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The Coming Revolution: Struggle for Freedom in the Middle East Hardcover – December 7, 2010
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“Walid Phares has long been among the most knowledgeable and incisive scholars of the Middle East – its peoples, its cultures, its religions, and its radical movements”
- U.S. Senator Joe Lieberman (I) Connecticut
"In his book The Coming Revolution: The Struggle for Freedom in the Middle East, Walid Phares shows the free world the real aspirations of the peoples in the Middle East. We cannot ignore the deep desire for freedom by women, youth and minorities in the region. They are the anti-Jihadist majority we need to engage and work with as partners. Phares makes their case clear…”
- U.S. Congresswoman Sue Myrick, member Intelligence Committee and chairwoman, US House Caucus on Counter Terrorism
Walid Phares is the leading expert on the war of ideas between Jihadism and democracy”
- Alireza Jafarzadeh, Fox News analyst and author of The Iran Threat
"In his definitive book, The Coming Revolution: The Struggle for Freedom in the Middle East Professor Walid Phares is shedding a bright light on the fate of all oppressed peoples of the region, particularly the minorities such as Copts, Kurds, Berbers, Africans, women and others. Phares vanguard work will mark a benchmark in Middle East studies. It will give hope for a better, freer future to the region, and the world"
- Dr. Jacob Keryakes, NBC Senior Arabic Expert
“Walid Phares is a daring historian. He plays towards the Arab and Muslim world the role of Russian thinker Andrei Amalrik towards the Soviet Union: Speaking the truth”
- Professor Jean Aucagne, Saint Joseph University, Beirut
Walid Phares’ Coming Revolution is a prediction to social and political change which will change the face of the Middle East, and the future of the Planet. Phares is reading us the future
-Magdi Khalil, Egyptian Journalist, Elaph, Middle East Democracy Forum, Cairo
About the Author
Professor Walid Phares is a Senior Fellow and the director for Future Terrorism Project at the Foundation for the Defense of Democracies in Washington (2001-2009). He is also a Visiting Fellow with the European Foundation for Democracies in Brussels (2006-2009). He is Fox News Terrorism and Middle East Expert since 2007 and has been MSNBC-NBC Terrorism Analyst from 2003 to the end of 2006. Professor Phares has been an advisor to the US House of Representatives Caucus on Counter Terrorism since 2007 and to the Trans Atlantic Legislative Group on Counter Terrorism since 2008.
He teaches Global Strategies at the National Defense University in Washington DC since 2006 and he has been a Professor of Middle East Studies, Ethnic and Religious Conflict at the Department of Political Science at Florida Atlantic University (FAU) from 1993 to 2006. Professor Phares has also been a senior lecturer on the War on Terror and Global Conflicts at the LLS Program of FAU and the IRP Program at the University of Miami. Previously he taught at Florida International University and at Saint Joseph University in Beirut.
Professor Phares lectures on US campuses, nationwide, and internationally including in London, Stockholm, Brussels, Strasbourg, Mexico, Geneva, Paris, Lisbon, Sao Paolo, Montreal, Rome, Berlin, Madrid, Nicosia and Beirut. He testifies to and conducts briefings at the US Congress, the European Parliament and Commission, and the UN Security Council, as well as to US State Department and other foreign ministries worldwide and to officials on Counter Terrorism in Europe and the United States.
Dr Phares also lectures to and advise the US Departments of Justice, Defense, and Homeland Security on academic research on Terrorism. He has served as an expert on Terrorism with the US and European Governments since 2003. Dr Phares serves as an academic advisor to several Human Rights and minority groups.
Since 1979, Dr Phares has published ten books on Middle East Conflicts and International Terrorism.
Born and raised in Lebanon, Dr Walid Phares was educated at St Joseph and the Lebanese Universities of Beirut where he obtained degrees in Law and Political Science as well as a certificate in Sociology. He obtained a Masters in International Law from the Universite de Lyons in France and a Ph.D. in International Relations and Strategic Studies from the University of Miami.
