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Experts in Uncertainty: Opinion and Subjective Probability in Science (Environmental Ethics and Science Policy Series) 1st Edition

3.0 out of 5 stars 1 customer review
ISBN-13: 978-0195064650
ISBN-10: 9780195064650
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Editorial Reviews

Review


[An] excellent volume....No one...has systematically and methodically addressed how subjective probabilities ought to be used in estimating and evaluating societal risks. This is the accomplishment of the Cooke volume."--Risk


"Displays the state of the art in the techniques of using expert opinion for estimating contingencies that cannot be assessed directly....To be warmly welcomed as a contribution to a discussion which is by no means ended."--New Scientist


"The strengths of the book are its comprehensive examination of the contemporary practice and use of expert opinion, and its detailed case studies as illustrations. Its style is clear and the exposition of ideas well organized and thoroughly and intelligently presented."--Choice


"The book is the first to provide an account of this novel field and provides an admirable survey of many ideas emerging therein." --Mathematical Reviews


"A very useful, readable survey of the economic, statistical, psychological, and mathematical considerations that arise in using expert opinion. It will be excellent background reading for my students."--A. Paltiel, Harvard School of Public Health


From the Back Cover

Experts in Uncertainty is an extensive survey and critical examination of the use of expert opinion in scientific inquiry and policy making.
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Product Details

  • Series: Environmental Ethics and Science Policy Series
  • Hardcover: 336 pages
  • Publisher: Oxford University Press; 1 edition (October 24, 1991)
  • Language: English
  • ISBN-10: 9780195064650
  • ISBN-13: 978-0195064650
  • ASIN: 0195064658
  • Product Dimensions: 6.5 x 1.2 x 9.6 inches
  • Shipping Weight: 1.6 pounds (View shipping rates and policies)
  • Average Customer Review: 3.0 out of 5 stars  See all reviews (1 customer review)
  • Amazon Best Sellers Rank: #2,801,925 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)

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Top Customer Reviews

By J. G. Strompf on May 4, 1999
Format: Hardcover
The first part is introductory, and contains a lot of easy and real-life examples, and is pleasant and interesting to read. However, part 2 and 3, the 'application parts', brought me to tears with the most incomprehensible mathematics.
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