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Tarek Osman

Egypt on the Brink: From Nasser to Mubarak Paperback – January 11, 2011

by Tarek Osman (Author)

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Famous until the 1950s for its religious pluralism and extraordinary cultural heritage, Egypt is now seen as an increasingly repressive and divided land, home of the Muslim Brotherhood and an opaque regime headed by the aging President Mubarak.

In this immensely readable and thoroughly researched book, Tarek Osman explores what has happened to the biggest Arab nation since President Nasser took control of the country in 1954. He examines Egypt’s central role in the development of the two crucial movements of the period, Arab nationalism and radical Islam; the increasingly contentious relationship between Muslims and Christians; and perhaps most important of all, the rift between the cosmopolitan elite and the mass of the undereducated and underemployed population, more than half of whom are aged under thirty. This is an essential guide to one of the Middle East’s most important but least understood states.

Print length

304 pages
Language

English
Publisher

Yale University Press
Publication date

January 11, 2011
Dimensions

6.25 x 1 x 9.5 inches
ISBN-10

9780300162752
ISBN-13

978-0300162752
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Tarek Osman
31
Paperback
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Editorial Reviews

Review

"Short, readable, clear, and passionately written. A good introduction to Egypt's story.”—Boston Globe (Boston Globe)

"Osman delivers textured historical context . . . and he focuses analysis more accurately than most current pundits."—Carlin Romano, The Chronicle of Higher Education (Carlin Romano The Chronicle of Higher Education)

“Published a short time before thousands of Egyptians began pouring into Cairo's Tahrir Square, Egypt on the Brink is a timely account of Egypt near the end of the 30-year Mubarak era. It is presented thematically, rather than chronologically, and one of the most intriguing themes is the notion that whereas Egypt in the age of liberal nationalism (the 1920s and 1930s) and the Nasser years (1952-70) had a regional standing and a sense of national purpose, Hosni Mubarak's regime lost both this standing and this purpose as it devolved into a dreary despotism. Yet Osman writes with neither nostalgia nor disdain. Separate chapters discuss the Islamists, the Christians, the rise of liberal capitalism, and Egypt's youth. Even the conclusion, which speculates on who and what regime would replace Mubarak, now overtaken by events, offers useful thoughts on Egypt's distinctive politics.”—L. Carl Brown, Foreign Affairs (L. Carl Brown Foreign Affairs)

“Strange, then, that despite continued fascination with ancient Egypt, so little aside from turgid academic tomes or breathless journalistic accounts has been published about the current condition of the most populous country in the turbulent Middle East, and among the most influential. “Egypt on the Brink” is a slim book, simply written and easy to understand, and it goes a long way to filling this void. […] The author, Tarek Osman, a Western-educated Egyptian banker and occasional columnist, brings the eye of an intelligent amateur to the story of his country’s past half-century. He writes with feeling, backed up by an impressively broad list of sources as well as sharp critical insight and astute judgment.”—The Economist (Economist)

“It is hard to imagine a timelier book than Egypt on the Brink. . . an elegantly written and insightful analysis of the fissures and discontents of contemporary Egypt.”—James Jankowski, Middle East Journal (James Jankowski Middle East Journal)

About the Author

Born and raised in Egypt, Tarek Osman was educated at the American University in Cairo and Bocconi University in Italy. His writings appear in a number of publications in the United Kingdom, Europe, and the Middle East.

Product details

ASIN ‏ : ‎ 0300162758
Publisher ‏ : ‎ Yale University Press; Third Edition (January 11, 2011)
Language ‏ : ‎ English
Paperback ‏ : ‎ 304 pages
ISBN-10 ‏ : ‎ 9780300162752
ISBN-13 ‏ : ‎ 978-0300162752
Item Weight ‏ : ‎ 1 pounds
Dimensions ‏ : ‎ 6.25 x 1 x 9.5 inches

Best Sellers Rank: #1,939,244 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)
- #777 in Egyptian History (Books)
- #2,133 in Middle Eastern Politics
- #29,927 in Science Fiction Adventures

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3.8 17 ratings

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Tarek Osman

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Tarek Osman is the author of "Islamism: A History of Political Islam" and the internationally bestselling book "Egypt on the Brink", which was published weeks before Egypt's 2011 uprising, and was included in Foreign Policy’s top-ten books for year 2011.

Tarek wrote and presented several BBC documentary series, including "The Making of the Modern Arab World", "Islam Divided: Sunni-Shia", "Sands of Time: A History of Saudi Arabia", and "Stirring a Revolution: Coffee Culture in the Arab World.

In the past two decades, Tarek has been a regular contributor to many leading newspapers worldwide, including Foreign Affairs, Foreign Policy, Times, De Volksgrant, Cairo Review, and Ahram.

Website: https://tarekosman.com//

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M. Ragheb

A good review

Reviewed in the United States on October 15, 2012

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A good book to read where a lot of historical facts could be found, yet not very impartial in its evaluation of this or that president! The major collapse of Egypt in my personal view is the poor education system that has been instrumental in producing low quality of reasoning. If the country did better earlier with Nasser for example it is because he still had a good pool of educated middle class, as those waned through time....we have the current result!

