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Fiasco: The American Military Adventure in Iraq, 2003 to 2005 Paperback – Bargain Price, July 31, 2007
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Thomas E. Ricks
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Editorial Reviews
Amazon.com Review
The paperback edition of Fiasco includes a new postscript in which Ricks looks back on the year since the book's release, a year in which the intensity and frequency of attacks on American soldiers only increased and in which Ricks's challenging account became accepted as conventional wisdom, with many of the dissident officers in his story given the reins of leadership, although Ricks still finds the prospects for the conflict grim. --Tom Nissley
A Fiasco, a Year Later
With the paperback release of Thomas Ricks's Fiasco, a year after the book became a #1 New York Times bestseller and an influential force in transforming the public perception (and the perception within the military and the civilian government as well) of the war in Iraq, we asked Ricks in the questions below to look back on the book and the year of conflict that have followed. On our page for the hardcover edition of Fiasco you can see our earlier Q&A with Ricks, and you can also see two lists he prepared for Amazon customers: his choices for the 10 books for understanding Iraq that aren't about Iraq, a collection of studies of counterinsurgency warfare that became surprisingly popular last year as soldiers and civilians tried to understand the nature of the new conflict, and, as a glimpse into his writing process, a playlist of the music he listened to while writing and researching the book.
Amazon.com: When we spoke with you a year ago, you said that you thought you were done going back to Baghdad. But that dateline is still showing up in your reports. How have things changed in the city over the past year?
Thomas E. Ricks: Yes, I had promised my wife that I wouldnt go back. Iraq was taking a toll on both of us--I think my trips of four to six weeks were harder on her than on me.
But I found I couldn't stay away. The Iraq war is the most important event of our time, I think, and will remain a major news story for years to come. And I felt like everything I had done for the last 15 years--from deployments I'd covered to books and military manuals Id read (and written)--had prepared me to cover this event better than most reporters. So I made a deal with my wife that I would go back to Iraq but would no longer do the riskiest things, such as go on combat patrols or on convoys. I used to have a rule that I would only take the risks necessary to "get the story." Now I don't take even those risks if I can see them, even if that means missing part of a story. Also, I try to keep my trips much shorter.
How is Baghdad different? It is still a chaotic mess. But it doesn't feel quite as Hobbesian as it did in early 2006. That said, it also feels a bit like a pause--with the so-called "surge," Uncle Sam has put all his chips on the table, and the other players are waiting a bit to see how that plays out.
Amazon.com: One of the remarkable things over the past year for a reader of Fiasco has been how much of what your book recommends has, apparently, been taken to heart by the military and civilian leadership. As you write in your new postscript to the paperback edition, the war has been "turned over to the dissidents." General David Petraeus, who was one of the first to put classic counterinsurgency tactics to use in Iraq, is now the top American commander there, and he has surrounded himself with others with similar views. What was that transformation like on the inside?
Ricks: I was really struck when I was out in Baghdad two months ago at how different the American military felt. I used to hate going into the Green Zone because of all the unreal happy talk I'd hear. It was a relief to leave the place, even if being outside it (and contrary to popular myth, most reporters do live outside it) was more dangerous.
There is a new realism in the U.S. military. In May, I was getting a briefing from one official in the Green Zone and I thought, "Wow, not only does this briefing strike me as accurate, it also is better said than I could do." That feeling was a real change from the old days.
The other thing that struck me was the number of copies I saw of Fiasco as I knocked around Iraq. When I started writing it, the title was controversial. Now generals say things to me like, "Got it, understand it, agree with it." I am told that the Army War College is making the book required reading this fall.
Amazon.com: And what are its prospects at this late date?
Ricks: The question remains, Is it too little too late? It took the U.S. military four years to get the strategy right in Iraq--that is, to understand that their goal should be to protect the people. By that time, the American people and the Iraqi people both had lost of lot of patience. (And by that time, the Iraq war had lasted longer than American participation in World War II.) Also, it isn't clear that we have enough troops to really implement this new strategy of protecting the people. In some parts of Baghdad where U.S. troops now have outposts, the streets are quieter. Yet we're seeing more violence on the outskirts of Baghdad. And the cities of Mosul and Kirkuk make me nervous. I am keeping an eye on them this summer and fall.
