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How Civilizations Die: (And Why Islam Is Dying Too) Hardcover – Bargain Price, September 19, 2011
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But the Muslim world is on the brink of an even greater collapse.
WILL WE GO DOWN IN THE IMPLOSION?
Thanks to collapsing birthrates, much of Europe is on a path of willed self-extinction. The untold story is that birthrates in Muslim nations are declining faster than anywhere else—at a rate never before documented. Europe, even in its decline, may have the resources to support an aging population, if at a terrible economic and cultural cost. But in the impoverished Islamic world, an aging population means a civilization on the brink of total collapse— something Islamic terrorists know and fear.
Muslim decline poses new threats to America, challenges we cannot even understand, much less face effectively, without a wholly new kind of political analysis that explains how desperate peoples and nations behave.
In How Civilizations Die, David P. Goldman—author of the celebrated “Spengler” column read by intelligence organizations worldwide—reveals how, almost unnoticed, massive shifts in global power are remaking our future.
Goldman reveals:
- How extinctions of peoples, cultures, and civilizations are not unthinkable—but certain
- How for the first time in world history, the birthrate in the West has fallen below replacement level
- Why birthrates in the Muslim world are falling even faster
- Why the “Arab Spring” is the precursor of much more violent change in the Islamic world
- Why looming demographic collapse may encourage Islamic terrorists to “go for broke”
- How the United States can survive the coming world turmoil
In How Civilizations Die, David P. Goldman has written an essential book for understanding what lies in the future for America and the world.
- Print length256 pages
- LanguageEnglish
- PublisherRegnery Publishing
- Publication dateSeptember 19, 2011
- Dimensions9.29 x 6.23 x 1.18 inches
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Editorial Reviews
Review
In How Civilizations Die, David Goldman muses on population trends and religion with a breathtaking depth, originality, and panache. Some of his startling but documented predictions: Europe is in its death throes. Muslim demographic collapse will undercut Islamic triumphalism. The United States and Israel will emerge triumphant. And that’s just the start.”
—DANIEL PIPES, President of the Middle East Forum and Taube Distinguished Visiting Fellow at the Hoover Institution of Stanford University
Oswald Spengler’s Decline of the West was required reading when I was a college student and David Goldman’s contemporary argument should be required reading today.”
—HERB LONDON, President Emeritus of the Hudson Institute
David Goldman has explored the political implications of demography with rare insight. How Civilizations Die (and Why Islam Is Dying Too) is a mind expanding peek into the likely political future of our planet.”
—MARY ANN GLENDON, Learned Hand Professor of Law, Harvard University
About the Author
Product details
- ASIN : B00B9ZCFNK
- Publisher : Regnery Publishing
- Publication date : September 19, 2011
- Edition : 30886th
- Language : English
- Print length : 256 pages
- Item Weight : 1.15 pounds
- Dimensions : 9.29 x 6.23 x 1.18 inches
- Best Sellers Rank: #735 in Church & State Religious Studies
- #1,157 in History of Civilization & Culture
- #1,174 in Political Conservatism & Liberalism
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Customers find the book exceptionally insightful and well-written, with one review noting how it uses current data to formulate a compelling story. They describe it as an eye-opener, and one customer mentions how it encourages Americans to continue having children. However, the book receives mixed reactions regarding fertility, with several customers noting that birthrates have plummeted. Additionally, the religious content receives criticism, with one customer describing it as a lengthy polemic against Islam.
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Customers find the book exceptionally insightful and educational, with one customer noting how it uses current data to formulate a compelling story.
"Read this book; benefit from the huge amount of information, erudition, and insight...." Read more
"...4- Even giving a good place for Roman Catholicism, the author forgot that Traditionalist Catholics have a bigger level of fertility than "liberal..." Read more
"...It is also full of data which you have probably never seen before...." Read more
"...And this was their downfall. In an awesome intellectual journey, Goldman takes the reader through the first Thirty Years' War in Europe (1618-1648)..." Read more
Customers have mixed opinions about the book's content on fertility, with some noting that birth rates have plummeted, while others appreciate how it explains demographic effects.
