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China: Fragile Superpower 1st Edition

4.3 4.3 out of 5 stars 89 ratings

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Once a sleeping giant, China today is the world's fastest growing economy--the leading manufacturer of cell phones, laptop computers, and digital cameras--a dramatic turn-around that alarms many Westerners. But in China: Fragile Superpower, Susan L. Shirk opens up the black box of Chinese politics and finds that the real danger lies elsewhere--not in China's astonishing growth, but in the deep insecurity of its leaders. China's leaders face a troubling paradox: the more developed and prosperous the country becomes, the more insecure and threatened they feel. Shirk, a former Deputy Assistant Secretary of State responsible for China, knows many of today's Chinese rulers personally and has studied them for three decades. She offers invaluable insight into how they think--and what they fear. In this revealing book, readers see the world through the eyes of men like President Hu Jintao and former President Jiang Zemin. We discover a fragile communist regime desperate to survive in a society turned upside down by miraculous economic growth and a stunning new openness to the greater world. Indeed, ever since the 1989 pro-democracy protests in Tiananmen Square and the fall of communism in the Soviet Union, Chinese leaders have been afraid of its own citizens, and this fear motivates many of their decisions when dealing with the U.S. and other nations. In particular, the fervent nationalism of the Chinese people, combined with their passionate resentment of Japan and attachment to Taiwan, have made relations with this country a minefield. The paperback edition features a new preface by the author.

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4.3 out of 5 stars
89 global ratings

Top reviews from the United States

Reviewed in the United States on April 13, 2015
The Regional Issue of Religious Education: China

The regional issue in religious education has some special meaning. The representative book to deal with the regional issue of religious education is Richard Osmer and Friedrich Schweitzer’s book, Religious Education between Modernization and Globalization. The subtitle of that book is New Perspectives on the United States and Germany. In that book, Osmer and Schweitzer (2003) describe the transformative progress of two countries – the United States and Germany in a transitional era from modernization to globalization. In other words, the regional issue of both countries constitutes of main stream of that book. They emphasizes that “religious education stands in an interdependent relationships to its social contexts,” since the main goal of religious education is closely related to “a common goal of promoting the well-being of our societies and the human community as a whole” (Osmer & Schweitzer, 2003, p. 5). In this aspect of religious education, I have recently interested in the regional issue between Korea and China. The foreign relationship between both countries adds the dynamics of such meanings with the relational issue of the United States and Japan in Korean peninsula. Chinese students among foreign students to study in Korean universities consist of the most population. Recently 800,000 Korean peoples live in China. According to 2007 statistical analysis of Korean World Mission Association, 14,905 Korean Protestant missionaries worked in 168 countries. Among them, Korean missionaries working in China was recorded at the 1st rank as 2,640 peoples among them.

Especially, the recent foreign issues such as joining the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB) leaded by China and deploying the Terminal High-Altitude Area Defense (THAAD) system in Korean peninsula promote the multilateral relationship between Korea, China and the United States. In fact, many Koreans have many concerns about Chinese foreign leadership leaded by President Xi Jinping. China and the United States are the big two countries in foreign and economic affairs. In the depth of geopolitical tensions between China and the US and between China and Japan, President Xi is carrying out strongly his “anti-corruption campaign” as Chinese domestic agenda (Feng, 2014, p. 27). And his personal popularity and confidence is very high in China and other foreign countries. Thus, any people anticipates cautiously toward Chinese democratization. However, professional political scientists recognize that President Xi remains the stereotypical pattern of “a pragmatic Chinese leader” and does not change “the course of China’s grand strategy of a ‘peaceful rise’” which is shaped by foreign policy of “Chinese ‘self-righteousness’” to maintain a real “competitor” in relation to the United States about world affairs (Feng, 2014, p. 27). Chinese political scientist Zhu Feng (2014), who is Professor of International Relations at Nanjing University in China, analyzed that the “territorial disputes in the East and South China Seas” with “China’s military modernization” and its expansion is in relation to the concrete realization of “Chinese ‘self-righteousness’ mindset” rather than a direct challenge to the United States’ central role for the liberal world order in world affairs as a “new Cold War” (p. 27).

Even President Xi Jinping’s personal popularity and his political confidence are very high, it is not easy to anticipate the transformative change in Chinese political affair, since the Chinese political leadership maintains its traditional pattern of closed framework. The United States’ influential political scientist Susan Shirk, who is Professor of China and Pacific Relations at UC San Diego and former Deputy Assistant Secretary of State under President Clinton administration, analyzes the oligarchical structure of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP). Especially, the leadership election process is very conservative and closed. Generally speaking, in China, the political decision making is determined by the Politburo Standing Committee and the Military Commission. According to Susan Shirk’s (2008) political analysis, Chinese “leadership competition” is covered by “wraps” (P. 52). For example, the hottest political issue of “the Seventeenth Chinese Communist Party Congress in fall 2007” was who becomes a successor of President Hu Jintao (Shirk, 2008, p. 52). Many people thought Zeng Qinghong, who was a right-hand man of former President Jiang Zemin, as Hu’s successor. But the Central Military Commission did not appointed Zeng, who served as vice president, in its number two position, since he was very old (Shirk, 2008, p. 52). Of course, we are able to recognize that China currently experiences “the explosion of information” through “market-oriented and Internet-based new sources” (Shirk, 2011, p. 2). However, the Chinese Communist Party controls the public through its strong media regulation devices and monitors “the actions of subordinate officials” in the local governments through recognizing the openness of media “as a watchdog” (Shirk, 2011, p. 5). In Chinese current circumstances, how do we construct the project of religious education to apply religious educational practice in the foreign relationship between both countries, that is, South Korea and China?

