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False Alarm: How Climate Change Panic Costs Us Trillions, Hurts the Poor, and Fails to Fix the Planet Hardcover – Illustrated, July 14, 2020
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Bjorn Lomborg
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Bjorn Lomborg
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Print length320 pages
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LanguageEnglish
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PublisherBasic Books
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Publication dateJuly 14, 2020
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Dimensions6.25 x 1 x 9.5 inches
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ISBN-101541647467
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ISBN-13978-1541647466
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Editorial Reviews
Review
"Lomborg does not lack solutions. In False Alarm, he advocates a range of cost-benefit tested policies to address both climate change and global poverty.... Lomborg does a service in calling out the environmental alarmism and hysteria that obscure environmental debates rather than illuminate them."―National Review
“It’s precisely because the problem is so serious that [Lomborg] argues it is necessary to approach it cool-headedly….The alternative? In Lomborg’s view it is letting ourselves be panicked into the most expensive course—trying to fix the climate without having the necessary technology on hand. Lomborg argues powerfully that this is a fool’s errand….A corrective to many of the green assumptions that dominate the media.”
―Financial Times
"Meticulously researched, and well worth a read."―Forbes
“An excellent summary of the madness, hypocrisy, and cynicism of the climate-alarm establishment.... Lomborg has done an excellent job pointing out that climate fears are indeed a ‘false alarm,’ misdirecting time and resources away from real, and soluble, problems.”―New Criterion
"An important book. Mr. Lomborg is a long-standing environmentalist regarded as a heretic by hardliners in the movement because he is an optimist who says that humanity is not doomed."―Iain Martin, The Times (UK)
“Lomborg is persuasive on the vulnerability of Africa and need for greater emphasis on building climate resilience.”―The Irish Times
"The best way to deal with global warming is to increase global prosperity.... The choice we face, Lomborg writes, is between a human future driven by fear and one driven by ingenuity. On that, he is exactly right."―The Bulwark
“False Alarm is a comprehensive analysis of the issues in climate change that represents a reasoned balance between the shrill voices demanding immediate change (without being aware of the practical issues involved) and those who see no problems at all with our current environmental situation.”―New York Journal of Books
"Lomborg's most basic premise remains that there are better ways to alleviate human misery than spending taxpayer subsidies than on panic-driven, political non-solutions to a changing climate. Few would argue with that goal."―American Thinker
“A detailed...human-centric, optimistic tome from an honest environmentalist.”―Capitalism Magazine
“Lomborg’s work is impossible for alarmists to ignore.”―Heartland Institute
“In between the cries of imminent apocalypse and outright denial that seems to be the daily fare of the mainstream and alternative news outlets on the issue of global warming, Bjorn Lomborg sounds a rare note of sanity and moderation in his new book, False Alarm. Lomborg’s achievement is in providing a much-needed broader context to the climate debate, based on years of researching and writing on the topic....One hopes that this book will bring to the attention of the general public, specialists and policy-makers, not just the scale of the problem of climate change, but the most positive steps that can be taken by governments to address it.”
―International Journal of World Peace
"Lomborg brands climate change warnings as alarmist, and argues that a massive reduction in fossil fuels would exacerbate global poverty, in this detailed account.... Lomborg is careful to back his cost-benefit analyses of climate policies with surveys and statistics."―Publishers Weekly
"[Lomborg] follows his previous critiques of climate change policy...with a hard-hitting analysis of failing strategies for addressing what he acknowledges is 'a real problem.'...A serious, debatable assessment of a controversial global issue."―Kirkus
"Bjorn Lomborg's new book offers a data-driven, human-centered antidote to the oft-apocalyptic discussion characterizing the effect of human activity on the global climate. Careful, compelling, and above all sensible and pragmatic."―Jordan Peterson, author of 12 Rules for Life
