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A Bull in China: Investing Profitably in the World's Greatest Market Hardcover – December 4, 2007

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If the twentieth century was the American century, then the twenty-first century belongs to China. Now the one and only Jim Rogers shows how any investor can get in on the ground floor of “the greatest economic boom since England’s Industrial Revolution.”

In this indispensable new book, one of the world’s most successful investors, Jim Rogers, brings his unerring investment acumen to bear on this huge and unruly land now being opened to the world and exploding in potential.

Rogers didn’t just wake up a Sinophile yesterday. He’s been tracking the Chinese economy since he first went to China in 1984 in preparation for his round-the-world motorcycle trip and then again, later, when he saw Shanghai’s newly reopened stock exchange (which looked like an OTB office). In the decades that followed–especially in recent years, with the easing of Communist party financial dictates–the facts speak for themselves:

• The Chinese economy’s growth rate has averaged 9 percent since the start of the 1980s.
• China’s savings rate is over 35 percent (in America, it’s 2 percent).
• 40 percent of China’s output goes to exports (so there’s no crippling foreign debt).
• $60 billion a year in direct foreign investment, combined with a trade surplus, has brought Beijing’s foreign currency reserves to over $1 trillion.
• China’s fixed assets–ports, bridges, and roads–double every two and a half years.

In short, if projections hold, China will surpass the United States as the world’s largest economy in as little as twenty years. But the time to act is now. In A Bull in China, you’ll learn what industries offer the newest and best opportunities, from power, energy, and agriculture to tourism, water, and infrastructure. In his trademark down-to-earth style, Rogers demystifies the state policies that are driving earnings and innovation, takes the intimidation factor out of the A-shares, B-shares, and ADRs of Chinese offerings, and encourages any reader to trust his or her own expertise (if you’re a car mechanic, check out their auto industry).

A Bull in China also features fascinating profiles of “Red Chip” companies, such as Yantu Changyu, China’s largest winemaker, which sells a “Healthy Liquor” line mixed with herbal medicines. Plus, if you want to export something to China yourself–or even buy land there–Rogers tells you the steps you need to take.

No other book–and no other author–can better help you benefit from the new Chinese revolution. Jim Rogers shows you how to make the “amazing energy, potential, and entrepreneurial spirit of a billion people” work for you.

Print length

221 pages
Language

English
Publisher

Random House
Publication date

December 4, 2007
Dimensions

6.09 x 0.96 x 9.5 inches
ISBN-10

1400066166
ISBN-13

978-1400066162
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Editorial Reviews

Review

“The smartest ways to invest in the world’s fastest-growing economy.”
–The New York Sun

“[Jim Rogers] presents the case that this truly is going to be China’s century and that anyone who doesn’t take advantage may be taking a big risk.”
–The Boston Globe

“Rogers races through the promising and profitable business opportunities China has to offer–in a manner and prose far superior to any other current financial guru-writer’s.”
–Booklist

From the Trade Paperback edition.

About the Author

Jim Rogers co-founded the Quantum Fund and retired at age thirty-seven. Since then, he has served as a sometime professor of finance at Columbia University’s business school, and as a media commentator worldwide. He is the author of Hot Commodities, Adventure Capitalist, and Investment Biker. He lives in New York City. His website is www.jimrogers.com.

Product details

Publisher ‏ : ‎ Random House; First Edition (December 4, 2007)
Language ‏ : ‎ English
Hardcover ‏ : ‎ 221 pages
ISBN-10 ‏ : ‎ 1400066166
ISBN-13 ‏ : ‎ 978-1400066162
Item Weight ‏ : ‎ 1.2 pounds
Dimensions ‏ : ‎ 6.09 x 0.96 x 9.5 inches

Best Sellers Rank: #1,543,314 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)
- #2,637 in Chinese History (Books)
- #3,525 in Introduction to Investing

Customer Reviews:
4.2 107 ratings

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Jim Rogers

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Born in 1942, Jim Rogers had his first job at age five, picking up bottles at baseball games. Winning a scholarship to Yale, Rogers was coxswain on the crew. Upon graduation, he attended Balliol College at Oxford. After a stint in the army, he began work on Wall Street. He cofounded the Quantum Fund, a global-investment partnership. During the next ten years, the portfolio gained more than 4,000 percent, while the S&P rose less than 50 percent. Rogers then decided to retire-at age thirty-seven-but he did not remain idle.Continuing to manage his own portfolio, Rogers served as a professor of finance at the Columbia Univer-sity Graduate School of Business and as moderator of The Dreyfus Roundtable on WCBS and The Profit Motive on FNN. At the same time, he laid the groundwork for his lifelong dream, an around-the-world motorcycle trip: more than 100,000 miles across six continents. That journey became the subject of Rogers's first book, Investment Biker (1994), now available from Random House Trade Paperbacks. While laying plans for his Millennium Adventure 1999-2001, he continued as a media commentator at Worth, CNBC, et al., and as a sometime professor.He now contributes to Fox News, Worth, and others as he and Paige eagerly await their first child.

