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The Fourth Age: Smart Robots, Conscious Computers, and the Future of Humanity Kindle Edition
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LanguageEnglish
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PublisherAtria Books
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Publication dateApril 24, 2018
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File size2963 KB
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Editorial Reviews
Review
“The Fourth Age not only discusses what the rise of A.I. will mean for us, it also forces readers to challenge their preconceptions. And it manages to do all this in a way that is both entertaining and engaging.” (The New York Times)
“In The Fourth Age, Byron Reese offers the reader something much more valuable than what to think about Artificial Intelligence and robotics—he focuses on HOW to think about these technologies, and the ways in which they will change the world forever. If you only read just one book about the AI revolution, make it this one.” (John Mackey, co-founder and CEO, Whole Foods Market )
"Reese frames the deepest questions of our time in clear language that invites readers to make their own choices. Using 100,000 years of human history as his guide, he explores the issues around artificial general intelligence, robots, consciousness, automation, the end of work, abundance, and immortality. As he does so, Reese reveals himself to be an optimist and urges us to use technology to build a better world." (Bob Metcalfe, UT Austin Professor of Innovation, Ethernet inventor, 3Com founder )
"Timely, highly informative, and certainly optimistic." (Booklist)
About the Author
Byron Reese is the CEO and publisher of the technology research company Gigaom, and the founder of several high-tech companies. He has spent the better part of his life exploring the interplay of technology with human history. Reese has obtained or has pending patents in disciplines as varied as crowdsourcing, content creation, and psychographics. The websites he has launched, which cover the intersection of technology, business, science, and history, have together received over a billion visitors. He is the author of the acclaimed book, Infinite Progress: How Technology and the Internet Will End Ignorance, Disease, Hunger, Poverty, and War. He lives in Austin, Texas.
Excerpt. © Reprinted by permission. All rights reserved.
The Fourth Age
The most distinctive characteristic of the last century or so might seem to be the enormous amount of change that has occurred. Dozens, if not hundreds, of advances are said to have revolutionized our lives. The list includes automobiles, air travel, television, the personal computer, the Internet, and cell phones. Change is everywhere. We have harnessed the atom, flown into space, invented antibiotics, eliminated smallpox, and sequenced the genome.
But within the context of the overall arc of human history, little has changed in the past five thousand years. Just like the people who lived five millennia ago, we too have moms, dads, kids, schools, governments, religions, war, peace. We still celebrate births and mourn death. Forever with us, universal to all cultures of humanity, are sports, weddings, dancing, jewelry, tattoos, fashion, gossip, social hierarchy, fear, love, joy, happiness, and ecstasy. Looked at through this lens, humanity really hasn’t changed much in all that time. We still go to work in the morning;, only the way we get there has changed. In ancient Assyria, toddlers pulled around small wooden horsey toys on wheels with a string. In classical Greece, boys played tug-of-war. Ancient Egypt was renowned for its cosmetics, and millennia ago, Persians celebrated birthdays in much the same way as we do, with parties, presents, and special desserts.
No, the remarkable thing about our time is not the change we have seen; rather, it is the change we haven’t seen. The really amazing thing is how similar we are to our forebears. In ancient Rome, gladiators were paid celebrity spokesmen who recited product plugs just before the competition: “That’s why I use Antinius’s swords. You won’t find a better sword at any price.” And just like in our times, there were people willing to perform dramatically destructive acts just for the fame that doing so brought about, as was said to have happened on July 21, 356 BC, when an arsonist named Herostratus burned down the Temple of Artemis at Ephesus, one of the Seven Wonders of the Ancient World, simply for the everlasting fame it would bring him. In response, a law was passed that made saying his name a crime, but clearly Herostratus got his wish.
If you went to visit a friend in antiquity, you might have seen mounted on the door a brass lion’s head with a ring in its mouth to be used to announce your arrival. If you attended a wedding five thousand years ago, you likely would have joined the wedding party as they wished good fortune on the new couple by throwing rice. Today, when we read that archaeologists have dug up ancient lead slingshot bullets each engraved with the word “catch,” we still get the joke.
These people of antiquity were just like us. To really appreciate the unchanging nature of humans, one need look no farther than a book called Characters written by a Greek named Theophrastus 2,300 years ago. He satirized humanity itself, and sorted us all by type, such as the Flatterer, the Boor, the Chatty Man, and so forth. If you know someone who takes photos of his meals and posts them online, you might see him in the person Theophrastus calls the Garrulous Man, who “begins with a eulogy of his wife, relates the dream he had the night before, tells dish by dish what he had for supper,” and concludes that “we are by no means the men we were” in times past. Theophrastus then goes on to describe the Stupid Man, who “when he goes to the play, is left at the end fast asleep in an empty house. . . . After a hearty supper he has to get up in the night, returns only half awake, misses the right door, and is bitten by his neighbor’s dog.”