"This is a very important and superbly argued book. Those who have been persuaded that climate change is not happening, and those who think catastrophe is imminent should both read it and know they can rely on Lomborg's meticulous analysis to put them right. The rest of us can be alarmed by his relentless revelation that the world is spending a fortune on making the plight of the poor and the state of the environment worse with foolish and expensive policies."―Matt Ridley, author of How Innovation Works
"False Alarm is a timely and important book. Based on the latest scientific evidence and rigorous economic analysis, it provides a welcome antidote to widespread, irrational panic about a coming climate apocalypse. Instead, it provides a set of smart, rational policies for addressing global warming -- while not losing sight of the myriad other problems that beset our planet, including poverty and inequality. This book is essential reading for anyone who cares about our shared human future."―Justin Yifu Lin, former chief economist, the World Bank
"This is a fantastic book. In it, Bjorn Lomborg examines through the lens of statistics the apocalyptic projections of the future of climate change. He points out, rightly, that the doomsday scenarios are misguided and that policy decisions driven by panic have real costs, particularly for the poor. False Alarm is a must-read."―Bibek Debroy, Chairman, Economic Advisory Council to the Prime Minister of India
"Bjorn Lomborg is that rare thing: a clear-sighted realist about climate change. In False Alarm, he argues that it would be foolish to do nothing to prepare for a warmer planet, but it would be more foolish to pretend that we are doing things that will significantly reduce carbon dioxide emissions when we are not. At the same time, getting serious about cutting CO2 emissions will have a cost. As Lomborg says, vastly more people die as a consequence of poverty and disease each year than die as a consequence of global warming. As in the past, we humans are capable of adapting to climate change in ways that can significantly mitigate its adverse effects, without choking off economic growth. To learn how, you must read False Alarm."―Niall Ferguson, the Hoover Institution, Stanford University
“It’s precisely because the problem is so serious that [Lomborg] argues it is necessary to approach it cool-headedly….The alternative? In Lomborg’s view it is letting ourselves be panicked into the most expensive course—trying to fix the climate without having the necessary technology on hand. Lomborg argues powerfully that this is a fool’s errand….A corrective to many of the green assumptions that dominate the media.”
―Financial Times
"Meticulously researched, and well worth a read."―Forbes
“An excellent summary of the madness, hypocrisy, and cynicism of the climate-alarm establishment.... Lomborg has done an excellent job pointing out that climate fears are indeed a ‘false alarm,’ misdirecting time and resources away from real, and soluble, problems.”―New Criterion
"An important book. Mr. Lomborg is a long-standing environmentalist regarded as a heretic by hardliners in the movement because he is an optimist who says that humanity is not doomed."―Iain Martin, The Times (UK)
“Lomborg is persuasive on the vulnerability of Africa and need for greater emphasis on building climate resilience.”―The Irish Times
"The best way to deal with global warming is to increase global prosperity.... The choice we face, Lomborg writes, is between a human future driven by fear and one driven by ingenuity. On that, he is exactly right."―The Bulwark
“False Alarm is a comprehensive analysis of the issues in climate change that represents a reasoned balance between the shrill voices demanding immediate change (without being aware of the practical issues involved) and those who see no problems at all with our current environmental situation.”―New York Journal of Books
"Lomborg's most basic premise remains that there are better ways to alleviate human misery than spending taxpayer subsidies than on panic-driven, political non-solutions to a changing climate. Few would argue with that goal."―American Thinker
“A detailed...human-centric, optimistic tome from an honest environmentalist.”―Capitalism Magazine
“Lomborg’s work is impossible for alarmists to ignore.”―Heartland Institute
“In between the cries of imminent apocalypse and outright denial that seems to be the daily fare of the mainstream and alternative news outlets on the issue of global warming, Bjorn Lomborg sounds a rare note of sanity and moderation in his new book, False Alarm. Lomborg’s achievement is in providing a much-needed broader context to the climate debate, based on years of researching and writing on the topic....One hopes that this book will bring to the attention of the general public, specialists and policy-makers, not just the scale of the problem of climate change, but the most positive steps that can be taken by governments to address it.”
