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The Future: Six Drivers of Global Change Hardcover – January 29, 2013

4.4 4.4 out of 5 stars 428 ratings

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NEW YORK TIMES BESTSELLER

From the former vice president and #1
New York Times bestselling author comes An Inconvenient Truth for everything—a frank and clear-eyed assessment of six critical drivers of global change in the decades to come.
 
Ours is a time of revolutionary change that has no precedent in history. With the same passion he brought to the challenge of climate change, and with his decades of experience on the front lines of global policy, Al Gore surveys our planet’s beclouded horizon and offers a sober, learned, and ultimately hopeful forecast in the visionary tradition of Alvin Toffler’s
Future Shock and John Naisbitt’s Megatrends. In The Future, Gore identifies the emerging forces that are reshaping our world:
 
• Ever-increasing economic globalization has led to the emergence of what he labels “Earth Inc.”—an integrated holistic entity with a new and different relationship to capital, labor, consumer markets, and national governments than in the past.
• The worldwide digital communications, Internet, and computer revolutions have led to the emergence of “the Global Mind,” which links the thoughts and feelings of billions of people and connects intelligent machines, robots, ubiquitous sensors, and databases.
• The balance of global political, economic, and military power is shifting more profoundly than at any time in the last five hundred years—from a U.S.-centered system to one with multiple emerging centers of power, from nation-states to private actors, and from political systems to markets.
• A deeply flawed economic compass is leading us to unsustainable growth in consumption, pollution flows, and depletion of the planet’s strategic resources of topsoil, freshwater, and living species.
• Genomic, biotechnology, neuroscience, and life sciences revolutions are radically transforming the fields of medicine, agriculture, and molecular science—and are putting control of evolution in human hands.
• There has been a radical disruption of the relationship between human beings and the earth’s ecosystems, along with the beginning of a revolutionary transformation of energy systems, agriculture, transportation, and construction worldwide.
 
From his earliest days in public life, Al Gore has been warning us of the promise and peril of emergent truths—no matter how “inconvenient” they may seem to be. As absorbing as it is visionary,
The Future is a map of the world to come, from a man who has looked ahead before and been proven all too right.

Praise for The Future
 
“Magisterial . . . The passion is unmistakable. So is the knowledge. Practically every page offers an illumination.”—Bloomberg
 
“In
The Future . . . Gore takes on a subject whose scale matches that of his achievements and ambition.”—The New York Times Book Review
 
“Historically grounded . . . Gore’s strengths lie in his passion for the subject and in his ability to take the long view by putting current events and trends in historical context.”—
Publishers Weekly
 
“Provocative, smart, densely argued . . . a tour de force of Big Picture thinking.”—
Kirkus Reviews (starred review)
 
“A luminously intelligent analysis that is packed with arresting ideas and facts.”—
The Guardian

Customer reviews

4.4 out of 5 stars
428 global ratings

Customers say

Customers find the book very scholarly and hopeful. They also appreciate the interesting word diagrams at each chapter and find it easy to read. Opinions are mixed on the content, with some finding it thought-provoking and authoritative, while others say the results are unsatisfying.

AI-generated from the text of customer reviews

89 customers mention "Knowledge and skills"83 positive6 negative

Customers find the book thoroughly researched, documented, and well thought-out. They also appreciate the fine discussion points, ideas, and examples. Readers also say it offers a very current view of world problems.

"...In this chapter is the most forthright and acurate statement I have yet seen of what has gone wrong in the United States and in the world:..." Read more

"...It rather gives me the feeling of an essential and condensed encyclopaedia that anyone should read to fight the ignorance and blindness professed by..." Read more

"...However it is the best, most thoroughly researched, documented, and well thought-out work on where we are and where we may be going on this planet..." Read more

"...The book is very broad in its reach, and very comprehensive...." Read more

60 customers mention "Readability"46 positive14 negative

Customers find the book easy to read and understand. They also appreciate the interesting diagrams at each chapter. Readers also say that Al Gore's writing style is very clear and reflective. They find the ideas in the book fascinating and frightening.