The thing to watch in Iraq is whether we see more tribes making common cause with the U.S. and the Iraqi government. How long will it last? And what does it mean in the long term for Iraq? Is it the beginning of a major change, or just a prelude to a big civil war?
Amazon.com: You've been a student of the culture of the military for years. How has the war affected the state of the American military: the redeployments, the state of Guard and Reserves troops and the regular Army and Marines, and the relationship to civilian leadership?
Ricks: I think there is general agreement that there is a huge strain on the military. Essentially, one percent of the nation--soldiers and their families--is carrying the burden. We are now sending soldiers back for their third year-long tours. We've never tried to fight a lengthy ground war overseas with an all-volunteer force. Nor have we ever tried to occupy an Arab country.
What the long-term effect is on the military will depend in part on how the war ends for us, and for Iraq. But I think it isn't going to be good. Today I was talking to a retired officer and asked him what he was hearing from his friends in Iraq about troop morale. "It's broken," he said. Meanwhile, he said, soldiers he knows who are back home from Iraq "wonder why they were there." Not everyone is as morose as this officer, but the trend isn't good.
Amazon.com: You quote Gen. Anthony Zinni in your postscript as saying the U.S. is "drifting toward containment" in Iraq. What does containment of what will likely remain a very hot conflict look like? You've written in your postscript and elsewhere that you think we are only in act III of a Shakespearean tragedy. I wouldn't describe Shakespeare's fifth acts as particularly well contained.
Ricks: I agree with you. Containment would mean some sort of stepping back from the war, probably beginning by halving the American military presence. You'd probably still have U.S. troops inside Iraq, but disengaged from daily fighting. Their goals would be negative ones: prevent genocide, prevent al Qaeda from being able to operate in Iraq, and prevent the war from spreading to outside Iraq. (This was laid out well in a recent study by James Miller and Shawn Brimley, readable at http://www.cnas.org/en/cms/?368.)
Containment probably would be a messy and demoralizing mission. No one signs up in the U.S. military to stand by as innocents are slaughtered in nearby cities. Yet that might be the case if we did indeed move to this stance and a full-blown civil war (or a couple) ensued. And there surely would be refugees from such fighting. Either they would go to neighboring countries, and perhaps destabilize them, or we would set up "refugee catchment" areas, as another study, by the Brookings Institute, proposed. The open-ended task of guarding those new refugee camps likely would fall to U.S. troops.
The more you look at Iraq, the more worrisome it gets. As I noted in the new postscript in the paperback edition, many strategic experts I talk to believe that the consequences of the Iraq war are going to be worse for the United States than was the fallout from the Vietnam War.
Amazon.com: A year and a half is a long time, but let's say that we have a Democratic president in January 2009: President Clinton, or Gore, or Obama. What prospect would a change in administration have for a new strategic opening? Or would the new president likely wind up like Nixon in Vietnam, owning a war he or she didn't begin?
Ricks: Not such a long time. President Bush has made his major decisions on Iraq. Troop levels are going to have to come down next year, because we don't have replacements on the shelf. So the three big questions for the U.S. government are going to be: How many troops will be withdrawn, what will be the mission of those who remain, and how long will they stay? Those questions are going to be answered by the next president, not this one.
My gut feeling is the latter: I think we are going to have troops in Iraq through 2009, and probably for a few years beyond that. Indeed, I wouldn't be surprised if U.S. troops were there in 15 years. But as I say in Fiasco, that's kind of a best-case scenario.
Review
-Michiko Kakutani, The New York Times
"The best account yet of the entire war."
-Vanity Fair
About the Author
Thomas E. Ricks is The Washington Post's senior Pentagon correspondent, where he has covered the U.S. military since 2000. Until the end of 1999, he held the same beat at The Wall Street Journal, where he was a reporter for seventeen years. A member of two Pulitzer Prize-winning teams for national reporting, he has reported on U.S. military activities in Somalia, Haiti, Korea, Bosnia, Kosovo, Macedonia, Kuwait, Turkey, Afghanistan, and Iraq. He is the author of Making the Corps and A Soldier's Duty.
