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Jeff Rubin

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The End of Growth Hardcover – International Edition, May 8, 2012

by Jeff Rubin (Author)

3.8 37 ratings

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In an urgent follow-up to his best-selling Why Your World Is About To Get A Whole Lot Smaller, Jeff Rubin argues that the end of cheap oil means the end of growth. What it will be like to live in a world where growth is over?

Economist and resource analyst Jeff Rubin is certain that the world's governments are getting it wrong. Instead of moving us toward economic recovery, measures being taken around the globe right now are digging us into a deeper hole. Both politicians and economists are missing the fact that the real engine of economic growth has always been cheap, abundant fuel and resources. But that era is over. The end of cheap oil, Rubin argues, signals the end of growth--and the end of easy answers to renewing prosperity.

Rubin's own equation is clear: with China and India sucking up the lion's share of the world's ever more limited resources, the rest of us will have to make do with less. But is this all bad? Can less actually be more? Rubin points out that there is no research to show that people living in countries with hard-charging economies are happier, and plenty of research to show that some of the most contented people on the planet live in places with no-growth or slow-growth GDPs. But it doesn't matter whether it's bad or good, it's the new reality: our world is not only about to get smaller, our day-to-day lives are about to be a whole lot different.

Review

#1 NATIONAL BESTSELLER

“I greatly enjoyed The End of Growth. It conveys a multidimensional description of the current situation from the point of view of various global players.... The economic concepts, no matter how complex, are expressed through connections and analogies, bound to entice the readers with and without economics background alike.”
—Canadian Insider Business

“Rubin’s book is well worth reading, particularly for those interested in political debates over the Enbridge, Kinder Morgan, and Keystone pipelines.”
—The Georgia Straight

“Provocative.”
—The Chronicle Herald

“Conversational.... [Rubin] raises an intriguing idea: Rising oil prices could save the planet by driving down our consumption and emissions.... Accessible.”
—The Tyee

About the Author

JEFF RUBIN is the author of Why Your World Is About to Get a Whole Lot Smaller, a #1 national bestseller and the winner of the National Business Book Award. His second book, The End of Growth, was also a #1 bestseller and made multiple best-book-of-the-year lists in 2012. Rubin was the Chief Economist at CIBC World Markets, where he worked for over twenty years. He is a Senior Fellow with the Centre for International Governance Innovation (CIGI) and lives in Toronto.

Print length

304 pages
Language

English
Publisher

Random House Canada
Publication date

May 8, 2012
Dimensions

5.88 x 1.06 x 8.55 inches
ISBN-10

030736089X
ISBN-13

978-0307360892
See all details

Jeff Rubin
47
Hardcover
9 offers from $7.97

Product details

Publisher ‏ : ‎ Random House Canada; Canadian First edition (May 8, 2012)
Language ‏ : ‎ English
Hardcover ‏ : ‎ 304 pages
ISBN-10 ‏ : ‎ 030736089X
ISBN-13 ‏ : ‎ 978-0307360892
Item Weight ‏ : ‎ 15 ounces
Dimensions ‏ : ‎ 5.88 x 1.06 x 8.55 inches

Customer Reviews:
3.8 37 ratings

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Jimzee

thorough and informative

Reviewed in the United States on September 7, 2012

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Every one involved in economics or finance at any level should take the time to read this book. Rubin clearly explains the hazrds to growth in all economies, especially developing economies, of triple digit oil prices. I have no idea what plans governments are making for what is coming but I hope for the sake of all that they take time to study what Jeff Rubin has to say.
This book and its contents are not difficult to understand as Rubin, unlike most economist, uses language that we noneconomist can clearly relate to.

One person found this helpful

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PK

More indepth

Reviewed in the United States on May 31, 2012

This is very much a follow-up and more in depth description of his first book. He talks a lot about Arab spring, China, US T-bonds, austerity in the EU and lots of current events which makes it very relevant. He explains why the US gov't, the EU and China are all doing what they're doing and why it doesn't seem to work. I really liked it but gave it only 4 stars because it piggy backs the 1st book a fair bit as some things are repetitive. Absolutely the most readable, realistic and enjoyable author on the issue or oil and the economy.