References
Feng, Z. (2014). Geopolitics and China’s response: Be a co-operator and competitor. Global Asia, 9(3), 24-29.
Osmer, R. R., & Schweitzer, F. (2003). Religious education between modernization and globalization: New perspectives on the United States and Germany. Grand Rapids, Michigan: Wm. B. Eerdmans Publishing
Shrik, S. L. (2011). Changing media, changing China. In S. L. Shirk (Ed.), Changing media, changing China (pp. 1-37). New York: Oxford University Press.
Shirk, S. L. (2008). China: Fragile superpower. New York: Oxford University Press.
Prayer: We pray for China in Jesus Christ. We believe that you love that country. Thank you so God. In the name of Jesus Christ, Amen.
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Reviewed in the United States on January 23, 2008
'China: Fragile Superpower' is a book that shows that Susan Shirk is someone who really knows the country of her specialty--as much as anyone who is not a Chinese government official could. Wish she were still in the State department. I am an expat who has lived in China for quite a few years now, so a fair bit of the knowledge was already known to me or to anyone keeping abreast of Chinese affairs--especially having lived through many of the incidents in the book, such as the Hainan Spy Plane incident and the embassy bombing in Yugoslavia. Yet, even in those episodes, I learned something new. It lets one see how to look at issues from the eyes of a Chinese leader. Decisions that may seem counterproductive are actually best for the regime's grip on power.

The book is mainly organized around foreign policy dealing with the United States, Japan, Taiwan, and a bit of other Asian countries to the exclusion of countries elsewhere. However, she has good rationale for concentrating in those areas as those are the drivers of policy, due to citizen sensitivity to those issues. The organization of the book forces discussion of domestic issues into how they drive or are driven by issues with the US/Taiwan/Japan rather than chapters solely on domestic issues. I suppose this is natural since she is a diplomat.

I mostly agree with her practical arguments about what China could do better to be a more responsible and stable superpower, and what the US could do in return. I do think the government has been incredibly wily at knowing when to allow citizens to let the steam off and when to put the cap back on. The leaders know the economy is important and rightfully fear a downturn. Everything may blow, but who knows when.

There are a few pages towards the beginning and scattered at points throughout the book where she delves into the workings within the government, but I wish she gone into more detail about the formal government structure (because it is still murky after all these years here).
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Scott
5.0 out of 5 stars she explains clearly how countries like China, the US
Reviewed in Canada on June 29, 2018
Susan Shirk has been inside this relationship and the view is quite different than the one we commonly see in the media. It has changed the way that I view China. I am now more sympathetic in some ways. Among other things, she explains clearly how countries like China, the US, Japan, etc can paint themselves into corners that aren't good for anyone, when they play to the home crowd.
Stephan Wiesner
3.0 out of 5 stars Sehr interessantes Intro - Dann nichts als Wiederholungen
Reviewed in Germany on October 5, 2009
Es lohnt sich wirklich die ersten paar Seiten (oder gar Kapitel) zu lesen. Die Darstellung der Chinesischen Regierung und ihrer Angst vor dem eigenen Volk ist ein interessanter Ansatzpunkt.
Nur, das hat man schnell verstanden und dann wiederholt sich das immer und immer wieder. Zwar mit neuen Indizien, aber eben immer den selben Argumenten. Und in einem Detailierungsgrad der mich zumindest nicht mehr interessiert (wenn ich doch die Message schon geschnallt habe).
Auch setzt das Buch doch ein recht gutes Verständnis der jüngeren Geschichte Chinas voraus (was keine Kritik ist).

Fazit: Unbedingt mal reinschauen, vielleicht nicht unbedingt kaufen.
K-Nine
3.0 out of 5 stars mentality of China
Reviewed in Japan on December 6, 2008
China announced its big economic stimulus plan to stave off the increasing unemployment and social unrest. In an era of interdependence, the U.S., indeed, relies on China's economic power, while worrying over its rising military power. The ruling Communist Party, in the face of historic progress and prosperity, has been introversively struggling to hold on to power, fearing people's emotional moves or "nationalism." Extroversively, it has grown peaceful and responsible, playing a critical role on the world stage. There're doubts about the legitimacy of the one-party Communist regime in an economically, not politically, transforming society, a fragility that could threaten its neighbors like Taiwan and Japan, and the world superpower, the U.S., the author warns.
Pat Bell
5.0 out of 5 stars Well written and fact based. A must read for ...
Reviewed in Canada on April 13, 2018
Well written and fact based. A must read for anyone wanting to cut through the clutter and really understand what is happening in China!
L. Aßmann
3.0 out of 5 stars Eine Einführung, keine neuen Erkenntnisse
Reviewed in Germany on March 22, 2012
Leider muss ich mich meinem Vorredner anschliessen; das Buch fürht in jedem Kapitel gut in die Sachlage ein und wiederholt die Aspekte dann seitenlang. Für Kenner der Materie biete es wirklich nichts Neues und ist daher eher als Einführung für die nach China-Reisenden zu verstehen.