Top customer reviews
The Kindle version is well formatted with linked table of contents, bibliographical references, and chapter jump. My own version has highlights galore. This is a book I intend to refer back to frequently.
After a few chapters covering the historical background of dissident efforts, the reader is taken on a tour through the regimes and opposition voices. An explanation of the historical Caliphate and the bond this creates in the minds of jihadists is well dealt with here. The importance of the taliban to this larger vision is addressed. The long and ongoing battle of opposition forces in Lebanon, particularly following the assassination of Rafiq Hariri, is well presented. The complicity of syria and iran and their interference in Lebanon along with supporting hezbollah's terror network is described. The struggle of iran's freedom movement, especially the young people, women, ethnic, and religious minorities is written about in great detail and in a hopeful tone. The terrible atrocities in sudan including genocide and slavery (of which lybia is one of the main customers) are revealed. Finally the desire for freedom by the people of egypt (especially the Copts and Christian minorities), the Berbers of North Africa, and saudi arabia are examined. I do wish Phares had dedicated a chapter to Turkey and its position in the muslim world.
Throughout the book the author does an outstanding job of showing the strengths, organizations, and motivations of dissidents who are fighting for pluralist societies. Many individuals and organizations are named and references are well documented. Criticism of US policy, especially under George W. Bush and barack obama, appears where appropriate in the discussion. I was very interested to read how Bush's push for democracy was sabotaged by many of those in positions of government responsible for carrying out the implementation. obama's reversal of policy to engage the dictators and cease our pressure for expanding democracy in the world is roundly and rightfully condemed in several places while not being too heavy handed. The book strikes a hopeful tone and gives ample reason to believe that the people living in these regions will be free. We must support them and not abandon them because the road is hard. It is better to support freedom for all people than to allow them to languish in despair. If the free world does not support these freedom seekers now we will be ashamed of our cowardice later when they free themselves. I hope many read this book and do what they can to encourage, uplift, and reinforce the moderate voices for self-determination in the darkest societies in the world. I highly recommend this book for those trying to understand what they are seeing right now on their news. This book foretells what we see happening throughout that part of the world in egypt, lybia, iran, syria, yemen, saudi arabia, bahrain, lebanon, and sudan. This book provides me with the ability to make much more sense out of the goings on in the region and to have hope that the push for freedom will succeed. The Coming Revolution is both pertinent and prophetic. It could very well be a landmark work for gaining support for oppressed populations in the muslim and arab world. This book is highly recommended.
Examining the forces for and against democracy and freedom in the region, Mr. Phares has tried to project what will happen. From Jihadists in Egypt to Kurds in Iraq, no oppressed group is left unexamined and no issue unturned.
I think we can expect more intrigue from Phares in the future.
He is a "voice in the wilderness," whose clear-eyed, clearly stated observations and input falls on the deaf ears of the current administration, as the President and Secretary of State pursue policies consistent with Islamists' efforts to set the world stage for the actualization of the Caliphate doctrine. The world needs to listen to, and learn from this courageous scholar.
In a series of 3 books (2006, 2008, 2010) about the war for democracy, Walid Phares described a growing Middle East brotherhood against democracy. In this book, the one from 2010, he speaks vividly about the war as a triangle, in which the anti-democratic brotherhood infiltrates Western democracies while it suppresses Middle Eastern opponents of autocracy. Phares says apologists in the West, funded by the West's oil dependency, inhibit support for democratic oppositions, which are then too weak to succeed against autocracies. Since 2011, we see those oppositions trying and failing as that prophecy comes true.
After reading the entire 2010 book, Preface, Introduction, and detailed chapters, there is also an Afterword from which I took the title for this review. "The Big Or" comes from a prophetic sentence in which Phares captures the whole war: either the brotherhood against democracy turns the entire Middle East into a Caliphate which then terrorizes the West into surrender, or nations in the Middle East revolt and blossom into democracies. Then follow prophetic visions for nations whose coming revolutions were given clear origins in chapters, with a final chapter about 2010 opposition leaders in exile and in countries.