"...faith sees hope beyond our individual lives and encourages Americans to continue to have children, despite the costs of doing so...." Read more
"...problem: as societies become more prosperous and educated, their fertility declines...." Read more
"...The first is the value of women having children and rearing them properly - even women with careers and other lifestyle options...." Read more
"...hasn't nothing with Islam. Yes, fertility fell deeply in Iran, with more than 98% of its population Islamic, but also fell, here in Brazil, a..." Read more
Customers have mixed reactions to the religious content of the book, with some appreciating it while others find it negative, with one customer describing it as a lengthy polemic against Islam.
"...The main weakness of the book is its derailment from a treatise on political science with a historical perspective into an analysis of current..." Read more
"...and Pricing point [I am speaking of the Kindle book] B) Politico-Religious screed. Problems 1. $15.42...." Read more
"...The best example is the rather lengthy polemic against the Islamic religion, which adds nothing of substance to the main theme, and, in addition, is..." Read more
"...Civilizations die from a lack of will to live; Islam is unable to cope with modernity, and its birthrates have plummeted as a result; Europe was..." Read more
Top reviews from the United States
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- Reviewed in the United States on December 7, 2011Read this book; benefit from the huge amount of information, erudition, and insight. I mean no insult to the author when I advise the reader to keep the author's agenda in mind at all times. The author is completely open and honest about his agenda. He wants to promote Judaism and Israel. He wants to defend both against the very real threat from Islam. He wants an army, no, an Empire, of Christians bred and recruited to help fight and pay for this worthy project. Worthy project though it might be, whether I want to see my posterity bred and recruited to accomplish it is a separate question. Keep it in mind as you read the book. Many who agree with the author identify themselves as Neoconservatives.
The author identifies a very real problem: as societies become more prosperous and educated, their fertility declines. Europeans, Japanese, Chinese, and Muslim countries are all in the midst of a die-off. There is no nice way to put it. Paul Ehrlich was wrong; there is no population bomb. There IS a depopulation bomb. It is destroying all societies except the religious. American Evangelicals, American Orthodox Jews, and Israeli Jews are among the few populations having enough children to replace themselves. Most of the rest are at well below replacement rate. The Baltics, Ukrainians, and other minor countries of Europe will become extinct in the foreseeable future. The Muslims, too, are dying off, contrary to Yasser Arafat's boast that the womb of the Muslim woman was his greatest weapon. So, why the threat from Islam? Isn't it dying off as fast as Europe? Yes, BUT... Islam, according to the author, will become a wounded beast, lashing out when it foresees its own extinction. Iran wants to take Israel down with it, now that educated Iranian women are having one or at most two children each. That's where the Christians come in. With lots of kids and a theology friendly to Israel, for many reasons the author reviews in detail, American Christians should contain Iran. If necessary, we must remove it as a threat to Israel. Of course, a few paragraphs must oversimplify shamelessly.
One might ask why Israel cannot defend itself against Iran, a country that cannot even produce its own gasoline. Israel has hundreds, if not thousands of nuclear weapons and the most modern missiles and planes to deliver them virtually anywhere. The Israeli government considers the existence of its nuclear force a state secret; American politicians seem to consider themselves subject to Israel's state secrets law and refuse to speak on the subject. The one exception: Ron Paul. Full disclosure: I have been a fervent supporter of Ron Paul and his intellectual mentors (von Mises and Rothbard) for decades. I believe the best gift we Americans could give Israel is to leave her alone. If Israel is threatened and must go to war, let her do so. Israel does not need America to take out Iran, or the entire Islamic world if it comes to that. Israel can defend herself more efficiently than we can perform that function for her. Of course, as Ron Paul notes, Americans should adopt the same policy toward every other foreign country. There is no reason for us to defend Europe and Japan from a Soviet Union that we defeated over twenty years ago. China seems more interested in growing its economy than in taking over Taiwan, its top military priority. South Korea is modern and prosperous; North Korea is starving. If you have taken a math or science class with South Koreans you HAVE to believe they could construct nuclear weapons any time, if they have not been doing so for a long time.
Then, of course, there is our economy, nearly bled white by our wars and our bloated military-industrial complex. Many Americans appear to love their country because it can kick ass; wars are an armed football game. Winning is the only thing and all that. Go team!
One can wish Israel well, as I do. One can hope she finds a way to become a more normal country, with peaceful borders and a strong economy. One can wish her a happy, healthy, and growing population. One can wish all these things without volunteering our country to smite Israel's enemies.
