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Daniel Gardner combines some deep insights from others (specifically Phil Tetlock's Expert Political Judgement and a lot of behavioral/experimental economics) to highlight the... Read morePublished 6 days ago by Stuart Shapiro
OK, but nothing earth shattering or very revealing.
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Great read! Once you read this book, you'll never look at an "expert" in the same way...insightful and fascinating...Published 8 months ago by Albert Bolter Author of The C.A.T. Principle: Change, Action, Trust - Words to Live By
Although based on economical, demographical and political predictions in the last century or so, Future Babble is a brilliant book with a great work of research and a sound... Read morePublished 12 months ago by Crenshaw
This book is a really helpful guide to thinking critically about dogma and authoritative ideas. Our society would be vastly better if everyone read and understood it. Read morePublished 13 months ago by Alan Watson
Do you make predictions? If Dan Gardner is right, you may want to destroy all evidence of your prognostications. Our species is not all that good at divining the future. Read morePublished 16 months ago by Richard Morchoe
We have to make predictions. We need to realize it is better to be a wise Fox than a certain hedgehog.Published 16 months ago by Mighty whig
This books tells us about the incredible corruption prevalent among pundits' political and world economics predictions; they are not only overwhelmingly wrong, but they defend... Read morePublished on January 5, 2014 by Beau Sabreur