"...Regardless of our political views, Gore's book does contain a lot of very interesting information about the world today, and the forces that are..." Read more

"...The documentation and explanation work is simply prodigious, it brings focus over all the essential aspects which characterise our world in 2014 in..." Read more

"...He proposes clear and doable approaches to facing the future with some confidence.I urge everyone to read this book." Read more

"I loved the concepts and the ideas presented in this book. I loved how economy, ecology, technology, etc. were viewed from a global prospective...." Read more

30 customers mention "Content"20 positive10 negative

Customers are mixed about the content. Some find it thought-provoking, interesting, startling, and motivating. They also say it's researched, readable, and focused on issues and trends that will affect all of our lives. Readers also say that it'd be a delight to see Gore's intellect in action, and that it goes beyond politics and gives us reason for thought. However, some customers feel the results of those analyses are often unsatisfying and depressing.

"...ever read about the past of humanity, and also one of the most inspiring summaries about the present global scientific, medical, agricultural, IT,..." Read more

"...Gore supports his propositions well. About 30% of the book is footnotes and bibliography...." Read more

"...Gore is Gore and always impressive, but he is basically a compiler of the scientific and social science work performed in depth, one assumes, by..." Read more

"...and Gore says a great deal that needs to be said, but they are often depressing...." Read more

Top reviews from the United States

Reviewed in the United States on March 30, 2015
After the Introduction of the 'Six Drivers of Global Change" (pages xiii-xxxi) there are six chapters, one for each 'Driver' and a 14-page Conclusion (pages 361-374).

This is a book that should be in every college, high school, or public library, because every person who has or hopes to have children and grandchildren needs to read it. It is about as densely packed with valuable information as a book can be and still be highly readable.

A very brief sampling of each chapter:

Chapter 1: EARTH INC. "We are living with, and in, Earth Inc.: . . . our new hyper-connected, tightly integrated, highly interactive, and technologically revolutionized economy." The two major changes Mr. Gore writes most about are outsourcing (exporting jobs) and robosourcing (workers being replaced by robots and computers) These, Mr. Gore argues, are creating a permanent and continuing decline in work for humans, which will result in reduced demand for goods (because of lack of income), resulting in still more decline in employment . . . a vicious circle. Something will need to be done about it, but what?

Chapter 2: THE GLOBAL MIND "the global Internet and the billions of intelligent devices and machines connected to it--the Global Mind--represent what is arguably far and away the most powerful tool that human beings have ever used, . . . ." Will the global mind become able to outthink even the smartest human? (in some limited ways, it already does) Will the internet continue to be a resource for everyone, or will Earth, Inc. gain full control of it and put an end to net neutrality? Will authoritarian governments continue to be able to stop dissidents from using the internet? Myanmar (Burma) did so only by completely blacking out internet access within its borders.

Chapter 3: POWER IN THE BALANCE "the balance of power among nations is changing dramatically."

In this chapter is the most forthright and acurate statement I have yet seen of what has gone wrong in the United States and in the world:

"until recently--most of the world has looked primarily to the United States of America for leadership . . . ." BUT "The subordination of reason-based analysis to the influence of wealth and power in U.S. decision making has led to catastrophically bad policy choices, sclerotic decision making, and a significant weakening of U.S. influence in the world." Gore makes it clear that this applies regardless of the party in the White House. "American democracy has been hacked. The United States Congress, the avatar of the democratically-elected legislatures in the modern world, is now incapable of passing laws without permission from the corporate lobbies and other special interests that control their campaign finances."

Chapter 4: OUTGROWTH "On every continent," [including Antarctica?] "the population and economy are placing new demands for more food, freshwater, energy, commodities of all kinds, and manufactured products. And worryingly, over the past ten years, multiple indicators have been showing that real physical limits are being reached." On page 149 Gore lists thirteen "threats confronting the ability of the world to expand food supplies."