2 people found this helpful

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Mark Eversfield

The End of Developed-Country HIGH Growth? Possible, but I doubt it.

Reviewed in the United States on October 29, 2012

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The US government just released a record level of energy efficiency of 83% for last year due to fracking and horizontal drilling. Part of this figure is from reduced consumption due to a struggling economy but it does show that innovation will always play a role in pushing the peak oil point further into the future, delaying the inevitable high oil prices.

"For some of the world's biggest economies, expensive oil means shifting all the way into park". This sentence and others give me an uneasy feeling about the bias of the author. Here's another example: "What if the global economy is entering an era where static growth is the new normal? In short, what will happen if our economies stop growing? Well, we're going to find out, because that scenario is about to unfold." The author persuades the reader into thinking the worst is going to happen when the future is unknown, typical alarmist style of thought for selling his book rather than informing the reader so they can come to their own conclusion.

The author portrays the money we spend on oil as though it disappears into thin air when it goes to oil companies who spend the revenues on inputs and distribute the money back to investors. Since US has just declared an all time record in energy efficiency, the money stays at home, distributed to workers and share holders of oil company stocks. It doesn't disappear. I was just visiting a couple who worked in the oil patch who were busy buying a house, furniture, motorcycles, traveling and generally spending money they earned from working in the industry.

Rubin states that oil prices cause recessions but causality can be confusing. Oil prices rise with demand. As an economy grows and demands more oil, so too does the price. The cause of a recession is often man's irrational fear of an anticipated crash, not high oil prices. The reason for slow growth is more than high oil prices. It's investor confidence and economic policies of the new economic power China. Jeffrey tells us that high oil prices cause a recession by reducing spending on common goods for oil but consumers are now spending their money on oil which goes to workers and owners of oil equities.

Jeffery also raises the specter of inflation as all fear mongers do. There is no sign that confidence in the US dollar is waning. China continues to buy US debt.

Ruben also goes over the top by bending his definitions to suit his argument: "But when a government starts printing money to finance its own debt, isn't that just another form of default?" This is like saying you are a little pregnant. He then goes on, as any Fox broadcaster would, to equate Greece to the United States. The US doesn't have any problem collecting taxes like the Greeks and Italians. This is a main contributing factor to the European problem, not just the spending.

The book has some illuminating points though. The energy intensity of middle-eastern economies was a shocking discovery where vehicle fuel costs 12 cents a gallon and oil is used for everything from electricity to water desalination. China's policy of subsidized coal prices was also disturbing considering they have no inclination to control carbon emissions. The International Panel on Climate Change also comes under fire in the book with their assumptions of unlimited supply of coal and unchanged use with respect to price.

The book emphasizes the important role oil plays in our standard of living and its importance in an economic recovery. It is worth reading to be aware of the arguments in public policy.

4 people found this helpful

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Diogenes

Good Perspective on Energy and our Future

Reviewed in the United States on November 15, 2012

Verified Purchase

There are a lot of good books, including one of the same title by another author (also good, but not completely read yet, but this one is focused on energy and well done. It is worth the time to read and perhaps reread. I have recommended it to several friends as well. We need to keep moving on green energy for the sake of our children and theirs and generations to follow.

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Bernie.Barry

Thre orders nor received on my Kindle and I don't know why, Please advise

Reviewed in the United States on March 24, 2013

Verified Purchase

Books not received on my Kindle....A renegade history of the United States,,,Kill anything that moves and Redesigning Humans..PLEASE ADVISE...bernie.barry@yahoo.com. Thank you..