―International Journal of World Peace
"Lomborg brands climate change warnings as alarmist, and argues that a massive reduction in fossil fuels would exacerbate global poverty, in this detailed account.... Lomborg is careful to back his cost-benefit analyses of climate policies with surveys and statistics."―Publishers Weekly
"[Lomborg] follows his previous critiques of climate change policy...with a hard-hitting analysis of failing strategies for addressing what he acknowledges is 'a real problem.'...A serious, debatable assessment of a controversial global issue."―Kirkus
"Bjorn Lomborg's new book offers a data-driven, human-centered antidote to the oft-apocalyptic discussion characterizing the effect of human activity on the global climate. Careful, compelling, and above all sensible and pragmatic."―Jordan Peterson, author of 12 Rules for Life
"This is a very important and superbly argued book. Those who have been persuaded that climate change is not happening, and those who think catastrophe is imminent should both read it and know they can rely on Lomborg's meticulous analysis to put them right. The rest of us can be alarmed by his relentless revelation that the world is spending a fortune on making the plight of the poor and the state of the environment worse with foolish and expensive policies."―Matt Ridley, author of How Innovation Works
"False Alarm is a timely and important book. Based on the latest scientific evidence and rigorous economic analysis, it provides a welcome antidote to widespread, irrational panic about a coming climate apocalypse. Instead, it provides a set of smart, rational policies for addressing global warming -- while not losing sight of the myriad other problems that beset our planet, including poverty and inequality. This book is essential reading for anyone who cares about our shared human future."―Justin Yifu Lin, former chief economist, the World Bank
"This is a fantastic book. In it, Bjorn Lomborg examines through the lens of statistics the apocalyptic projections of the future of climate change. He points out, rightly, that the doomsday scenarios are misguided and that policy decisions driven by panic have real costs, particularly for the poor. False Alarm is a must-read."―Bibek Debroy, Chairman, Economic Advisory Council to the Prime Minister of India
"Bjorn Lomborg is that rare thing: a clear-sighted realist about climate change. In False Alarm, he argues that it would be foolish to do nothing to prepare for a warmer planet, but it would be more foolish to pretend that we are doing things that will significantly reduce carbon dioxide emissions when we are not. At the same time, getting serious about cutting CO2 emissions will have a cost. As Lomborg says, vastly more people die as a consequence of poverty and disease each year than die as a consequence of global warming. As in the past, we humans are capable of adapting to climate change in ways that can significantly mitigate its adverse effects, without choking off economic growth. To learn how, you must read False Alarm."―Niall Ferguson, the Hoover Institution, Stanford University
About the Author
Bjorn Lomborg is the best-selling author of The Skeptical Environmentalist and Cool It. He is a visiting professor at Copenhagen Business School and at the Hoover Institution at Stanford. His work appears regularly in New York Times, Wall Street Journal, the Economist, the Atlantic, and Forbes. His monthly column appears in around 40 papers in 19 languages, with more than 30 million readers. In 2011 and 2012, Lomborg was named Top 100 Global Thinker by Foreign Policy. In 2008 he was named "one of the 50 people who could save the planet" by the Guardian. He lives in Prague.
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Product details
- Publisher : Basic Books; Illustrated edition (July 14, 2020)
- Language : English
- Hardcover : 320 pages
- ISBN-10 : 1541647467
- ISBN-13 : 978-1541647466
- Item Weight : 1.15 pounds
- Dimensions : 6.25 x 1 x 9.5 inches
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Best Sellers Rank:
#15,741 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)
- #12 in Environmental Policy
- #13 in Libertarianism
- #26 in Environmental Economics (Books)
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Reviewed in the United States on July 15, 2020
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I can't give this more than three stars because, even though it is well written and well argued, in the first pages he rails against the media for giving "climate change deniers" outlets for their views "that they don't deserve". In the first place there are NO climate change "deniers". Skeptics of AGW do not deny that climate is changing. Most have argued, as does Lomberg himself, that alarmism is not warranted by the facts on the ground. Lomberg has long argued that economic considerations should be forefront in any discussion of Climate Change policies, but he doesn't admit that the whole AGW argument is on shakey ground since the climate "hiatus" beginning in 1998. There has been no trend, up or down since then. A few warm years followed by a few cool years. Just like ever. Be somewhat skeptical of any prescriptions based on AGW, no matter that economics informs them.
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5.0 out of 5 stars
The current green movement is a deeply anti-humanistic death cult that must be stopped!
Reviewed in the United States on July 29, 2020Verified Purchase
A young friend of mine recently contemplated putting an early stop to her well-going art career to become a full-time climate activist. Needless to say, this would amount to nothing globally. But personally, it would also be a terribly negative turn in her life, wasting away all of the previous efforts, passionate study, and the early success she accrued thus far. Yet under the right conditioning, having been sufficiently brainwashed into the alarmism, it is a perfectly rational decision to make if you truly believe the world will end before your natural life runs out.
This personal anecdote is far from being the worst example of the harm that climate alarmism will cause us all. All over the western world, green "protestors" are blocking traffic, disrupting the daily lives of innocent civilians; in extreme cases even preventing ambulances and first responders from doing their jobs. Again, having sufficient faith in the axiom of the climate apocalypse, none of this behavior is irrational. Nothing can possibly trump saving the planet and all life on Earth.
Next time you come across, say, an Extinction Rebel in England, try to tell them that not only the world is not going to end but also that by the end of the century it is likely that we will have eradicated abject poverty from the face of the Earth. Show them that the polar bear population has in fact increased and that the Northern Hemisphere now has more trees than it did 100 years ago. Ask them to join you in rejoicing over the bright future of mankind. What do you think would be their reaction? Shouts, screeches, and possibly violence would be their response, as a few Youtubers have demonstrated. Strange, is it not? For a group of people beating the drum of planetary salvation to be so hostile to the possibly bright outcome of our world.
