- Paperback: 328 pages
- Publisher: Georgetown University Press; Reprint edition (July 8, 2016)
- Language: English
- ISBN-10: 1626163359
- ISBN-13: 978-1626163355
- Product Dimensions: 6 x 0.7 x 9 inches
- Shipping Weight: 12 ounces (View shipping rates and policies)
- Average Customer Review: 4.0 out of 5 stars See all reviews (1 customer review)
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- #1848 in Books > Politics & Social Sciences > Politics & Government > International & World Politics > Middle Eastern
- #1945 in Books > Politics & Social Sciences > Politics & Government > International & World Politics > Security
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Crude Strategy: Rethinking the US Military Commitment to Defend Persian Gulf Oil Paperback – July 8, 2016
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"How and to what extent should America militarily defend Persian Gulf oil? With uncommon clarity, this book lays bare the questions and assumptions that lie at the heart of this timely issue. The analysis is essential reading for anyone seeking to understand continued US military presence in the region." ― Jeff Colgan, Assistant Professor of Political Science, Brown University
About the Author
Charles L. Glaser is a professor in the Elliott School of International Affairs and Department of Political Science at George Washington University as well as director of the Elliott School's Institute for Security and Conflict Studies. He is the author of several books, including Rational Theory of International Politics: The Logic of Competition and Cooperation.
Rosemary A. Kelanic is an assistant professor of political science at Williams College.
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Top Customer Reviews
Oil consumption by OECD members is predicted to decline almost 25% through 2040, though grow in others by over 50% - mostly in China and India, more than making up the difference. Booming unconventional oil output in the U.S. and Canada (to about 10 mbd in the U.S. 4.4 in Canada) has prompted speculation that the U.S. may lose strategic interest in the Gulf. In 2014-15 ISIS captured significant chunks of territory in Syria and Iraq, prompting the U.S. to send military advisers and launch air strikes on ISIS strongholds. Meanwhile, a deal has been reached to reduce Iran's ability to acquire nuclear weapons for 15 years, and doubts have grown about Saudi Arabia's (and others) stability.
The authors then add that North American proven oil reserves amount to about 233 billion barrels, compared to an estimated 800 billion barrels in the mid-East, and that the known environmental impacts of fracking are worse than those associated with conventional oil production. Nonetheless, the paramount U.S. interest now is economic prosperity - they do not see Soviet control of the Persian Gulf as a direct security threat to the U.S. anymore. There are about 700 million barrels currently stored in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve. Doubling the price of oil is estimated to shrink U.S. GDP by 3% - about $550 billion.
If the U.S. moved to a one-war requirement for the Pentagon, it would save about $75 billion/year - about 15% of U.S. defense budget (down by two aircraft carrier strike groups, two army divisions, and a few hundred air force fighter jets and bombers). The authors suggest that, along with increasing U.S. and world oil strategic reserves.