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Keith in Canada

Excellent Read, and probably a good view of the Future

Reviewed in the United States on June 15, 2012

Verified Purchase

I thoroughly enjoyed Rubin's first book, and was anxious to see what he had to say in this follow-up.
I was not disappointed. It is a very intriguing read, interesting and a good look at the Future to come. I think Rubin is way ahead of his time and in this interlined work with current climate change concerns. Very interesting read and highly recommended!

4 people found this helpful

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Renovationman26

The End of Growth by Jeff Rubin

Reviewed in the United States on July 8, 2012

Verified Purchase

I think Jeff Rubin missed a golden opportunity to examine how a steady state economy might evolve. Although well-written, Rubin tended to repeat himself from "Why Your World Is About To Get A Whole Lot Smaller". His central thesis that peak oil is nigh and prices will soon reach double digits keep getting postponed, and while it is true shale oil and gas, and arctic resources are more expensive and hard to access, our doomed capitalist system seems remarkably resilient. Doomsday books are endlessly fascinating, but rarely turn out the way the writers intend. There is no doubt unlimited economic growth is unsustainable in a finite planet, and our system of production/consumption/obsolescence cannot survive. We are required to destroy ourselves environmentally in order to survive economically, but one seldom reads economically sound books, papers or discussions, on a steady state economy and what it might look like.

3 people found this helpful

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ap

It's a lot worse, but not that bad

Reviewed in the United States on November 16, 2012

Verified Purchase

This book very well captures the current economic situation. At the same time, it explaines why it is quite hopeless, but not really that bad. All concepts are explained very well, and the 'storyline' is easy to follow. One thing that bothers me a bit is that the title is identical to the one of the book written by Richard Heinberg.

One person found this helpful

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Top reviews from other countries

Kurt Godel

The Best Book of Economics since The General Theory on Employment, Interest and Money by Keynes.

Reviewed in Canada on January 21, 2013

Verified Purchase

Simply put, The End of Growth will prove to be as influential as Keynes masterpiece, The General Theory on Employment, Interest and Money. Future generations will revere Rubin as the prophet that he is. If there is one book on economics and globalization that you need to buy it is this one. Keynes himself would have given his approval of this epic work. Humanity is in the midst of a monumental change and Rubin outlines it step by step. One could argue that all other economic texts are a footnote to Rubin's The End of Growth.

One person found this helpful

J. Beauchesne

Nothing new, but all things put together give a good overview

Reviewed in Canada on October 23, 2012

Verified Purchase

If you have an interest in energy, finance, geopolitics and you followed the news in the last 5 years, I would say that you already know about 85 % of the content of the book. What is more appealing in this book is that all facts and events are united to give an overview of the actual situation (with a possible overcome for the future).

Overall, it's worth the reading and gives perspective to a complex matter.

4 people found this helpful

Daren Draper

An O. K. book. Author is somewhat ...

Reviewed in Canada on October 19, 2015

Verified Purchase

An O.K. book. Author is somewhat repetitive.

One person found this helpful

Petre Maierean

Excellent read

Reviewed in Canada on May 22, 2012

Verified Purchase

Jeff Rubin's new book is a continuation of 'Why your world is about to get a whole lot smaller'. His key idea is that all sources of energy are getting more expensive due to growing demand and depletion of ease to access, ease to extract oil, natural gas and coal thus making economic growth impossible. He lists a few bright sides of that, including the return of manufacturing jobs, but avoids the darker one
The book is a good read, and I highly recommend it

5 people found this helpful

Ash in Vancouver

Fear mongering

Reviewed in Canada on July 19, 2014

Verified Purchase

I'm a strong advocate for the environment, but I also understand that oil is key is to how we live our modern lives.

One can't help but feel pity for Mr. Rubin getting it wrong. There is no end to growth – just a slowdown. You might say, who knew where things were headed when he wrote this book back in 2012. But it's only been 2 years, and world finances have rebounded immensely; and there's lot of cheap shale oil to go around.

Maybe Mr. Rubin should try offering paths to what might happen, instead of saying it will.

4 people found this helpful

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