Joseph E. Stiglitz, a Nobel prize laureate, described Bjorn's book as "pollution of the mind" in what he calls a review on Lomborg's work but to me seems a lot like a miserably failed hit piece. Notice the deeply orthodox religious language. Did it become normal now for Nobel prize holders to argue in such irrelevant terms as opposed to providing actual facts and data? By the way, if you are interested, Lomborg himself has posted a response to the criticism.
Having watched many of Bjorn Lomborg's lectures and presentations, I understand that he is very hesitant to attribute malice instead of ignorance to people. But we see climate alarmists all over the world propping up children to follow the lead of Greta Thunberg, pumping them full of rage and hatred, cheering them on as they stop their education to scream at adults on the streets. We see the extremists openly calling for policies that would coerce the developing world into curbing their development, which would undoubtedly lead to lives lost. We see news anchors shaming women who decide to become mothers, accusing them of doing net harm to future humanity. This will lead to a culture of madness.
How would you prove that the top proponents of this movement actually have good intentions? How to reconcile words and actions that are so far apart? The answer is that the green movement has now become a religious death cult that has all of the negative aspects of traditional religions but possesses none of their moral wisdom. It has whipped its followers into a death craze, replacing the concept of original sin with carbon dioxide, and offering a twisted sense of salvation through the deprecation of humanity. If it did not start out this way, it surely has been hijacked. Now we have to put a stop to the extremism and bring environmentalism back on a much more moderate track.
This personal anecdote is far from being the worst example of the harm that climate alarmism will cause us all. All over the western world, green "protestors" are blocking traffic, disrupting the daily lives of innocent civilians; in extreme cases even preventing ambulances and first responders from doing their jobs. Again, having sufficient faith in the axiom of the climate apocalypse, none of this behavior is irrational. Nothing can possibly trump saving the planet and all life on Earth.
Next time you come across, say, an Extinction Rebel in England, try to tell them that not only the world is not going to end but also that by the end of the century it is likely that we will have eradicated abject poverty from the face of the Earth. Show them that the polar bear population has in fact increased and that the Northern Hemisphere now has more trees than it did 100 years ago. Ask them to join you in rejoicing over the bright future of mankind. What do you think would be their reaction? Shouts, screeches, and possibly violence would be their response, as a few Youtubers have demonstrated. Strange, is it not? For a group of people beating the drum of planetary salvation to be so hostile to the possibly bright outcome of our world.
Joseph E. Stiglitz, a Nobel prize laureate, described Bjorn's book as "pollution of the mind" in what he calls a review on Lomborg's work but to me seems a lot like a miserably failed hit piece. Notice the deeply orthodox religious language. Did it become normal now for Nobel prize holders to argue in such irrelevant terms as opposed to providing actual facts and data? By the way, if you are interested, Lomborg himself has posted a response to the criticism.
Having watched many of Bjorn Lomborg's lectures and presentations, I understand that he is very hesitant to attribute malice instead of ignorance to people. But we see climate alarmists all over the world propping up children to follow the lead of Greta Thunberg, pumping them full of rage and hatred, cheering them on as they stop their education to scream at adults on the streets. We see the extremists openly calling for policies that would coerce the developing world into curbing their development, which would undoubtedly lead to lives lost. We see news anchors shaming women who decide to become mothers, accusing them of doing net harm to future humanity. This will lead to a culture of madness.
How would you prove that the top proponents of this movement actually have good intentions? How to reconcile words and actions that are so far apart? The answer is that the green movement has now become a religious death cult that has all of the negative aspects of traditional religions but possesses none of their moral wisdom. It has whipped its followers into a death craze, replacing the concept of original sin with carbon dioxide, and offering a twisted sense of salvation through the deprecation of humanity. If it did not start out this way, it surely has been hijacked. Now we have to put a stop to the extremism and bring environmentalism back on a much more moderate track.
80 people found this helpful
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Reviewed in the United States on July 28, 2020
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Calls out a lot of nonsense, but regurgitates a lot of hysteric cult dogma too.
While it is useful to have a book that attempts to place climate change in a reasonable context relative to other opportunities for human improvement, this book just has too much cognitive dissonance to be a great book.