Reviewed in the United States on December 15, 2013

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This book was used as a text book for a class I was taking in college. The book was easy enough for me to navigate and helped me, a non-history major to better understand so much about Egypt as a country, culture and to realize the causes of so much of their pain. I would recommend this book to anyone with the time or desire to learn more about another country. p.s. I was 60 when I took the course and had to study really hard to make "A's", but this course was one I did enjoy.

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Neku

Focusing on the recent history of Egypt, Osman makes ...

Reviewed in the United States on September 1, 2015

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Focusing on the recent history of Egypt, Osman makes an assessment that Egypt may experience a major shift soon due to changing social, political, economic, and other pressures. Written in 2011, this turned out to be more true than maybe he anticipated...

Reviewed in the United States on August 23, 2016

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Good history but not easy reading.

Reviewed in the United States on March 18, 2015

interesting

amazing -- just amazing

Reviewed in the United States on September 9, 2013

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I read this a while back as the events were unfolding in Egypt. The author accurately predicted what was to happen -- and it did!

Reviewed in the United States on April 17, 2011

This very well written, concise, and insightful book is a short survey of recent Egyptian history aimed at providing the background for understanding the present difficult situation of Egypt. Written prior to the recent overthrow of the Mubarak government, it is notable for laying out many of the tensions of Egyptian society that led to the apparently successful revolution.

This book is organized chronologically. The first chapter briefly covers the 19th century reformist efforts of the Mohammed Ali dynasty and the modernizing, liberal constitutional monarchy that was its successor (under British colonial control). Osman presents this as something of a Golden Age of Egyptian elite society with a relatively dynamic economy, cosmopolitan culture, religious toleration, considerable innovation in Islamic theology and social thought, a high rate of artistic achievement, the development of important and relatively democratic political institutions, and a sense of "Egyptianism." Osman is careful to point out the defects of this period, notably the monopolization of wealth by a relatively small oligarchy and some notable political failures. The following and particularly good chapter is very nice overview of Nasser's dominance of Egypt, stressing the revolutionary nature of his regime, both in terms of developing a state dominated economy that did initially produce substantial growth and opened up opportunities for many Egyptians, and the "Arabization" of Egyptian politics in which Egypt was the center of the Arab world and Egyptians had a broader consciousness of themselves. The failure of Nasser's "project" with the enormous defeat in the Six Day/June war, economic stagnation, and political repression is described objectively and critically. The succeeding chapters are nice descriptions of Sadat's and Mubarak's regimes, with their efforts to retain control by increasing repression, the relative radicalization of Egyptian politics in an Islamic direction, the shift from being the center of the Arab world to a junior partner of the USA, and efforts to promote economic growth as a panacea via neo-liberal policies. Osman has 2 chapters on the predicament of Egyptian Christians and the problems faced by the enormous mass of young Egyptians.

Osman ultimately described a profoundly blocked society with a huge mass of young Egyptians lacking opportunity, failing governmental institutions, an eroding middle class, neo-liberal reforms with some positive effects but whose major effect has been the prosperity of a relatively small and well-connected elite, and a government resorting to repression to maintain its grip. This book gives the sense, now vindicated by recent events, that even a modest amount of additional stress would precipitate a revolution. From Osman's discussions, any successful successor governments will have to provide both economic and political opportunities for a large mass of Egyptians not served by the present system. He is quite clear that while there is an inchoate and widely distributed Islamism in Egypt, this is not the political Islam of conservative American caricature. Osman also suggests that any successful new regime will have to promote some broad ideal to legitimate itself and promote social cohesion, though what he thinks this can be is not clear.

Perhaps because of the brevity of the book, there are some significant omissions. The discussion of the elitist character of the "liberal" regime of the first half of the 20th century barely mentions the British colonial regime, which must have significantly retarded social and political change. Osman makes much of the demography of Egypt, its recent large population growth, and the huge mass of young Egyptians, but there is not discussion of why this occurred. Some North African nations, such as Tunisia and even Algeria, appear to have had significantly faster drops in birth rates. My impression is that the Egyptian military, assisted by generous American subsidies, plays a larger role in the Egyptian economy that Osman's comments imply.

A final, excellent feature is the excellent footnotes and bibliography.

3 people found this helpful

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Paul J. Markowitz

Egypt on the Brink

Reviewed in the United States on January 25, 2012

The recent "peaceful revolution" in Egypt has successfully started a transition of power in this most important and strategic Middle Eastern country. Perhaps even more significantly it has begun a seismic shift throughout the Middle East and beyond, whose ultimate impact has yet to be fully determined. Therefore it is a most propitious and timely moment for a book to be published that traces the political, social and religious history of Egypt from Nasser to Mubarek.

Osman's thesis is that at the end of the first half of the 20th Century, Egypt was an agrarian nation where people were attached to the land. Now it is the largest exporter of cheap labor in the Middle East and is suffering a major "brain drain". In this process Egypt has transformed from a beacon of tranquility (where there has been no civil war for 7000 years), to a breeding ground for aggression.