- Reviewed in the United States on September 6, 2012Here in Brazil, I read this good book. This book was writen by David Paul Goldman an economist (a complete polimath) and author. He is also a religious Jew.
There's dozens of good things in this book. I'll show some of these:
1- This book shows clearly that abortionist societies and religions ever goes to extinticion. The author, David Paul Goldman, don't remember only old Greece and Rome's religions, now extincted religions, abut also shows that abortionist religions of today are falling. See page 151 and 196, as examples of this fact.
2- Israel is very good and in all ways. See pages 200 to 204 as an example. See page 255 showing Israel, as an economic power house.
3- Between pages 264 to 266, there's suggestions for American policies, that I found short and good.
4- Even being a Jew, David Paul Goldman knows about Saint Augustine. See pages 251 and 252.
5- Beyond doubt, the author knows very much about Islam. David Paul Goldman shows this fact dozens of times, in this book. In fact, only on page 90, David Paul Goldman made a mistake about Sayyid Qutb (1906-1966).
6- David Paul Goldman shows clearly how gay marriage and gayzism in general, killed former potencies, such as Creete, Old Greece, Sparta and Rome.
7- David Paul Goldman clearly shows that just secularism can't support any society. Only deep faith can suppport a civilization.
8- David Paul Goldman show how supperior was Bible and Judaism, compared to other Pagan religions of antiquity. David Paul Goldman gives dozens of examples of this fact, including opposition of Bible to infanticide, abortion and gays.
9- The chapter three, about the Arab revolutions is the best thing about this subject that I ever read, about the Arab revolutions.
10- The author, David Paul Goldman, show the "Sprengler laws" that are very short good.
There's some problems, in this book.
1- The author is blinded by his hate, against Iran. Please I hate Iranian government as much as the the author of his book, but Iranian people isn't so bad as Iranian government. The author, David Paul Goldman seeems to think that Iran is a theocracy, but in my opinion, Iran is just another cleptocracy claiming to be a theocracy, such as Libya was under Muammar Gaddafi really was. When I was a child, in late 1970 decade I remember Muammar Gaddafi ( June 1942 - 20 October 2011) claiming to be the number one Israel's enemy, against infidels, Americans, supporting Islamic terrorism,etc. here in Brazilian TVs. And this continued by decades. The " anti-Occidental theocracy" that Muammar Gaddafi rulled for decades was nothing more that a façade to a complete cleptocracy and nepocracy. After decades of things equal in preaching and doing the same things and addresses that Iranian aiatollahs of Iran are doing and talking since they toook power 1979, what was the Muammar Gaddafi's end? He died not warring against Jews or other infidels, but scaping and lyched by his own people. Libyan people lynched the useless fake and tyrant that talked about Allah and ever really thought, about Swiss bank accounts for himself and his criminal family and mafia. In my opinion, Iranian aiatollahs have atomic bombs since years ago, but they they will use them for to stay and power and steal Iranian people money. Today's Iran isn't more theocractic than Syria was three years ago.
2- The author has a clear Americanist view of history, above any American president ever had. The pilgrins exterminated millions of American Indians; all in the name of God and Bible. Also, until 1960 decade, United States had laws against negroes and miscigenation. United States and not Soviet Union or Nazi Germany, was the first modern times' nation to enacted Eugenics laws. In the last few decades and years, Mubarak and other Arab cleptocrats recieved billions of US Dollars from American government. Pakistan's government made its atomic bomb with massive American help, firsts against "pro-Soviet" (and democratic) India and in 1980 decade, Osama Bin Laden was recieving many money from CIA. Please, Taliban isn't just a a Pakistani creation; it's also an American creation. Even so, the author hasn't a single sentence about all these terrible facts combined. I read about 2,000 boook in my whole life, but I never read any other so Americanist book, as this.
3- About the fall of Islamic fertility, the author is right about the fact that Islamic women are having less children and this fact is combined to more education. Even, this happened in all other peoples were education policies were did. Here in Brazil, when I was born in 1970the fertility was about 5.5 sons for each woman, but today our fertility is less that 2 sons for each woman. The causes of fall of women's fertlities in so different countries such as Iran, Brazil, El Salvador, Tanzania,etc. hasn't nothing with Islam. Yes, fertility fell deeply in Iran, with more than 98% of its population Islamic, but also fell, here in Brazil, a country with less than 1% of Islamics, at the most the same levels and for the same reazons: education level growing, economic crisis since 1980 decade onwards, urbanization and political corruption.