First off, Lomborg gives away the store by claiming a scientific consensus. Page 6 states : "Scientists agree that global warming is mostly caused by humans, and there has been little change in the impacts they project for temperature and sea level rise." This is false. There are many projections as the common spaghetti graph chart of models demonstrates. Second, Lomborg refers to "pre-industrial revolution temperatures" as some sort of baseline for the planetary average global temperature he would posit as some sort of ideal even though the industrial revolution began in the middle of the Little Ice Age. And what pre-industrial revolution temperature was the norm? That of the Medieval Warm Period? And what exactly would the ideal temperature for a geo-engineered climate be? Because these are tough questions, natural climate variability denialism has become popular among hysterics but Lomborg pays no attention. Worst, Lomborg claims that there is some kind of consensus that by 2100 the average global temperature will be 7.2 degrees F warmer than ?? but that is the RCP 8.5 projection and if there is any consensus at all it may be that the RCP 8.5 projection is highly unlikely and useless to policy makers.
But other than those minor quibbles, the book is a useful refutation of a lot of the drivel the public is so regularly subjected to.
While it is useful to have a book that attempts to place climate change in a reasonable context relative to other opportunities for human improvement, this book just has too much cognitive dissonance to be a great book.
First off, Lomborg gives away the store by claiming a scientific consensus. Page 6 states : "Scientists agree that global warming is mostly caused by humans, and there has been little change in the impacts they project for temperature and sea level rise." This is false. There are many projections as the common spaghetti graph chart of models demonstrates. Second, Lomborg refers to "pre-industrial revolution temperatures" as some sort of baseline for the planetary average global temperature he would posit as some sort of ideal even though the industrial revolution began in the middle of the Little Ice Age. And what pre-industrial revolution temperature was the norm? That of the Medieval Warm Period? And what exactly would the ideal temperature for a geo-engineered climate be? Because these are tough questions, natural climate variability denialism has become popular among hysterics but Lomborg pays no attention. Worst, Lomborg claims that there is some kind of consensus that by 2100 the average global temperature will be 7.2 degrees F warmer than ?? but that is the RCP 8.5 projection and if there is any consensus at all it may be that the RCP 8.5 projection is highly unlikely and useless to policy makers.
But other than those minor quibbles, the book is a useful refutation of a lot of the drivel the public is so regularly subjected to.
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Reviewed in the United States on July 17, 2020
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This book like Apocalypse Never uses a solid approach to assessing the impact of climate change, climate change policy and misreporting of climate change reality. It’s sometimes hard to work through the data, so the book would be significantly improved by aa summary showing exactly how little will be achieved by the Paris accord and similar massively expensive policy solutions. The bottom line is that climate change is being overblown by media looking for readers, by politicians looking for votes and by green organizations looking for subsidies and beneficial regulations. A more rational approach is needed, for sure. His proposals are interesting. His data are also interesting, but data rarely convinces religious followers of the climate gods. They are caught up by emotion and not susceptible to factual arguments. Good book, though.
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R. WARD
1.0 out of 5 stars
An inaccurate and misleading book about climate change
Reviewed in the United Kingdom on September 1, 2020Verified Purchase
Like Bjorn Lomborg's other writings about climate change, 'False Alarm' is a book that misleads the reader about the potential consequences of climate change and the costs of tackling greenhouse gas emissions. Lomborg accepts the undeniable evidence that climate change is driven by emissions of greenhouse gases from human activities, such as the combustion of fossil fuels and deforestation, he presents a distorted view of current knowledge by using distorted, out-of-date and cherry-picked research findings. But he is in complete denial of the scale of the risks posed by climate change impacts.
The result is a book that is more propaganda than a factual examination of the issue. It is at odds with researchers and scientific organisations around the world, such as the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change and the United States National Academy of Sciences, who have concluded that climate change poses an extremely serious threat to people around the world, which will continue to grow unless there is much stronger action to cut greenhouse gas emissions.
The arguments presented by Lomborg are often confused and contradictory. He claims that adapting to the impacts of climate change is easier and more cost-effective than cutting emissions, but admits that the economic damage from weather events around the world is increasing rapidly. He advocates more research on finding a magical new source of energy that does not emit greenhouse gases and is cheaper than fossil fuels, but dismisses wind and solar energy which is already producing power more cheaply than coal in many parts of the world, including the United States.
Are the heart of the book is a reliance on an out-of-date model of the economic impacts of climate change which does not reflect the latest scientific research. Lomborg also exaggerates the costs of renewables and other ways of reducing emissions, bizarrely doubling all the estimates he finds in the literature. The end result is that Lomborg suggests that there is an "optimal" level of global warming that is 3.75 Celsius degrees above pre-industrial temperature. This is a laughable conclusion. The last time global temperature was more than 2 Celsius degrees above pre-industrial temperature was about 3 million years ago during the Pliocene Epoch, when the polar ice caps were much smaller than today and global sea levels were 10-20 metres higher. Modern humans first appeared on earth less than 250,000 years ago so have no evolutionary experience of the climate that Lomborg suggests is optimal!
