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The Emerging Democratic Majority Paperback – February 10, 2004
Purchase options and add-ons
- Print length240 pages
- LanguageEnglish
- PublisherScribner
- Publication dateFebruary 10, 2004
- Dimensions5.5 x 0.6 x 8.5 inches
- ISBN-100743254783
- ISBN-13978-0743254786
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Product details
- Publisher : Scribner; Reprint edition (February 10, 2004)
- Language : English
- Paperback : 240 pages
- ISBN-10 : 0743254783
- ISBN-13 : 978-0743254786
- Item Weight : 11.2 ounces
- Dimensions : 5.5 x 0.6 x 8.5 inches
- Best Sellers Rank: #1,887,371 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)
- #1,223 in Political Parties (Books)
- #2,017 in Elections
- #3,527 in Political Conservatism & Liberalism
- Customer Reviews:
About the authors

John B. Judis is Editor-At-Large at Talking Points Memo and author of eight books, including The Populist Explosion: How the Great Recession Transformed American and European Politics (Columbia Global Reports, 2016), Genesis: Truman, American Jews, and the Origin of the Arab-Israeli Conflict (Farrar, Straus & Giroux, 2014), The Folly of Empire: What George W. Bush Could Learn from Theodore Roosevelt and Woodrow Wilson (Scribner, 2004), The Emerging Democratic Majority with Ruy Teixeira(Scribner, 2002), and The Paradox of American Democracy: Elites, Special Interests, and Betrayal of Public Trust (Pantheon, 2000). He has written for numerous publications, including The New Republic, The National Journal, The New York Times Magazine, Mother Jones, and The Washington Post. Born in Chicago, he received his B.A. and M.A. degrees in Philosophy from the University of California, Berkeley. He lives in Silver Spring, MD.

Ruy Teixeira is a Senior Fellow at both The Century Foundation and American Progress. He is also co-director of the States of Change: Demographics and Democracy project, a collaboration that brings together the Center for American Progress, the Bipartisan Policy Center, and demographer William Frey of the Brookings Institution.
His most recent book is The Optimistic Leftist: Why the 21st Century Will Be Better Than You Think. His other books include The Emerging Democratic Majority; America’s Forgotten Majority: Why the White Working Class Still Matters; The Disappearing American Voter; and Red, Blue and Purple America: The Future of Election Demographics.
Teixeira’s book The Emerging Democratic Majority, written with John Judis in 2002, was the most widely discussed political book of that year and generated praise across the political spectrum, from George Will on the right to E.J. Dionne on the left. It was selected as one of the best books of the year by The Economist.
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The conclusion: the Democratic party will emerge as a new majority by the end of the decade. The Republicans may or may not retain the House this year, and GWB may or may not win re-election in 2004. The authors don't pretend to be fortune tellers; instead they chart trends based on comprehensive analysis.
The text backs up its logic with lots of figures, sometimes charted. Part of the book goes state by state for key states and regions, sometimes down to the county level to show what has been (and will be) happening. Each and every explanation made sense to me, without being too tedious to follow.
The only negative thing I can say is to echo something Joe Conason mentioned in Salon. The authors completely ignore the mainstream media bias against Gore in Election 2000. However, since that really isn't the topic of this book it doesn't take away from the five stars I give it.
The format (and indeed the research the book consists of) is based upon a well-respected book from the late 60s, THE EMERGING REPUBLICAN MAJORITY. The authors of this book give credit where it's due; that earlier work was correct in its anticipation of what would become known as the Reagan Revolution. But since the 90s, Judis and Teixeira state that we've entered a period of transition, where neither party has been able to forcefully dictate the national conversation. The authors can only make predictions based on the available facts, but they make a very compelling argument. They look at changing demographics, geographical trends (the "blue" states vs. the "red" states), and the political philosophies of the coalitions that currently make up both parties.
The pillars of the Democratic party as it currently exists would seem to be much more in line with the general public than that of the Republicans, who are marginalizing themselves at a fairly fast rate. There's a lot of information contained here, it's displayed clearly, and each argument is backed up with a wealth of statistical data. Exit polling data and opinion polls make up a large part of their case, but an analysis of what ideas different groups of people seem most comfortable with is where the book is strongest. They highlight the growth of "ideopolises", places where ideas and services rather than goods are the main sources of employment and revenue. They see the growth of the "professional" class as the key to the Democrats' future as those people would appear to be much more open to that party's beliefs and much less happy with the direction of the Republican Party (dominated as it is by a weird and fracturing hybrid of neo-conservatives, religious fundamentalists, and anti-regulation economists).
While the model for what the near future will look like is the book's obvious and main selling point, I also found it informative to read the author's interpretation of the last century or so of political polling data. Naturally, their focus is upon the immediate past, but contained here is a nice summary of where both parties have come from. It's also very handy to have contained in one book a complete guide to all the regions of the United States and their current political stances. TV pundits make broad statements about Gore States and Bush States, but as one can see here, it's a little more complicated than that.
The book may be a little more statistic and fact oriented than most political tomes, but I found that refreshing in itself. The authors seem to be very much in favor of the "Progressive Centralism" that they predict will be the key to Democratic success, yet that dry enthusiasm never interferes with the objective facts concerning population and cultural changes. This is recommended to anyone with an interest in where the future of United States politics is moving.