4- Even giving a good place for Roman Catholicism, the author forgot that Traditionalist Catholics have a bigger level of fertility than "liberal catholics", also because of religion. Opus Dei's families Catholics, when married almost ever have many children.
In a simple sentence, this book is good and deserves to be read. Even so, anyone reading this book, must see how Americanist and Israel's zealot, the author is. Please, I'm not an Anti-Americanistin any real sense and I'm a complete supporter of Israel and of Zionism. Just I think that even with so many qualities, United States and Israel aren't perfect creations as any other countries in history were and will be. United States and Israel are countries that I have admiration above all others, but perfections isn't a thing that a person, a religion or a country can't have. At least not in this world and life.
Top reviews from other countries
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agustingp7Reviewed in Spain on July 4, 20132.0 out of 5 stars muy mejorable
Format: KindleVerified PurchaseEl libro es interesante -aunque al autor se le ve venir desde lejos- Lo malo es que las notas, que son fundamentales en esta obra -lo que dice mucho a favor del rigor del autor- no están indexadas. Eso hace que esta edición kindle sea lamentable. Quizá por 1,5 € se podría comprender; por lo que cuesta tiene mucho de robo. Si el autor y los editores son serios deberían hacer una nueva edición cuanto antes y actualizar a los que hemos comprado el libro que, repito, merece la pena leer.
Anthony MReviewed in the United Kingdom on December 27, 20165.0 out of 5 stars A geopolitical gold mine - not to be missed!
Format: KindleVerified PurchaseAstonishingly important, reassuring book. Informed, insightful, grand strategic scope historically and into the immediate future.
High up among the best informed, visionary and relevant geopolitical books I've studied.
I've read tons of great geopolitical books, but this gave crucial insights against fresh and deep historical analysis. I was stunned.
Only downside is a Judaeo Christian bias - but then that's anyway a key component of our Anglo American and European cultural heritage.
Otherwise buy it and read it - or remain crucially ignorant.
DiggermanReviewed in Canada on August 25, 20124.0 out of 5 stars Goldman-Spengler says.....
This is a high-wire book to be sure. The author's insights are certainly pertinent, and concerning the demise of Islam as a world religion he has a good case to present. I am still at the beginning of this book, but so far it is a good read. His bibliography is worth a good look.
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Manu BxlReviewed in France on October 4, 20125.0 out of 5 stars Excellent ouvrage!!!!
Format: KindleVerified PurchaseIl s'agit probablement du meilleur livre que j'ai lu depuis très très longtemps. Intelligent, pédagogique, fouillé, clair et agréable à lire. Une perle tout simplement.
beau lootsReviewed in Australia on November 11, 20155.0 out of 5 stars Civilizational death is a complex subject and those engaged in such a decline and death seem to be the least aware of it.
Format: KindleVerified PurchaseCivilizational death has been a Western preoccupation since Edward Gibbon wrote "The Decline and Fall of the Roman Empire" because of course, the Western Civilization can also die; no, in fact is dying. David Goldman provides interesting new insights on religion, specifically on Judaism, Christianity, and Islam. His thesis is essentially that a population decline follows a failure of religion 'the sixth horseman of the apocalypse'. Thus Christianity in Europe and Islam are both experiencing population declines; except for America. In the Case of Christianity the age of reason has reduced Christianity to a myth and in the case of Islam it is the inability of Islam to engage with modernity that produces an existential dissonance that results in population collapse. I am not sure that this view is the full story because totalitarian ideologies thrive on status quo but lose legitimacy when exposed to a paradigm shift. Failure means that the ideology is rethought and relaunched and may gain traction because it is a paradigm shift with new actors and a new audience. Social ideologies evolve and I case in point is the evolution of communism and socialism into the neo communism of Herbert Marcuse, Paulo Freire, and Frans Fanon that attacks Western Civlization and its core values. A phenomenon we see throughout the Western world where the old failed doctrine of the primacy of the collective must destroy human individualism.