No, against the backdrop of history, our time has seen very little change. In fact, I maintain that things have only really changed three times in human history. Each time was due to technology. Not just a single technology, but groups of interrelated technologies that changed us in fundamental and permanent, even biological, ways. That’s it. Just three big changes so far.
This book is about the fourth one. --This text refers to an out of print or unavailable edition of this title.
INTRODUCTION
The most distinctive characteristic of the last century or so might seem to be the enormous amount of change that has occurred. Dozens, if not hundreds, of advances are said to have revolutionized our lives. The list includes automobiles, air travel, television, the personal computer, the Internet, and cell phones. Change is everywhere. We have harnessed the atom, flown into space, invented antibiotics, eliminated smallpox, and sequenced the genome.
But within the context of the overall arc of human history, little has changed in the past five thousand years. Just like the people who lived five millennia ago, we too have moms, dads, kids, schools, governments, religions, war, peace. We still celebrate births and mourn death. Forever with us, universal to all cultures of humanity, are sports, weddings, dancing, jewelry, tattoos, fashion, gossip, social hierarchy, fear, love, joy, happiness, and ecstasy. Looked at through this lens, humanity really hasn’t changed much in all that time. We still go to work in the morning;, only the way we get there has changed. In ancient Assyria, toddlers pulled around small wooden horsey toys on wheels with a string. In classical Greece, boys played tug-of-war. Ancient Egypt was renowned for its cosmetics, and millennia ago, Persians celebrated birthdays in much the same way as we do, with parties, presents, and special desserts.
No, the remarkable thing about our time is not the change we have seen; rather, it is the change we haven’t seen. The really amazing thing is how similar we are to our forebears. In ancient Rome, gladiators were paid celebrity spokesmen who recited product plugs just before the competition: “That’s why I use Antinius’s swords. You won’t find a better sword at any price.” And just like in our times, there were people willing to perform dramatically destructive acts just for the fame that doing so brought about, as was said to have happened on July 21, 356 BC, when an arsonist named Herostratus burned down the Temple of Artemis at Ephesus, one of the Seven Wonders of the Ancient World, simply for the everlasting fame it would bring him. In response, a law was passed that made saying his name a crime, but clearly Herostratus got his wish.
If you went to visit a friend in antiquity, you might have seen mounted on the door a brass lion’s head with a ring in its mouth to be used to announce your arrival. If you attended a wedding five thousand years ago, you likely would have joined the wedding party as they wished good fortune on the new couple by throwing rice. Today, when we read that archaeologists have dug up ancient lead slingshot bullets each engraved with the word “catch,” we still get the joke.
These people of antiquity were just like us. To really appreciate the unchanging nature of humans, one need look no farther than a book called Characters written by a Greek named Theophrastus 2,300 years ago. He satirized humanity itself, and sorted us all by type, such as the Flatterer, the Boor, the Chatty Man, and so forth. If you know someone who takes photos of his meals and posts them online, you might see him in the person Theophrastus calls the Garrulous Man, who “begins with a eulogy of his wife, relates the dream he had the night before, tells dish by dish what he had for supper,” and concludes that “we are by no means the men we were” in times past. Theophrastus then goes on to describe the Stupid Man, who “when he goes to the play, is left at the end fast asleep in an empty house. . . . After a hearty supper he has to get up in the night, returns only half awake, misses the right door, and is bitten by his neighbor’s dog.”
No, against the backdrop of history, our time has seen very little change. In fact, I maintain that things have only really changed three times in human history. Each time was due to technology. Not just a single technology, but groups of interrelated technologies that changed us in fundamental and permanent, even biological, ways. That’s it. Just three big changes so far.
This book is about the fourth one. --This text refers to an out of print or unavailable edition of this title.