On page 176: "In 2010, the United Nations reported that the world's migrant population had reached almost 214 million . . . . In the last year for which statistics are available (2009), 740 million internal migrants moved from one region to another inside countries." Let's see, now:
214 million total migrants - 740 million internal migrants leaves: -526 million external migrants . . Wonder what a crowd of -526 million migrants would look like?

Actually, I reckon the U.N. was counting only the external migrants, so the total was 954 million, and it was perfectly clear to Al Gore what he meant, but I just couldn't resist kidding him a bit.

Chapter 5: THE REINVENTION OF LIFE AND DEATH The other chapters are fact-filed and well worth reading, and Gore says a great deal that needs to be said, but they are often depressing. This chapter is almost pure joy to read; it tells about the wonderful advances in human knowledge in recent years. For example: "Some doctors are using neural implants to serve as pacemakers for the brains of people who have Parkinson's disease--and provide deep brain stimulation to alleviate their symptoms." My father died of Parkinson's disease--how I wish he could have received that neural implant! And on page 241, Gore tells about using a 3D printer to make a new lower jaw for an elderly woman! Page 214 mentions "teams of synthetic biologists," but before you get too excited about synthesizing mathematicians or economists or other kinds of scientists, the synthetic biologists are ordinary humans born of women who are specialists in the new field of 'synthetic biology,' which is actually exciting enough.

Chapter 6: THE EDGE "The good news is that we do have the capacity to begin solving the climate crisis--if we awaken to the reality of our circumstances and decide that the future of human civilization is a priority. . . . It means abandoning the illusion that there may be some clever technological quick fix for a planetary emergency that requires a multipronged global strategy . . . ."

Gore cites several encouraging signs, but It also means that we MUST NOT permit the 'business as usual' climate change deniers get away with holding up action until it is too late. Dr. James Hansen has now produced PROOF of global warming that does not depend on any theories or climate models. He has examined the actual RECORDS of temperatures all over the world between 1951 and 2010 (which is a LOT of records) and produced IRREFUTABLE PROOF of significant worldwide warming in 1981-2010 compared to 1951-1980. Al Gore mentions (page 289) that "The warm season is longer; spring is arriving about a week earlier (and fall about a week later) in both the northern and southern hemispheres."

If we don't pass the necessary laws and take the necessary steps to halt global warming, it will probably mean the end of life on Earth, not within the lifetimes of those now living, but within less than 500 years. (see 
Storms of My Grandchildren: The Truth About the Coming Climate Catastrophe and Our Last Chance to Save Humanity , by James Hansen. John Barnes'  Mother of Storms  is an excellent fictional companion volume to Hansen.
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Reviewed in the United States on February 1, 2013
*A full summary of this book is available here:  An Executive Summary of Al Gore's 'The Future: Six Drivers of Global Change'

Our world is becoming increasingly integrated and complex, and changing faster and faster. Out of the morass of elements involved here, Al Gore identifies 6 themes or factors that are emerging as the major drivers of change. The factors are 1) Work: the movement of labor from West to East (outsourcing); and, at the same time, a shift towards much more automation (robosourcing); 2) Communications: the rise of the internet that has led to a wild proliferation of information, and the ability of the world's population to instantly connect with one another for a host of purposes--and the increasing reach of the internet from the developed to the developing world; 3) Power: the shifting of power from West to East; and, at the same time, the shifting of power from national governments to smaller players, such as businesses and corporations, but also rogue players, such as guerrilla and terror organizations; 4) Demographics: the enormous increase in the world's population, and the movement of peoples both within and across national borders (as the result of numerous factors); 5) Biotechnology: the increasing manipulation of DNA to produce not only new organisms with novel features, but new materials and fuels as well, and 6) Climate Change: the increase in world temperatures caused by the continuing build-up of CO2, as well as the numerous other climate effects that this entails.

While several of these drivers of change have the potential to bring great benefits to the world's people, all are fraught with potential dangers, and it is this that is Gore's focus in the book. This, as well as Gore's own advice as to how best to deal with the potential dangers.