Although Osman focuses on the period from 1950 to present, he puts into historical perspective much of the earlier history of Egypt. Egypt had a long history of being foreign-ruled by stronger societies that coveted Egypt's geopolitical position of being at the crossroads of the world. Even Mohamed Ali (1805-1849), credited with being "the founder of modern Egypt", was of Albanian origin and came to Egypt as a soldier of the Ottoman Empire. It was Ali who initially Europeanized the country, educated the best and brightest Egyptians in Europe, and created an independent modern army.

Although Ali's successors ruled with a highly authoritarian style, a middle class began to emerge, and both Cairo and Alexandria took on the appearance of a European style metropolis. This became cemented in 1869 with the opening of the Suez Canal. By 1882 Britain occupied Egypt to maintain control of Suez. Despite a revolution in 1919 and the establishment of an independent nation in 1922, Britain ruled by proxy until 1945.
The constitutional monarchy that was established was ultimately upended when a series of scandals by King Farouk caused young army officers to overthrow his government, abolishing the monarchy and thus changing Egypt forever.

Much of the book is devoted to describing and analyzing the leadership of Gamel Abdul Nasser, Anwar Sadat and Hosni Mubarek. Although these successive strongmen shared the fact that they were military men who came to power and maintained their positions largely due to their military connections, they were very different personalities who acted and were perceived by the populace in very different ways. Nasser was dynamic and revolutionary carrying out a socialist and populist doctrine. He became a hero by nationalizing the Suez Canal, and maintained his popularity even after suffering his worst defeat, the Six Day War with Israel. Sadat, although not possessing the charisma of Nasser, did emit a fatherly persona. His support of free market capitalism, peace with Israel and rapprochement with the United States were relatively popular with the populace. Mubarek remained largely a mystery to the Egyptian populace, but was seemingly a competent head bureaucrat who was initially acceptable. It was only when a drop in oil prices forced Mubarek to adopt International Monetary Fund prescriptions that required painful restructuring did his popularity plummet.

Osman successfully weaves into his history the rise of Egyptian Islamists, the rise of Egyptianism, the rise of liberal capitalism, the fluctuating significance of Egyptian Christians, and the ultimate wild card - the huge spurt in the growth of the number of Egyptian youth. The author points out that having 45 million Egyptians under the age of 35, many of them underemployed or unemployed, many who were relatively well educated, most feeling disconnected from their older compatriots was in fact an incendiary device just waiting for a light.

Although not a spot on prediction of what has actually come to pass, the book is full of critical knowledge to better understand what has happened and why. Perhaps even more importantly it gives us a roadmap to predict where it is most likely to impact both Egypt's and the United States' future. Egypt could, as Asman suggests, revive its earlier role as a Mideast power broker filling the vacuum that now exists. This would give Egypt a new prominence in the Mideast while causing the United States and Israel to reassess their geo-political strategies. In any case, what is clear in this pertinent and well-written book is that it is able to bridge the fine line between recent history and tomorrow's newspaper headlines.

2 people found this helpful

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Top reviews from other countries

docread

A balanced and timely account of Pre Revolutionary Egyptian Society

Reviewed in the United Kingdom on February 11, 2012

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With the unfolding of the momentous revolutionary events in Tahrir Square, there was a great need to obtain an accessible yet authoritative work to explain the tortuous political journey and the woeful Socio Economic state of the contemporary Egyptian Society that led to the toppling of one of the most stable regimes in the Middle East.This book offers a comprehensive and balanced account which one would warmly recommend as it is far more insightful than the recently published light journalistic essays as J Bradley's " Inside Egypt" or J West's " Karama" which rely on impressions garnered during travels or short stays.

The cheaper revised edition is the one to obtain as it contains a more up to date concluding chapter which takes into account the post Revolution developments and provides a judicious analysis of the potential interaction scenarios between the different agents and stakeholders i.e.the Military, the Muslim Brothers , the secular forces and the Salafists.The author carefully assesses the future of Egypt as a regional player and the long term effects of the creation of a conservative Islamic state on its relationship with the US and Israel.

My only reservation is the indiscriminate use of the term" liberal" scattered in the text to describe widely diverse and antagonistic political positions.For instance the epithet liberal is attached to all secular political groupings as opposed to the conservative Islamists.Not only a large number of the so called liberals are hankering after an authoritarian regime but recent history shows that Secular Modernisers are not necessarily liberal or democratic even when they adopt the tenets of Neo-Liberal Capitalism.The influential capitalist elite after all provided the backbone support to the opportunist Cronyism of the now defunct regime.Later in the text some of the so called liberal Islamists are praised for accepting the democratic game while they still assert the essential inequality of women and Christians.
Nevertheless this work should prove a milestone in the political literature after the Arab Spring for its incisive analysis and cogent arguments.Certainly a compelling enlightening read.

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Egypt on the Brink: From Nasser to Mubarak Paperback – January 11, 2011

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