Product details
- ASIN : B074ZQ62FW
- Publisher : Atria Books; Reprint edition (April 24, 2018)
- Publication date : April 24, 2018
- Language : English
- File size : 2963 KB
- Text-to-Speech : Enabled
- Screen Reader : Supported
- Enhanced typesetting : Enabled
- X-Ray : Enabled
- Word Wise : Enabled
- Print length : 335 pages
- Lending : Not Enabled
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Best Sellers Rank:
#242,610 in Kindle Store (See Top 100 in Kindle Store)
- #28 in Robotic Engineering
- #42 in Robotics & Automation (Kindle Store)
- #51 in Labor Policy
- Customer Reviews:
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Reviewed in the United States on February 12, 2019
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The author does a poor job from both journalism and science perspectives. In fact, the second half of the book seems to be a bunch of filler, concerning other topics about the future and how 'great' our civilization has been and will be, rather than keeping to topic. Fine, so the author is an optimist. An optimist paying close attention to page count rather than the demands of the topic. The first half of the book is hardly better. Instead of an analysis, the author asks dozens (maybe hundreds) of rhetorical questions, and concludes that your answers to the basic ones establish what you expect / believe will happen with AI and robotics. These are questions concerning whether you believe the soul or consciousness are unique to humans or can accept that mathematical calculations are all that is fundamentally involved. However, the book becomes a real let down when it regurgitates these answers to tell you what you think. Doh. Ask yourself if you want to buy a book that tells you more about yourself than the topic. The book has essentially no references, which reflects the fact that it is just a long essay. A cop out. And a waste of time.
10 people found this helpful
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Reviewed in the United States on May 24, 2018
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Byron takes us on a journey through the history of human technological and societal development, and asks a set of philosophical questions that help frame how to think about the age we're in now, centered on the concept of developing machines that think. Without trying to guide the reader to a particular conclusion, Byron asks you to contend with basic questions - such as what YOU are, fundamentally, and how that shapes your thinking about the age we're in.
If you're an avid reader of futurist thinking or speculative fiction, you'll find a lot of familiar concepts here, but framed within the arc of history and with a focus on the implications for the human condition. If you're not, Byron helps guide you into the kind of thinking required to really evaluate the implications of AI. I'd recommend The Fourth Age to anyone interested in the future of humanity, it's deep enough to provoke new thoughts in the experienced thinker in this space, and approachable enough to be your first introduction.
And at the risk of a minor spoiler - Byron concludes with a prediction for what comes after this age - and it's a prediction that is centered on a well-reasoned, but fundamentally very optimistic outlook on humanity - what we might look like with our potential fully realized on the other side of this Fourth Age. Whether or not you agree with his prediction - you'll definitely want to.
If you're an avid reader of futurist thinking or speculative fiction, you'll find a lot of familiar concepts here, but framed within the arc of history and with a focus on the implications for the human condition. If you're not, Byron helps guide you into the kind of thinking required to really evaluate the implications of AI. I'd recommend The Fourth Age to anyone interested in the future of humanity, it's deep enough to provoke new thoughts in the experienced thinker in this space, and approachable enough to be your first introduction.
And at the risk of a minor spoiler - Byron concludes with a prediction for what comes after this age - and it's a prediction that is centered on a well-reasoned, but fundamentally very optimistic outlook on humanity - what we might look like with our potential fully realized on the other side of this Fourth Age. Whether or not you agree with his prediction - you'll definitely want to.
15 people found this helpful
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Reviewed in the United States on April 24, 2018
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This is the best book in AI, robots, and their implications for the future that I have read in at least a decade, and certainly the most relevant for where we stand as a society today. The author's prose is exceptionally readable and creative. It incorporates a summary of ideas already in circulation (and thus is appropriate for someone without a background in AI), and also introduces original ideas that I have not seen anywhere else. I highly recommend this book.
12 people found this helpful
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Reviewed in the United States on June 21, 2018
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It's nice to find a book on AI that straddles the line between being enjoyable and easy to follow without sacrificing any of the nuance and depth of this challenging topic. While we can probably agree that the exact future of AI has a lot of unknowns, and hence potential dangers, it doesn't change the fact that we can choose to view the possibilities through an optimistic lens, as Reese does here.
Throughout the book, Reese takes apart the ominous headlines we so often hear in the news and provides more clarity around the topic. For example, the notion that '47% of jobs are at risk of being automated' is shown to be effectively a mis-reading of the reports authors, who more accurately concluded that roughly 47% of common tasks could be automated, but those tasks are spread out among many occupations.
I do think more time could have been spent in the earlier chapters outlining the first three ages, and what clearly separates them, but the point stands that we have had very few technological shifts that have the capacity to dramatically shift the course of human history and development.
This is a great book for looking back on where we've been and equipping the reader with the information necessary to form their own ideas about where we might be going next.
