaccinated MPs and able to twist corporations’ arms to do serious emissions’ reduction?
Liberal Party of Canada: If Justin Trudeau can demand booster shoots from his MPs, and twist even more corporate arms, he can run this party. The Liberals can’t be “centrist,” because multiparty democracies don’t have many centrist voters.
Bloc Québécois: Yves-François Blanchet can try to save Quebec from climate disaster as part of Canada, or flirt with independence. Many Quebecers would go elsewhere.
Social Democrats: Whatever remains of the unions and managerial Brahmin Left now calling themselves the provincial and federal New Democrats.
Preservation Party: This is where people of whatever region, class or race could vote to do what seems needed to mitigate the combined climate and pandemic catastrophes. Forget economic growth; Preservation will just try to save as much as possible of what we’ve got now, as fairly as possible. I’d probably vote for them, but we’d be a small splinter until perhaps 2030, when November 2021 will look like the good old days.
As too many politicians say, let me be clear. No one of these parties would save us from the impending disaster. But if enough of our present parties decided to break up, a coalition of fragmented parties might thrash out a deal that would buy us some time.
So let O’Toole’s dissidents ditch the party. Let the shattered Greens and fed-up New Democrats find new homes, and the Liberal “centrists” figure out where they’re comfortable. Then let them make deals, even if it takes months. No pressure — the next storm or heat dome or outbreak will arrive when it’s ready.
Some coalition of minorities will work out a response, and some left-out minorities won’t like it. Fine — bring down the coalition and try something else. Otherwise, shut up, keep calm and carry on.
No, it will not be simple or easy. We’re already on our own death loop, shipping gas and oil overseas while pretending our customers are the real emissions problem, not us. Very powerful interests, including the present parties, would ridicule the very idea of multiparty democracy.
But Stephen Harper forced the Conservative splinter parties into a coalition that’s been falling apart since Maxime Bernier quit the party. The NDP could fragment too, and the Liberals have a history of civil war.
If our present parties broke up and then ran on policies instead of personalities, we might actually get ourselves out of the mess the old parties have put us in.








