Simonton is a lucid thinker and lucid writer, so I found this book a delight to read, though it's a challenging delight because it reads much like a PhD thesis, with careful reasoning, abundant use of empirical data, and more quantitative analysis than one might have expected.
But that rigor is worth dealing with because many of Simonton's conclusions turn out to be counterintuitive. What is his central conclusion? In a sophisticated way, Simonton makes a strong case that chance (luck) is the dominant factor in scientific creativity and success, while also recognizing the supporting roles of genius (inborn ability), zeitgeist (culture), and logic (basic knowledge of one's scientific domain and its rules of inference).
Yet Simonton also notes that "chance" isn't strictly random and out of our control, since the odds of coming up with important results can be increased by factors such as hard work (eg, increasing number of papers published), exposure to diverse and numerous influences, and fostering an iconoclastic attitude (willingness to think "outside the box," in opposition to prevailing paradigms).
To place this book in a more "popular" context, please see my December 30, 2008 review of
Outliers: The Story of Success
by Malcom Gladwell.
The bottom line is that I highly recommend this book to anyone interested in creativity and success in science, both at individual and group levels. The book requires sustained concentration, but the effort is well worth it. This book itself exemplifies creative and successful scientific work!
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