Product details
- Item Weight : 1.28 pounds
- Paperback : 512 pages
- ISBN-10 : 0143038915
- ISBN-13 : 978-0143038917
- Dimensions : 6.04 x 1.17 x 9.18 inches
- Reading level : 18 and up
- Publisher : Penguin Books; Illustrated edition (July 31, 2007)
- Language: : English
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Best Sellers Rank:
#144,456 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)
- #179 in Iraq War History (Books)
- #650 in Deals in Books
- #1,623 in American Military History
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Ricks wrote there were two original fiascos of the Iraq war, first that all the arguments for it were false, and second that the U.S. had no plans on how to achieve its goals. Ricks called the first the “fruit of the poison tree” when the claims against Iraq about WMD and ties to Al Qaeda not only proved to be untrue, but then no one was held responsible because the government never really admitted it was wrong. Even after no WMD was found President Bush and others continued to claim that Saddam Hussein was a danger to the world, and then simply moved on. America lost a huge amount of credibility as a result. Even more important the White House said its end goal was a democracy in Iraq, but never came up with how that was to be accomplished. The main fault lay in the fact that both the White House and the military simply thought in terms of removing Saddam and not about what was to come afterwards. Instead, the administration constantly argued that the postwar situation would be easier than the invasion and that the U.S. would be welcomed as liberators, while neglecting planning for after the war. Ricks holds President Bush ultimately responsible, but also the military and Congress for what the author believes was one of the biggest failures in recent American history. This was a basic lack of strategy. Ricks makes a very convincing argument. The main drawback was that he never provided a reason why President Bush wanted war. The book only has one sentence that claims Bush was eventually convinced that Iraq had WMD in 2002, which was not very satisfactory. This was a major problem for almost all of the U.S. books written during the occupation, that they failed to give an explanation for the cause of the war other than the administration’s own case of WMD and Iraq-Al Qaeda ties.
The next section of the book dealt with the failed occupation of Iraq. The day Saddam Hussein was removed was basically the end of the U.S. plans for the country. Everything quickly went wrong and the U.S. was left flatfooted. The Americans had nothing for the looting and then the emergence of the insurgency. This was made worse by a lack of coordination between the civil administrations and the military. The Coalition Provisional Authority took major measures like disbanding the Iraqi military and implementing deBaathification that were opposed by the military. On the other hand, each division in Iraq was basically left to its own devices and committed many acts that also made the situation worse. Ricks singled out the 4th Infantry Division then commanded by General Ray Odierno who later became the overall commander in Iraq for carrying out mass arrests of Iraqi men, abusing prisoners, relying far too much on indiscriminate use of firepower upon the population, and sending thousands of men to Abu Ghraib where they were mistreated. All these acts helped turned the Iraqis against the U.S. Finally, the White House refused to admit that anything was going wrong, and instead argued everything was getting better. Ricks compared what the U.S. was doing during this period from 2003-04 with counterinsurgency strategy that focuses upon securing the population from militants. The Americans were doing the exact opposite because they initially refused to even acknowledge the insurgency, and had no plan. Again, Ricks shows off his knowledge of the military by going through different writers on counterinsurgency such as French officers from its war in Algeria to modern U.S. thinkers that tried to advise the American forces in Iraq on what the occupation should have been like. He also did extensive interviews with civilians, soldiers and Marines in Iraq to give their personal perspective on what was going wrong at that time. Because the U.S. entered Iraq with no plan, it basically improvised its way through the first couple years to devastating effect.
The book finishes with the 2004-05 period when the problems in Iraq only grew. In 2004 there were the two battles for Fallujah and two Sadr uprisings. On the other side, the new U.S. commander in Iraq General George Casey drew up the first battleplan for Iraq one year into the occupation. While it included an attempt at counterinsurgency the Americans didn’t have enough troops, the Iraqi forces were in their infancy and neither was capable of holding onto any area that was cleared of insurgents or militias. Back in Washington Bush continued to resist any reports he received that things in Iraq were going badly. By 2006, the Americans were in the third year of occupation and still had no strategy and their opponents were only growing stronger. The result would be civil war. This was the continued fiasco. The problems that were there at the start of the Iraq war still had not been resolved. Again, the president must be blamed for his refusal to listen to what was going on and demanding that things change. Instead, he would pronounce again and again that he would stay the course. Ricks’ focus is again upon the U.S. forces in Iraq, which was his expertise. If he’d delved into the White House more he might have found the overall problem was that Bush was not hands on with the Iraq war. He delegated it to the Pentagon and the military. Secretary of Defense Rumsfeld had fought tooth and nail for the Defense Department to control postwar Iraq, but after the invasion, he lost almost all interest leading to the general drift in policy. The military was taking baby steps towards a counterinsurgency strategy, but didn’t have the resources or backing to make it work yet. Again, Bush was mostly oblivious and did not provide the necessary leadership.