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4.2 out of 5

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Ameen Kamadia

This book will make you money

Reviewed in the United States 🇺🇸 on September 6, 2008

Verified Purchase

Anytime someone makes you a lot of money, you tend to become a fan. And so I am a fan of Jim Rogers. I believe this man makes a lot of sense when he talks economics. I learned this by reading his earlier books about driving around the world. He admits to being a lousy trader. But he is great at looking at the big picture and investing according.

He made me money with an earlier book, Hot Commodities, which I had for four years before I invested in commodities. If I had invested when I first read the book, I would be retired 2 or 3 times over. Even though commodities have taken a huge tumble lately the bull market is not over yet and they will make me more money.

But this book is about the money that can be made in China. If you watched the 2008 Olympics you saw a new China. The reports from China are amazing. The growth, the production, the consumption, and everything about China is not just super-sized, it's gigantic-sized. With three stock exchanges, close to double digit GDP growth every year, and the largest financial reserves, there is plenty of opportunity here.

I am writing this review to help you decide if you should buy this book or not. I hope this review helps. If you want to read more of my reviews of stock trading and investment book, you can get them at [...]

Another reviewer has already painstakingly detailed the book chapter by chapter. My takeaway is that if you are looking for places to invest, then get this book. It explains why China is growing and why it will continue to grow. This book also breaks down all the sectors of the economy. Everything from travel to agriculture to the Chinese space program is discusses and dissected in easy to understand language. Dozens of companies are also listed with brief descriptions of each. The descriptions are good because you get a sense of what if happening in China, but for the average American investor most of these companies cannot be invested in.

But even if you only focus on Chinese companies listed on NYSE and NASDAQ or get into the Chinese Market ETF (FXI) you can still make a nice long term gain. The author stresses that investing in China is a long term process with ups and many downs along the way. He does not recommend any company in the book, he only mentions them to give the reader a broad understanding.

If you want to know what's going on in China and profit from it, from a man who knows how to make money, this book is a great place to start. It opened my eyes to China when I first read it and am patiently waiting for an opportunity to invest in the largest bull market of our lifetime. The author compares China to the Wild West of America. Lots of money to be made, but you have to be careful.

By looking at the trends in the US market and what is going on around the world, it makes sense to reason that investments for the next few decades will probably get a higher return in places like China than in the US. Even if you don't agree with me on this point, you will probably agree that diversifying by investing in China is not a bad idea. And if you believe that then this book will help.

39 people found this helpful

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K. Johnson

Specifics on China

Reviewed in the United States 🇺🇸 on June 24, 2009

Verified Purchase

It might sound redundant but it's worth saying again. When Jim rogers writes I read him and when he speaks I listen to him.

"A Bull in China" is pretty appropriate for today. And honestly, the concept of "A Bear in America" is equally appropriate.

As China is keeping the Renminbi cheap it also fueled a housing & property bubble in China's leading economic cities of Beijing, Shanghai, and Shenzhen. Rogers notes that the price of an average apartment in Beijing in 2006 was 13 times the annual average salary of its local residents.

With cheap money, be it cheap for real reasons, or artificially cheap, people have to park their money somewhere. Hence, the bubble(s).

INFRASTRUCTURE:

Infrastructure is the big plus for China. Planning well and building fast. This is critical for foreign companies located in China to move product by road to ports.

Rogers travelled throughout China in the late 1980s and in 1988 China didn't have one single expressway. China has since built expressways based on German, American, and Japanese models. At the end of 2006, eighteen years after Rogers 1988 visit with none, China had 28,210 miles of expressways (p. 105).

CHAPTERS:

1. Investing: From Mao Caps to Small-Market Caps
2. Risk: The Perils of Success
3. Companies: Let a Thousand Brands Bloom
4. Energy: Not so Black
5. Transport: Paving the way
6. Tourism: Up, Up, and Away
7. Agriculture: Have You Invested Yet?
8. Health, Education, Housing: Serve the Masses
9. Emerging China: The People's Republic of Tomorrow.

Appendix

Index

Rogers lists specific companies and profiles them in several different industries. This info is only a couple of years old, but these companies will have to be re-evaluated by any reader that has the interest in doing so.

Worth noting is that while China is and will be the economic power-house of the future it's a controlled society that is afraid of Google and YouTube. Eroding Communist ideology mixed with the currently growing Authoritarian Capitalism in practice, no sense of morality, and rampant greed. Similar to the USA, but with a different form of eclecticism.

Roger's focus is on the economic-sphere. A comprehensive book with lots of details. This is a book for those who want specific information on specific investing.

