- Paperback: 304 pages
- Publisher: Biteback Publishing; 1 edition (June 12, 2018)
- Language: English
- ISBN-10: 1785902229
- ISBN-13: 978-1785902222
- Product Dimensions: 5.3 x 1 x 8.5 inches
- Shipping Weight: 10.2 ounces (View shipping rates and policies)
- Average Customer Review: 1 customer review
- Amazon Best Sellers Rank: #751,335 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)
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Forewarned: A Sceptic's Guide to Prediction 1st Edition
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About the Author
Paul Goodwin is an Emeritus Professor at the University of Bath, where he taught and researched forecasting and decision making. He has a PhD from Lancaster University and an MSc from Warwick University and he has acted as a consultant to both leading companies and government departments. In 2013 he was elected as an Honorary Fellow of the International Institute of Forecasters in recognition of his contribution to forecasting.
Top customer reviews
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The book covers similar material to other books like Tetlock’s Expert Political Opinion. There are also lots of references to the work of Kahneman and Tversky. Taleb is also referred to frequently.
There is a discussion of how scenario planning can be useful and how companies have used it successfully.
The book isn’t bad. If you’ve read lot of similar things much of the material will be familiar but there should be something new for most people in the book.