The book may seem superficially plausible because of the citation of academic references. But when you check the papers to which Lomborg refers, you often find that they do not state what he claims. When I contacted some of the researchers about Lomborg's characterisation of their work, they said that their findings had been misrepresented.
Overall, this book will appeal to those who, like Lomborg, arrogantly believe that they know better than the experts and think that the risks of climate change have been exaggerated. But the informed reader will be able to spot that this book is an exercise in motivated reasoning and is not a serious or credible examination of the issue.
The result is a book that is more propaganda than a factual examination of the issue. It is at odds with researchers and scientific organisations around the world, such as the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change and the United States National Academy of Sciences, who have concluded that climate change poses an extremely serious threat to people around the world, which will continue to grow unless there is much stronger action to cut greenhouse gas emissions.
The arguments presented by Lomborg are often confused and contradictory. He claims that adapting to the impacts of climate change is easier and more cost-effective than cutting emissions, but admits that the economic damage from weather events around the world is increasing rapidly. He advocates more research on finding a magical new source of energy that does not emit greenhouse gases and is cheaper than fossil fuels, but dismisses wind and solar energy which is already producing power more cheaply than coal in many parts of the world, including the United States.
Are the heart of the book is a reliance on an out-of-date model of the economic impacts of climate change which does not reflect the latest scientific research. Lomborg also exaggerates the costs of renewables and other ways of reducing emissions, bizarrely doubling all the estimates he finds in the literature. The end result is that Lomborg suggests that there is an "optimal" level of global warming that is 3.75 Celsius degrees above pre-industrial temperature. This is a laughable conclusion. The last time global temperature was more than 2 Celsius degrees above pre-industrial temperature was about 3 million years ago during the Pliocene Epoch, when the polar ice caps were much smaller than today and global sea levels were 10-20 metres higher. Modern humans first appeared on earth less than 250,000 years ago so have no evolutionary experience of the climate that Lomborg suggests is optimal!
The book may seem superficially plausible because of the citation of academic references. But when you check the papers to which Lomborg refers, you often find that they do not state what he claims. When I contacted some of the researchers about Lomborg's characterisation of their work, they said that their findings had been misrepresented.
Overall, this book will appeal to those who, like Lomborg, arrogantly believe that they know better than the experts and think that the risks of climate change have been exaggerated. But the informed reader will be able to spot that this book is an exercise in motivated reasoning and is not a serious or credible examination of the issue.
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Nicholas J. R. Dougan
5.0 out of 5 stars
“Life in the future will be very recognizable but… ” – as no newspaper headline ever said
Reviewed in the United Kingdom on July 14, 2020Verified Purchase
I was surprised to realise that it’s over 12 years since Bjorn Lomborg published “Cool it!”, his last specifically on Climate Change, and almost twenty since “The Skeptical Environmentalist” brought him fame, or notoriety, depending on your viewpoint. Much of his work through his Copenhagen Consensus think-tank focuses on how to spend money most effectively to relieve poverty and other hardships around the world, and he is well known for his scepticism as to the cost-ineffectiveness of global policies on climate change.
The basic premises of False Alarm, therefore, did not come as a surprise to me. He advocates a four-pronged strategy to deal with climate change: a small but steadily increasing carbon tax, ideally one that is coordinated internationally, research into new carbon-free technologies (but little spending on deploying today’s immature ones), adaptation and, finally, research into geoengineering as an insurance policy (but not for deployment other than in extremis). Lastly, he reminds us that climate change is not the only challenge, and, indeed, for most people around the world even in the West, but especially in the developing world, it is far down their list of priorities. Prosperity, he says, is the overlooked climate policy – more prosperous people and peoples are better placed to deal with the effects of climate change as they are to overcome other problems.
Lomborg starts by asking why we get our reaction to climate change so wrong, and specifically how we became fixated on becoming “carbon neutral” by 2030 so as to limit global average temperature rise to 2.7F at the end of the century. (Minor gripe: he uses Fahrenheit in deference to the US market, only occasionally giving the Celsius equivalent; I would have preferred it the other way around, and giving both measures each time would surely have caused little additional work or disruption to the reading flow.) The answer: ask scientists a silly question - Lomborg says an impossible one - and you get a silly/impossible answer. He implicates mainstream media in particular – good news sells no stories, and headlines like “Climate Change Could End Human Civilization by 2050” as published in the New York Times sells more newspapers than “Life in the future will be very recognizable but could be somewhat more challenging in certain respects.”
