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The Great Super Cycle: Profit from the Coming Inflation Tidal Wave and Dollar Devaluation Hardcover – November 2, 2010
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From the Inside Flap
Due to the massive taxpayer bailout of financial institutions and the ongoing expense of conflicts around the world, the U.S. government's financial situation has rapidly deteriorated during this economic downturn. Today, the federal government is at the whim of Wall Street, socialist-leaning politicians, lobbyists, and special interests. Before the current system can change, we need another collapse. This will only happen when the debt bubble finally bursts.
The Great Super Cycle: Profit from the Coming Inflation Tidal Wave and Dollar Devaluation looks at what we can expect in global economics by looking at the history of political shifts in power. The underlying theme is that everything moves in cyclesfrom the mega-cycle of world powers, to economic cycles that can last decades, to mini-cycles that last ten to twenty years. According to author David Skarica, cycles are the most important and also the most powerful tool we have to make money in the coming years from the inevitable debt bubble and resulting economic shift. The market will move much lower in the coming years in inflation-adjusted terms. The key in this environment is to be invested in sectors that will outperform. This forward-thinking text examines key sectors such as gold, oil, and the growing Asian markets and how investors can profit from them.
With the federal government all but running some of the nation's banks, mortgage companies, and automobile manufacturers, the United States is becoming increasingly socialistic. Skarica believes that more regulation and taxes will make the U.S. economy less competitive and will cause funds to move offshore. The Great Super Cycle is an intriguing look at economic power shifting and the relationship between Washington, Wall Street, and the rest of the world.
From the Back Cover
PRAISE FOR The Great Super Cycle
"Dave Skarica is wise beyond his years. He is thorough in his research, positive in his outlook and never sinks to spreading fear or bearish sentiment as so many other writers do to sell their books and newsletters. A thoroughly recommended read."DOMINIC FRISBY, Presenter, Frisby's Bulls and Bears
"The Great Super Cycle covers plenty of ground, from financial history, to cyclical patterns, to the reasons why the U.S. dollar and U.S. bonds are headed towards collapse. And Dave Skarica acts as your guide in the dangerous world of hyperinflation, and he can help you to sidestep the pitfalls, and invest your way to financial independence."MICHAEL HAMPTON, founder of the popular chatboard, GlobalEdgeInvestors.com
"The twentieth century was called the American century and all an investor had to do was buy U.S. stocks, sit on them, and get rich. In a changing world with the rise of emerging markets, inflation, and a less attractive U.S. dollar, investors now have to think outside the box to make money. Global cycles expert Dave Skarica provides the road map to doing just that in this exciting book." MICHAEL SWANSON, WallStreetWindow.com; author of Strategic Stock Trading
"David Skarica's latest book confirms that a 'buy and hold' investment strategy doesn't work anymore. He explains why a proactive investment strategy is needed. His book highlights how U.S. dollars are best invested to take advantage of cycles that are expected to influence equity market returns well into the current decade."DON VIALOUX, CMT, past president and current Director of the Canadian Society of Technical Analysts
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Well, I DID read the book, and I advise anybody who wants to preserve and grow their wealth in the years to come to do the same. For some people, there is nothing in this book that they may not already know (the unsustainable debt bubble, the unsustainable monetary regime, etc). But what may be new or interesting even to people who are well versed in these concepts is the historical context Skarica puts around a lot of these issues.
To be sure, Skarica talks about certain things that are still unwelcome topics in polite company. With a matter-of-fact objectiveness he discusses the coming collapse of the US dollar and prospect of a bankrupt USA and why the current obsession among policy-makers with deflation is a red-herring.
Here's a riddle: how can the stock market go up while the real economy flounders? Answer: Inflation. The trick will be investing in the right sectors to ride out the coming inflationary cycle.
For more book reviews, check out my reviews section on [...]
This isn't another book on the upcoming economic collapse of the developed world, nor is it another 'I told you this was going to happen' book.
David Skarica is very agnostic as to the what directions various markets are headed in the future. He only knows that they will follow certain macro trends that have occurred in the past and there is nothing you can do about except to follow the trend.
He cites a ton of historic patterns and how they will repeat in our near future. He also points out how the current economic conditions will help these patterns come to fruition.
Once you have this knowledge in hand, he goes on to explain the best way to profit from these supercycle trends.
The biggest difference between this book and other supercycle books is that the author is more positive about the future. There is no doom and gloom, only that these cycles occur throughout history. You can either ignore them or take advantage of them to preserve your wealth and stay ahead of the investing crowd.
Best book that I have read on this subject.
His matter-of-fact analysis of the upcoming inflation is nothing new. Makes sense, and agrees with many others ("This Time It's Different," for one) His analysis of what to do about it is refreshing. Basically
1) Keep your shirt on. The world isn't ending, just shifting
2) Things whose value float with currency, stocks and especially commodities, will come through one way or another
3) For a number of historical reasons, commodities look better for the next few years, but
4) Keep your eyes open, because the past is not an infallable guide.
He offers some good advice on vehicles for investing.
His book is also replete with research, charts, ratios , graphs and market history that backs up the Great Super Cycle theory. And this is one theory that works well in practice too!
I especially like the use of very simple ratios when trying to figure out when to sell or buy oil, gas, natural gas and various other commodities. Using Skarica's cycles analysis will take the guess work out of investing, where the markets sit in relation to politics/economics and how to capitalize in relation to those set ups! Very good book, should be required reading for those in or about to enter the markets!
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In 'The Great Super Cycle' David Skarica goes over trends in equities, bonds, and commodities over the last several decades.Read more