I'll spare you the summary of the book by simply telling you to read the top reviews of the book by previous Amazon reviewers or go to wikipedia or the authors eponymous website where you'll learn about generational archetypes (e.g. Silent, Boomers, Gen Xers, Millennials), cycles or turnings (High, Awakening, Unraveling, Crisis) like seasons, and how they contextualize within our past & current Western / Anglo-American history.
I first read this book right after the 2008 financial crisis - some 11 years after it came out - trying to find clues about how the collapse came about & how it compared to past crisis like the crash of 1929, as well as understanding whether there was some societal 'lessons learned' from past events (recent & more dated) in order to prepare for the future.
Needless to say it has been a LIFE CHANGING READ & experience & every so often I come back to read chapters of it as a guidebook.
The reason isn't because it is the best written book in the world, it isn't. Nor is it because the political leanings of mine are in line with Strauss/Neil Howe's beliefs (who clearly are more right leaning in the political spectrum). Nor is it because I fully subscribe to the simplifications of generational theory laid out in the book (classifying each horde 20-year span of people into generations & drawing sweeping claims about how they collectively behave - some of it seems to become true, some not so - e.g. the author's characterization of Millennials is just too broad & uniform which I really don't see panning out these days especially. Silents & Boomers characterizations are spot on, that of Gen Xers is maybe 75-25% right, while Millennials oversimplification is 50% accurate at best).
The life changing aspect of this book is in the 'elegant' way (almost as beautifully enlightening as a mathematical equation or scientific theory except in this case it is all about looking back at our historical past & drawing conclusions for the present and future, somewhat very accurately that it sort of reminds you of a theory, an elegant one - obviously without being one since this book is often misconstrued as a voodoo thinking prophecy - which it isn't - believe me I was skeptical about reading it at first back in 2008).
The authors have laid out a sort of handbook on the historical patterns/conflicts with outcomes & guidelines on how to best position yourself within such conflicting times, looking at our modern Anglo-American empire for the past few centuries since Renaissance. Of greatest importance is the fact that this 80-year or so pattern can be seen with great accuracy since the American Revolution, The Civil War, WWII and extrapolated with eerie accuracy to 2016, i.e today.
Since it was written in 1997, the 2008 financial crash came to light (79 years after the crash of 1929 - as mentioned within the book sometime around the year 2005 - 2010).
And 8 years later, in the midst of what Strauss & Howe call the "Crisis" or our current Fourth Turning - a 20 year or so time-span that will redefine today's American empire - the 2016 presidential election is a perfect reminder of the prescience of this book - an election where anti-establishment campaigns both on the left and right became the topic "du jour".
As of end of May 2016, Iit seems like Donald Trump is going to be the nominee on the Republican ticket for this election year - whether he becomes president will largely rely on whether Clinton becomes the Democratic nominee or not. If Hillary Clinton becomes the nominee, Trump will probably become president given Hillary's all-time high "unfavorables" among Republicans/Independents/Progressives electorate, given the historical patterns laid out in this book - an electorate unwilling to back a seriously flawed establishment Clinton candidate with her ongoing criminal FBI investigation.
If Sanders becomes the nominee, there is a chance given how polls currently show that he beats Trump by double digit & is likely to be doing so in November 2016 since he is the only remaining candidate as of May 2016, with positive favorables & has been tested throughout the primary nomination season by a ruthless corporate media (both on the Left - decried as "crazy/pie in the sky" and on the Right - decried as "socialist tyrant") & DNC machine against him. If Bernie Sanders wins the presidency, he would likely look like an FDR type "grey champion" as presciently predicted by the book back in 1997 (though not technically a boomer, he does act like one - obviously the generational aspect of this book isn't fully on point to my liking).
If Trump becomes the president, a dark age might take over America given his fascist tendencies - just my opinion, reviewers might disagree.
Either way, a Trump or Sanders presidency will fully crystallize the climax of the Fourth Turning with probably yet another violent financial/economic crash before or right after their election given how we currently live in a debt-induced crony capitalistic model where the financial & corporate owners buy elections, fake recoveries, and in the end induce a greater reset every 3-4 generations... The year 2016 is a perfect storm worldwide and in the US especially...
But If for some reason (e.g. election irregularities) Clinton wins the presidency, she will usher a destructive escalation with Russia over Syria's no-fly zone which could potentially set off a nuclear warfare with unknown outcomes... This scenario would play out well too with the Fourth Turning posits.
Shortly after 2016, in the late 2010s or early 2020s, a global conflict in the scale of the American Revolution, Civil War or WWII will arise & test the mettle of its leader. This book is a great read & might give clues in how to best prepare yourself & protect your family when a conflict of that scale erupts.
A great & very important read for those interested in modern history & politics in any case - especially for Millennials (who interestingly vote en masse for Sanders or Trump depending on their political inclinations) since they will play an important role in this ongoing fourth turning!
- File Size: 4515 KB
- Print Length: 398 pages
- Publisher: Three Rivers Press; Reprint edition (January 16, 2009)
- Publication Date: January 16, 2009
- Sold by: Amazon Digital Services LLC
- Language: English
- ASIN: B001RKFU4I
- Text-to-Speech:
Enabled
- Word Wise: Enabled
- Lending: Not Enabled
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Amazon Best Sellers Rank:
#48,113 Paid in Kindle Store (See Top 100 Paid in Kindle Store)
- #57 in Kindle Store > Kindle eBooks > Nonfiction > Politics & Social Sciences > Politics & Government > Political Science > History & Theory
- #120 in Kindle Store > Kindle eBooks > Nonfiction > Politics & Social Sciences > Social Sciences > Sociology
- #155 in Kindle Store > Kindle eBooks > History > Americas > United States > 20th Century
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