Second only to the MSM Lomborg implicates university researchers and politicians as contributing to the hype for their own benefits – he does not suggest a conspiracy, rather a self-reinforcing group-think. He points out that environmental catastrophism goes back to the 1960s, and has already had a long history of promoting expensive, unnecessary and in some cases downright barbaric solutions to avert perceived Armageddons. Paul Erlich – in response to whom Lomborg supposedly wrote Skeptical Environmentalist – comes in for particular stick.
In the second section Lomborg concentrates on debunking suggestions that hurricanes, droughts or forest fires are actually worse natural phenomena than before (or linked to climate change), it’s just that we humans have placed more of our assets into harm’s way without taking appropriate precautions. He uses the reports of the International Panel on Climate Change and other government-funded reports to demonstrate just how relatively mild their predictions are compared to the hysterical reaction they are engineered to produce, and refers to the work of Nobel-Laureate economist William D. Nordhaus who has worked out the economic effect of the predicted temperature rises in terms of GDP – and concludes that the effects are all entirely manageable.
Lomborg details why almost nothing we have done so far has been effective In the third section and demonstrates the shocking expense of the subsidies that the EU, and Germany in particular, has paid (from taxpayers’ money!) to deploy renewable technologies (while attempting to phase out the one non-carbon technology that does work at scale, nuclear fission). But, he says, it’s the very attempt to work to arbitrary targets to reduce CO2 that is at fault – even if the Paris Agreement delivered as planned (and he explains why it won’t) the rise in temperature by 2100 would be reduced by an imperceptible amount. In the hard-hitting tenth chapter “How climate policy hurts the poor” he focuses on one of the key arguments of the book – which dovetails with his work in the Copenhagen Consensus – that inept climate policies actually cause deaths amongst the world’s poorest. The fashion for biofuels in the early 2000’s, for example, pushed food prices up by 75%, with predictable effects of poverty – and starvation – levels. He decries climate-based aid programmes which offer renewable (e.g. solar-based) off-grid electrification that entirely fail to meet the expectations of local people. Although written before the current campaign, it is interesting to view the intended effect of western climate campaigners on ordinary people in the rest of the world through the prism of “Black Lives Matter”; which Lomborg does not refer to that movement, he does suggest that the climate campaigners are “enacting a kind of imperialism”.
This is an excellent book. Apart from my minor quibble about F rather than C, my only concern is that he doesn’t take the time to explain why a temperature rise of 5C or 8.7F or whatever is only going to cause a small reduction on GDP and is entirely manageable. Our own dear George Monbiot and The Guardian (both quoted, not necessarily positively) are convinced and have played their part in convincing so many that this does in fact mean the end of the world, and Lomborg might usefully have spent more time providing evidence that such a rise in temperature would indeed something that we could, if necessary, adapt to. Highly recommended.
I read this in the Kindle edition, which is/was published before the hardback. The illustrations, always a weakness of ebooks and kindles in particular, aren’t bad, although it was good to be able to look at them on my PC (via the PC Kindle app) to see the detail. I also downloaded the synced audible audiobook - Jim Seybert does a credible job or narrating.
The basic premises of False Alarm, therefore, did not come as a surprise to me. He advocates a four-pronged strategy to deal with climate change: a small but steadily increasing carbon tax, ideally one that is coordinated internationally, research into new carbon-free technologies (but little spending on deploying today’s immature ones), adaptation and, finally, research into geoengineering as an insurance policy (but not for deployment other than in extremis). Lastly, he reminds us that climate change is not the only challenge, and, indeed, for most people around the world even in the West, but especially in the developing world, it is far down their list of priorities. Prosperity, he says, is the overlooked climate policy – more prosperous people and peoples are better placed to deal with the effects of climate change as they are to overcome other problems.
Lomborg starts by asking why we get our reaction to climate change so wrong, and specifically how we became fixated on becoming “carbon neutral” by 2030 so as to limit global average temperature rise to 2.7F at the end of the century. (Minor gripe: he uses Fahrenheit in deference to the US market, only occasionally giving the Celsius equivalent; I would have preferred it the other way around, and giving both measures each time would surely have caused little additional work or disruption to the reading flow.) The answer: ask scientists a silly question - Lomborg says an impossible one - and you get a silly/impossible answer. He implicates mainstream media in particular – good news sells no stories, and headlines like “Climate Change Could End Human Civilization by 2050” as published in the New York Times sells more newspapers than “Life in the future will be very recognizable but could be somewhat more challenging in certain respects.”