Fiasco is still one of the best books to understand how everything went so wrong for the U.S. military in Iraq in the early years of the occupation. Ricks focuses upon how the American leadership starting with President Bush to Defense Secretary Rumsfeld to invasion commander General Tommy Franks down to the division commanders first deceived themselves about Iraq thinking it was only about regime change, and then only made the situation worse when the U.S. became the occupying power. Congress also never provided any oversight and partisan politics meant many didn’t want to question what was going on. Ricks also does a great job pointing out all the things the Americans should have done like come up with strategy on how to transform post-Saddam Iraq, and how counterinsurgency policies could have lessoned the resistance to the occupation. What Ricks wrote about was what the U.S. eventually did with the Surge, but that wasn’t until 2007, four years after the invasion when Bush finally figured out that Iraq was failing and made a change. That again highlights that blame starts at the top and it was Bush’s lack of inquisitiveness and stubbornness that were at the root of the problem.
Musings On Iraq
- Ricks starts the account from the Gulf War; he gives us an insight of the measures that were taken at the end of it and how there measures influenced the policy towards Iraq in the years that followed.
- We get to know the guys that had been pro-war since after 91 (like Wolfowitz, Perle ecc) and why they thought the war would be "good".
- Gen.Anthony Zinni is a key figure during the first chapters of the book and his missions (Desert Fox and the containment policy) are given a detailed account. Also during the whole war in Iraq he is given a judgemental say on how the war is going and how it can get better.
- The "mistakes" made in the pre-war period and the source of the "bad intelligence" are also treated in detail. You get to learn where the chain got broken ecc.
- The way the war starts and its the first months and the inside of those days at the Bush administration take the greatest part of the book. Practically until page 300 (out of 450) you find yourself still in midsummer 2003. Then with the deterioration of the ground situation the reporting changes too. Because the journalists couldn't get out of the safe zones, the reporting details of those months diminish too.
- Ricks has this fashion of portraying all the US citizens who take part in the war effort (be it the soldiers, their commanders, the generals or the Bush adm. officials) as good men inside and quite skilled. They are all very hard working, believe in what they say (officially at least) and have PhDs form the Ivy League, but they all find themselves missing the main point of the day. Everyone seems to be at the wrong place at the wrong time.
- A detailed account is also given on the abuse cases; who did what and how it was "punished". You get to read how the US soldiers viewed the iraqi civilians and why they got so hated.
- "The insurgents" as they are referred during all the book never get a proper name. I mean everybody knew back then that al-Qaeda and the sunni tribes were the main players for the sunni side and that Jaish al-Mahdi (who had infiltrated the police and the army; point which is not touched in the book) was for the shias but they are referred as one during the whole reading. Also nothing is mentioned about the leaders of the insurgency, except for Muqtada Sadr.
- A point that I personally found very interesting is when Ricks lays out the possible outcomes of the war in Iraq as "best outcome", "middle" "bad" and "nightmare". At the "nightmare" section he draws a possible scenario in which Iraq is used as a base to form a Caliphate. And he also says that he fears the coming of a "young, energetic, moral, modest, austere..." leader, like Saladin he even adds, and that the muslims will rally after him to fight the westerners. Considering the events that have occurred these last months in Iraq and the region, it seems like the nightmare is coming to life.
- Ricks end the book with the coming of Gen.Petraeus as the general commander of the Iraqi mission. Clearly he loves him, because there is a section filled only with the praising of him and the intellectuals that surrounded him. It gives you a taste of what his second book (The gamble) would be like.
To sum up, the book is a must read for those who want to have a general view of the beginning and development of the first years of the infamous war in Iraq. The book is well researched and according to my opinion, quite truthful.
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Greetinbgs from David Johnson in Copenhagen
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