One person found this helpful

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D. J Najarian

Excellent roadmap for individual investors interested in China

Reviewed in the United States 🇺🇸 on December 22, 2007

Verified Purchase

Kudos to Jim Rogers for writing this book, which serves as an outstanding window into the truly avant-garde capitalist markets of China. This book will be useful to American investors in three ways:

1) It reveals the nature of publically traded Chinese companies that you never heard of--which may have no analogous forms in America for you to relate to, but which could lead to massive fortunes in the future. For example, who has heard of Jiangsu Expressway, Co., Zhejiang Expressway, Co., or Anhui Expressway, Co.? In China, the major expressways that collect tolls are publically traded. Could you imagine being an early investor in the New Jersey Turnpike? or the George Washington Bridge? or the Lincoln Tunnel?--not possible in America (yet). These are companies with near monopoly status, but regulated pricing power. And with car ownership exploding in China, these companies are surely worth investigating further.

2) The book reveals where hundreds of Chinese companies trade, and the underlying logic behind the different share classes. The differing share classes of Chinese companies was very confusing to me in the past. Now, having read this book, I feel much more confident spending my hard earned money buying these shares on various markets.

3) The book is written in a "top down" economics fashion. In a very logical progression, Jim Rogers describes various sectors of the Chinese economy likely to benefit from continued capitalist expansion (e.g. tourism, agriculture, defense)--and then lists companies in these sectors that should be fodder for additional research. Hence, the book is an excellent guide for further investigations into a capitalist system that would otherwise be too large and daunting to research easily.

GREAT JOB!

26 people found this helpful

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Hartono

Interessante ma un po' datato

Reviewed in Italy 🇮🇹 on December 19, 2016

Verified Purchase

Jim Rogers, noto super esperto di commodities, scrive su come investire in Cina, cosa che raccomanda. Il libro è abbastanza interessante, il fatto è però che ormai le sue considerazioni sono un po' datate essendo la prima edizione cartacea del 2007. Rimane utile e piacevole da leggere, come del resto altri libri di Rogers, ma andrebbe aggiornato.

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peter cardinal

fianance

Reviewed in Canada 🇨🇦 on April 25, 2014

Verified Purchase

Jim Rogers is one of the best authors to help a person understand the world of investing.I love the way he researches the whole country he is investing in to see what makes the Country tick.

Faulkner

Ill informed opinion posing as fact

Reviewed in the United Kingdom 🇬🇧 on January 24, 2010

Verified Purchase

Rather like the Bay City Rollers, Jim Rogers was apparently very big in the 1970s. Just as I would be very cautious on taking Gordon Clark's advice on how to make a hit record in the 21st Century I would very much caution anybody taking Jim Rogers' advice on investing in China.

Firstly, this is in no way a professional book. Rather than some detailed investment analysis on the pros & cons of investing in China, it is closer to a series of populist, `shoot from the hip' statements combined with some pen pictures of various Chinese companies. Given that over the last 20 years the Chinese stock market (in all its various forms) has materially underperformed both the US and the UK a few words of caution about why this might be so, might have been in order.

Additionally, as a professional investor that has been engaged in China for some time I have very mixed feelings about the short and medium term prospects for the country. None of the serious structural reasons behind this are even briefly mentioned, instead personal anecdotes are used.

Secondly, while Jim Rogers is now basking in his newfound fame as an investor, due to his successful call on commodities his track record over the past couple of decades is distinctly patchier. I am old enough to remember such howlers as shorting Intel in 1993 or more recently JPMorgan in February 2009. Is it also a little unfair of me to point out that his research on Shanghai was so insightful and detailed that he was forced to relocate his family a couple months after his arrival due to the pollution?

Before committing any capital to the latest bout of Asian induced euphoria, I would recommend also reading Joe Studwell's `The China Dream' for a realistic counterbalance as well as some reading of David Webb's webb-site internet site.

7 people found this helpful

まつひろ

グローバルな視点から見た中国株

Reviewed in Japan 🇯🇵 on March 24, 2008

Verified Purchase

日本でも熱狂的なファンの多い、ジム・ロジャーズの最新刊。
残念ながらまだ邦訳は出ていないが、中国株をしている人は
もちろん、投資をしている人にはとても価値のある本である。

中国の歴史、産業別の現状を統計など織り交ぜて説明している点で
多くの中国株本とは一線は画している。

また、その産業の中で有望な企業も紹介しているが、
その範囲は香港、中国本土に上場している企業に限定せず
アメリカ、シンガポールを中心に他国に上場している企業も
掲載されている。

中国企業に投資する方法として、香港上場の企業や本土B株だけではなく
アメリカ、ロンドン、シンガポールなどに上場している中国企業への
投資を考えるきっかけを与えてくれた。感謝である。

ただ、他の人が書いている通り、掲載されている企業については
自分で分析する必要があり、当然、すべてが優れている会社というわけではない。

2 people found this helpful

Translate review to English

zincguy

Five Stars

Reviewed in Canada 🇨🇦 on November 21, 2014

Verified Purchase

On time and as described - thanks

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