Second only to the MSM Lomborg implicates university researchers and politicians as contributing to the hype for their own benefits – he does not suggest a conspiracy, rather a self-reinforcing group-think. He points out that environmental catastrophism goes back to the 1960s, and has already had a long history of promoting expensive, unnecessary and in some cases downright barbaric solutions to avert perceived Armageddons. Paul Erlich – in response to whom Lomborg supposedly wrote Skeptical Environmentalist – comes in for particular stick.
In the second section Lomborg concentrates on debunking suggestions that hurricanes, droughts or forest fires are actually worse natural phenomena than before (or linked to climate change), it’s just that we humans have placed more of our assets into harm’s way without taking appropriate precautions. He uses the reports of the International Panel on Climate Change and other government-funded reports to demonstrate just how relatively mild their predictions are compared to the hysterical reaction they are engineered to produce, and refers to the work of Nobel-Laureate economist William D. Nordhaus who has worked out the economic effect of the predicted temperature rises in terms of GDP – and concludes that the effects are all entirely manageable.
Lomborg details why almost nothing we have done so far has been effective In the third section and demonstrates the shocking expense of the subsidies that the EU, and Germany in particular, has paid (from taxpayers’ money!) to deploy renewable technologies (while attempting to phase out the one non-carbon technology that does work at scale, nuclear fission). But, he says, it’s the very attempt to work to arbitrary targets to reduce CO2 that is at fault – even if the Paris Agreement delivered as planned (and he explains why it won’t) the rise in temperature by 2100 would be reduced by an imperceptible amount. In the hard-hitting tenth chapter “How climate policy hurts the poor” he focuses on one of the key arguments of the book – which dovetails with his work in the Copenhagen Consensus – that inept climate policies actually cause deaths amongst the world’s poorest. The fashion for biofuels in the early 2000’s, for example, pushed food prices up by 75%, with predictable effects of poverty – and starvation – levels. He decries climate-based aid programmes which offer renewable (e.g. solar-based) off-grid electrification that entirely fail to meet the expectations of local people. Although written before the current campaign, it is interesting to view the intended effect of western climate campaigners on ordinary people in the rest of the world through the prism of “Black Lives Matter”; which Lomborg does not refer to that movement, he does suggest that the climate campaigners are “enacting a kind of imperialism”.
This is an excellent book. Apart from my minor quibble about F rather than C, my only concern is that he doesn’t take the time to explain why a temperature rise of 5C or 8.7F or whatever is only going to cause a small reduction on GDP and is entirely manageable. Our own dear George Monbiot and The Guardian (both quoted, not necessarily positively) are convinced and have played their part in convincing so many that this does in fact mean the end of the world, and Lomborg might usefully have spent more time providing evidence that such a rise in temperature would indeed something that we could, if necessary, adapt to. Highly recommended.
I read this in the Kindle edition, which is/was published before the hardback. The illustrations, always a weakness of ebooks and kindles in particular, aren’t bad, although it was good to be able to look at them on my PC (via the PC Kindle app) to see the detail. I also downloaded the synced audible audiobook - Jim Seybert does a credible job or narrating.
60 people found this helpful
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Peter Kettle
5.0 out of 5 stars
Corrective to the hysteria about climate.
Reviewed in the United Kingdom on September 4, 2020Verified Purchase
This is a wonderful and clear explanation about the climate of our planet. It is also a corrective about the 'do gooders' who are filling our children with terror about their future. It is a rebuke for ill educated autistic school girls who believe fervently that we will all be dead in ten years time. This book gives the reader the chance to learn about the issues before leaping out to glue yourself to the railings. Salutary and brilliant.
23 people found this helpful
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Gordon Ballantyne
5.0 out of 5 stars
Factoids for sensible people
Reviewed in the United Kingdom on August 15, 2020Verified Purchase
Excellent reality check to quieten the shouty eco warriors who want to spend all the family silver on useless projects.
21 people found this helpful
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Michael Davison
5.0 out of 5 stars
Excellent, but don’t expect Climate Change Activists to understand it!
Reviewed in the United Kingdom on October 6, 2020Verified Purchase
Well presented, with solutions offered not just the same old rubbish “fossil fuel bad, solar/wind good”, the inclusion of cost/benefit analysis helps show just what the costs are and how stupidly we have been to blindly follow the Climate Activist agenda and waste money, not that the private sector is complaining. The section on raising up the poor nations out of poverty is especially illuminating, showing that given the tools and training, they do not need to rely on charity but can stand on their own and prosper, that will not please the Charity Aid Industrial Aid complex who rely on these people for their well paid jobs.
14 people found this helpful
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