Throughout the book, Reese takes apart the ominous headlines we so often hear in the news and provides more clarity around the topic. For example, the notion that '47% of jobs are at risk of being automated' is shown to be effectively a mis-reading of the reports authors, who more accurately concluded that roughly 47% of common tasks could be automated, but those tasks are spread out among many occupations.
I do think more time could have been spent in the earlier chapters outlining the first three ages, and what clearly separates them, but the point stands that we have had very few technological shifts that have the capacity to dramatically shift the course of human history and development.
This is a great book for looking back on where we've been and equipping the reader with the information necessary to form their own ideas about where we might be going next.
7 people found this helpful
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Reviewed in the United States on May 24, 2019
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hard to finish and so full of false starts and dead-ends ... Reese writes an obviously well-researched book to show what's happening and what might happen and what's probably not going to happen in the field of AI … great background and overview on the subject but he does seem to fall short with some of his writing.
for starters, he tends to drift around the topic he's discussing at any point and fill us up with so much background and minutiae, I had to go back to rediscover the train of thought … the other (and more off-putting) tendency he has is to be so optimistic about the potential of mankind to rise to the challenge of automated jobs that it borders on being saccharine.
personally, I could have done with a lot less of the cheer-leading and more of the in depth delivery of information. he's a very competent writer and is very engaging, I would really recommend this book to anyone with an interest in the field to get a good footing in it and then move on to some of the deeper writings, like Pedro Domingos or Andrew Ng, to see the real nitty gritty without the tassles and team cheers … just my 2¢ …
for starters, he tends to drift around the topic he's discussing at any point and fill us up with so much background and minutiae, I had to go back to rediscover the train of thought … the other (and more off-putting) tendency he has is to be so optimistic about the potential of mankind to rise to the challenge of automated jobs that it borders on being saccharine.
personally, I could have done with a lot less of the cheer-leading and more of the in depth delivery of information. he's a very competent writer and is very engaging, I would really recommend this book to anyone with an interest in the field to get a good footing in it and then move on to some of the deeper writings, like Pedro Domingos or Andrew Ng, to see the real nitty gritty without the tassles and team cheers … just my 2¢ …
3 people found this helpful
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Reviewed in the United States on November 27, 2018
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I was especially impressed with Byron Reese's analytical comparison of the human brain to current and projected AI computers. He really does a very thoughtful presentation of the differences between human traits of caring, sensitivity, love and planning for the best possible future world for humanity. IMHO, too many AI books paint an "end of humanity" perspective as Artificial General Intelligence takes over the World.
As a footnote, a friend and I just finished teaching a course on AI for our local Osher Lifelong Learning organization.
As a footnote, a friend and I just finished teaching a course on AI for our local Osher Lifelong Learning organization.
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Top reviews from other countries
Cherryl
5.0 out of 5 stars
A New Reality: Definitely very thought provoking
Reviewed in the United Kingdom on January 27, 2019Verified Purchase
A very interesting exploration of the modern day realties around robotics and it's potential to change humanity as we know it. The book challenges you to think about your stance and contemplate the impact of things like transhumanism, robots replacing human labour power and the ability of robots/computers to compete with the human brain/mind.
Andy
5.0 out of 5 stars
Great read!
Reviewed in the United Kingdom on September 8, 2018Verified Purchase
Very thought provoking.
Joshua Oig
1.0 out of 5 stars
For a serious look at the future look elsewhere.
Reviewed in Canada on December 15, 2018Verified Purchase
In the fourth age Byron makes an attempt to give a look into our future. Unfortunately the attempt falls on it's face almost immediately. Borrowing from the structure of books from better authors he attempts to classify human history into multiple ages of which we are in the fourth. In this attempt his lack of objectivity becomes glaringly obvious as he makes statements of fact in heavily disputed areas. He fails to even mention that any dispute exists. This continues as he presents Kurzweil's idea that all technology follows a specific exponential growth path as fact. Not only is this idea not supported by the scientific community, he fails to even mention the possibility that it could be wrong. Furthermore in his look at the future of AI he descends into pseudo science as he seriously discusses the implication of the lack of a soul.
In summary avoid.
In summary avoid.
3 people found this helpful
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Luana & Lia
5.0 out of 5 stars
Wonderful book for all technology lovers
Reviewed in Italy on December 17, 2020Verified Purchase
Because disclaimers always come first, I have to tell you that a representative of GigaOM reached out to me on Twitter in 2018 asking if I wanted to read the book and sent me an EPUB. I started reading and I liked it so much that I decided to buy the paperback as soon as it became available on Amazon.
That said, this is an unbiased review – with the only “bias”, if you allow me, being my unconditional love of machines.