When it comes to work, Gore argues that the major danger is that the increasing robosourcing of labour (and even services) threatens to eventually deprive a large portion of the world's population of gainful employment. The major solution is to increasingly redistribute wealth from the few who earn the bulk of wealth to public services provided by government.

When it comes to communications, the major threat is the vulnerability of people's personal information (and organizations' operational information) of being collected (or stolen) by numerous players (including corporations, governments and criminal organizations) and used for nefarious purposes. The major solution is to introduce new measures to ensure that information is protected, and people's privacy preserved.

When it comes to power, the major danger is that the private interests of groups that are gaining power (especially multi-national corporations) will increasingly run up against the interests and values of private citizens. The major solution is to reform our democracies to ensure that the interests of corporations do not continue to outbalance the interests of citizens.

When it comes to demographics, the major danger is that the continuing rise in the world's population will place an overbearing amount of stress on the world's natural resources, and that this will ultimately lead to the depletion of said resources. The major solution is to continue efforts to curb global population, and to introduce efforts to reduce consumption to sustainable levels.

When it comes to biotechnology, the major danger is that the discoveries and innovations that are being made here are being introduced faster than we are able to consider their ethical implications and potential negative consequences. The major solution is to ensure that we subject these innovations to full inquiry and public debate, in order that we may decide deliberately just what we want to allow, and what we do not.

When it comes to climate change, the major danger is that the world will experience irreversible climate effects, and that these effects will compromise the world's arable land and water sources to the point where we will not be able to meet our needs. The major solution is for the governments of the world to take action now to reduce CO2 emissions, by way of such measures as taxing CO2, and introducing a cap and trade system, as well as introducing subsidies for renewable energy sources (and cancelling those currently given to fossil fuel corporations).

Regardless of our political views, Gore's book does contain a lot of very interesting information about the world today, and the forces that are guiding change. It is of value to anyone who is interested in gaining a big-picture view of what is going on now, and where the world is potentially heading. It should be noted, though, that Gore is very single-minded (unduly, I believe) in what he believes are the solutions to the world's problems. They virtually always involve government interference and regulation. In other words, they are fully top-down. Gore gives very short shrift to the potential of bottom-up solutions (and is rather black and white in his thinking), which, I believe, is a major shortcoming of the book. Again, though, a worthwhile read no matter our political views. A full summary of the book is available here: 
An Executive Summary of Al Gore's 'The Future: Six Drivers of Global Change'
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Top reviews from other countries

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Adil
4.0 out of 5 stars As the name suggests--'The Future"
Reviewed in India on October 21, 2022
The book theme is based on futuristic concept. Texts are all about how the rise of internet, global mind, earth Inc., modern warfare. It cites quotes from well established books written via Alvin Toffler. The book is a fun read to grasp the evolution of human kind; how one has evolved over 10 centuries. The book is a good read for understanding the context of evolution.
emmanuel cassimatis
5.0 out of 5 stars interesting book
Reviewed in France on December 5, 2016
Interesting book on some key topics in our world, in some key areas. The style as always is very informative yet easy to read. Thanks!
Claudia Beccai
5.0 out of 5 stars Read it, reread it.
Reviewed in Canada on September 21, 2014
The best book I have read on the subject. Enlightening and scarier than the most gory story by Stephen King.
Volker P J
5.0 out of 5 stars Our Future
Reviewed in Germany on December 7, 2015
This is very good compilation of different topics that must be taken into account simultaneously. I wish that this becomes set books at High Schools.
Marco Meneghetti
5.0 out of 5 stars Lo suggerisco
Reviewed in Italy on July 24, 2013
Al Gore e' una persona estremamente intelligente e molto modesta, il libro e' un compendio-saggio sui principali cambiamenti in atto che stanno plasmando il ns futuro. Suggerito a tutti coloro che volgiono migliore questo mondo. Scritto in maniera semplice e per nulla complesssa anche se in inglese.
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