One chapter reveals why Phares senses more urgency than our diplomats. He left Lebanon in October 1990 shortly after the Syrian army occupied the remaining free area of Lebanon and began killing the democratic opposition. Syrian occupation of Lebanon was accepted by America, in order to have Syria in the coalition ending Iraqi occupation of Kuwait. Phares sees how the anti-democratic brotherhood would bully its way. He knows what life would be like under a creeping Caliphate, beyond the imagination of our diplomats.
His detailed chapters got me thinking ... we are now 3 years into the first wave of the revolutions which Phares saw coming. We can see that the brotherhood against democracy is fighting back. It has indeed kept the West from intervening with decisive force. It uses increasing levels of force against Middle East activists, while the West, weakly murmuring its objections to force, finds reasons not to anoint any of the opposition groups to govern. Phares foresaw the West's indecision. He foresaw tribal conflicts to be resolved in a democratic process. I think he did not foresee the degree of non-democratic militant tribalism between rival opposition groups which lets Western diplomats avoid choosing.
So I kept on thinking, about tribalism seen by other analysts ... there seem few in the West who fully understand the obstacles which Middle Eastern tribes raise for democracy. I reviewed several books by diplomats, for example Palmer and Nasr, who valued elections as if people in the Middle East were at least as educated and analytic as the West's middle class, and at least as willing to accept whoever wins. In 3 years of revolts followed by elections, people voted emotionally in blocs by tribe and religion. As a result, those elections anointed the strongest tribes or religions to rule the weaker tribes and religions, which is exactly what every tribal group most fears. The losers in those elections did not accept the winners.
Another reviewed analyst, Ker-Lindsay, saw the Cyprus election obstacle raised by partitions which cannot live together. In 2004 he looked forward to Cyprus joining the European Union, where the religious and ethnic groups would have a larger authority over them. In 2008 Cyprus joined, and its woes are less, but they have not quite vanished, most likely because the European Union still expects Cyprus to be a member nation electing and accepting a national government. Even while Cyprus follows European Union rules for member nations, its national government has unwelcome authority over the minority half.
After my thinking, I felt Phares is even more right in 2014 than in 2010 about the West needing to encourage, support, and guide democratic oppositions toward practical results. The national revolutions Phares saw coming have begun, but democratic oppositions which removed their dictators didn't achieve the visions Phares had for those nations. They tried to replace their tribal nation's dictators with national democracies, and it seems clear those nations aren't practical democracies. Experience since 2011 shows old national boundaries fueling tribal conflicts, and new winner-take-all autocracies arising.
I looked in the detailed chapters for practical info about conflicts in nations. All of them have multiple tribes, some with links across national borders. I saw that adjacent conflicts seem likely to weaken were they immersed in a region containing several neighboring nations. Thus it seems practical for the West to encourage regional ideas. Among tribes from several neighboring nations, none would have a national claim to govern all the others. Tribal and religious groups would then govern only themselves, which is exactly what they keep saying they want, independence from other tribes.
The tribes also say they want to be independent nations, yet the West knows small democratic nations are not practical. We know from 1960 experience in post-colonial Africa that independent small nations enabled new dictators who then claimed national sovereignty and freedom from international norms. Instead, Western democracies govern their groups in conflict by giving them nested levels of self-government.
After these thoughts guided by Phares, I felt practical history would favor nested self-government under regional Middle East governments for non-tribal, internationally audited, shared defense, diplomacy, and treasury. Without rogue national armies there would be no national coups. Without bullies owning minerals there would be no kleptocracies and no rogue alliances. Whatever shape our guidance takes, Phares has shown us the Middle East needs new democratic umbrellas under which tribes govern without terror, no longer fighting for winner-take-all right to enrich the tribe by governing other tribes. In case it isn't clear, I think Phares sees the Middle East so well, he keeps a few years ahead of our diplomats. Their challenge is to catch up.
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Sadly had Clinton read his work the WTC's might still be standing.
Don't waste your money or waste your time. Too frustrating