But this book is more on the human than on the machine. In fact, the author Byron Reese focuses on the ages of technological progress, from language and fire in the First, to the development of sophisticated AI and robots in the Fourth.
And how will human life change in the Fourth Age thanks to these catalysts? Reese investigates on the possibilities, especially what will happen to the concept of “human” if (when?) humankind will ever be able to build a sophisticated artificial general intelligence (AGI), a conscious machine. Will the machines be human, too?
Reese also attempts to answer (with the collaboration of the reader) some current hot questions: will robots eventually take our jobs? What about the use of robots in warfare?
Personally, I follow Haikonen’s robot consciousness research (and I dream to be able to “program” it in a robot one day) but it’s far from building a Terminator and I hope for humanity’s sake that we’ll always put restrictions on robots even if we manage to make them slightly conscious. The best way to not run the risk of technology taking over is to not build that something at all.
The good news, to say it with Reese, is that "We use our technology, generally speaking, for good."
But the author also investigates on some directions progress may take, like ending poverty and hunger, fighting disease, develop more clean energy and extend life. As always, he leaves it up to the reader to decide on various matters, from technology to immortality.
All in all, I found Reese’s book thought provoking and a good analysis of the human way to handle progress and civilization.
"The fact that progress exists at all speaks quite well of us as a species, for it relies on cooperation, honesty, and benevolence. It involves selflessness as well as empathy." -- Byron Reese
I also enjoyed the author's writing style: personable yet neutral, and it runs smoothly when you read it. The only reason it took me two years to finish this book is because it's information-packed and dense in citations and questions, so sometimes reading one page got me thinking for the whole days and I just couldn't progress with the reading.
But you know what? I'm glad it took me this long. Living with this book for a while helped me mature as a human being, I believe, and start looking at things a bit differently and with more critical sensibility.
I wholeheartedly recommend this book to all people who have a passion for technology and who have questions about life, society and the world.
- Luana Spinetti
That said, this is an unbiased review – with the only “bias”, if you allow me, being my unconditional love of machines.
But this book is more on the human than on the machine. In fact, the author Byron Reese focuses on the ages of technological progress, from language and fire in the First, to the development of sophisticated AI and robots in the Fourth.
And how will human life change in the Fourth Age thanks to these catalysts? Reese investigates on the possibilities, especially what will happen to the concept of “human” if (when?) humankind will ever be able to build a sophisticated artificial general intelligence (AGI), a conscious machine. Will the machines be human, too?
Reese also attempts to answer (with the collaboration of the reader) some current hot questions: will robots eventually take our jobs? What about the use of robots in warfare?
Personally, I follow Haikonen’s robot consciousness research (and I dream to be able to “program” it in a robot one day) but it’s far from building a Terminator and I hope for humanity’s sake that we’ll always put restrictions on robots even if we manage to make them slightly conscious. The best way to not run the risk of technology taking over is to not build that something at all.
The good news, to say it with Reese, is that "We use our technology, generally speaking, for good."
But the author also investigates on some directions progress may take, like ending poverty and hunger, fighting disease, develop more clean energy and extend life. As always, he leaves it up to the reader to decide on various matters, from technology to immortality.
All in all, I found Reese’s book thought provoking and a good analysis of the human way to handle progress and civilization.
"The fact that progress exists at all speaks quite well of us as a species, for it relies on cooperation, honesty, and benevolence. It involves selflessness as well as empathy." -- Byron Reese
I also enjoyed the author's writing style: personable yet neutral, and it runs smoothly when you read it. The only reason it took me two years to finish this book is because it's information-packed and dense in citations and questions, so sometimes reading one page got me thinking for the whole days and I just couldn't progress with the reading.
But you know what? I'm glad it took me this long. Living with this book for a while helped me mature as a human being, I believe, and start looking at things a bit differently and with more critical sensibility.
I wholeheartedly recommend this book to all people who have a passion for technology and who have questions about life, society and the world.
- Luana Spinetti
giorgio locicero
5.0 out of 5 stars
Good for finding opinions and critics over AI development and future
Reviewed in Italy on September 28, 2019Verified Purchase
It is a beautiful book. I am a computer science student but the book is readable even for people outside the field.
The author encompasses various topics and represent the various outcome of them.
Other people describe the book as too optimistic, but I do not think that is evil to be a little bit visionaries towards the future of life.
The author encompasses various topics and represent the various outcome of them.
Other people describe the book as too optimistic, but I do not think that is evil to be a little bit visionaries towards the future of life.
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