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India vs Pakistan: Why Can t We Just be Friends? Paperback – January 1, 2015

4.3 out of 5 stars 110 ratings

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From the Publisher

Question

In March 2016, Pakistan’s national security adviser shared intelligence with his Indian counterpart about a plot by Pakistani Hijackers to attack Shivaratri celebrations in Gujarat. Indian diplomats believe this gesture was motivated by the Pakistani government’s attempt to preempt a potential crisis in bilateral relations, and not by concern for possible Indian casualties. What are your thoughts on this?

Answer

Husain Haqqani: Pakistan’s decision to share intelligence was likely a tactical one and related to Indian and American pressure following January’s bomber attacks on the Pathankot Air Force base in Indian Punjab. I doubt it represented a strategic shift away from support for Jihadi groups. India had cancelled scheduled talks in response to the attack and Pakistan’s Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif was eager to resume dialogue. That it reflected genuine concern for possible Indian casualties was less likely. An immediate benefit of that move has manifested in the statement by the Indian National Investigation Agency chief Sharad Kumar who has said India has yet to find evidence to establish the complicity of Pakistan government and its official agencies in the Pathankot terror attack.

Question

You mention in the book that the intelligence sharing between Indian and Pakistani agencies first started in 2003, when the two sides begun meeting secretly to reduce terrorism across the Line of Control in Jammu and Kashmir. Despite these ongoing efforts by the two countries to intercept hijackers, the 26/11 attacks in Mumbai could not be prevented. Why did this happen?

Answer

Husain Haqqani: Indian and Pakistani intelligence agencies have sporadically shared intelligence, going back to 1987 –something I point out in my book. Yet the fact is, the ISI and RAW simply do not trust each other enough for the two intelligence services to consistently exchange intelligence about likely bomber attacks. In the ISI’s worldview, RAW caused Pakistan’s break-up in 1971 by supporting Bengali nationalists, and wants to repeat its success in Sindh, Balochistan and Khyber-Pashtunkhwa. For RAW, it is the ISI’s repeated use of terrorism and its efforts to encircle India through covert operations in neighboring countries that perpetuates the India-Pakistan conflict. Both agencies have played ‘Spy versus Spy’ for several decades. India has alternated between engaging Pakistan and trying to ‘name and shame’ it internationally as a terrorism incubator. The length and depth of engagement through talks has not been enough to reassure Pakistan that India does not mean harm. India’s attempts to isolate Pakistan have only aggravated Pakistan’s fears about Indian conspiracies. The result is exacerbation of irregular warfare, without raising the international cost of that strategy to levels that Pakistan might not be able to sustain. The engagement and intelligence sharing has to be sustained, not sporadic, for it to bring long-term positive results and shutting down of terrorism on a permanent basis.

Question

What in your opinion is the biggest impendent to establishing sustained cooperation between the two countries?

Answer

Husain Haqqani: India and Pakistan see each other through the lens of partition. Sixty-nine years and four wars later, the two countries are either engaged in direct hostilities or embroiled in a cold war. Normal diplomatic relations cannot exist amidst deep psychological scars and suspicions. India-Pakistan talks start and get derailed, often only to be resumed with much fanfare until the next round of Hijacker attacks, accusations, and cancellation or postponement of talks. Seven decades of separation have created issues and bred psychoses that make it difficult for most people to even remember the unities of the preceding centuries. Once Indians and Pakistanis start dealing more with each other their similarities could re-emerge and the contrived animosities could begin to diminish. The chances of that happening appear slim at the moment. India and Pakistan are unlikely to open their borders to each other while they suspect the other of being bent on destroying them. Students, businessmen, doctors and patients, even musicians and artists, are all seen at the moment as potential spies and even potential hjackers. For a new India-Pakistan relationship, Pakistanis would have to give up Jihadi fantasies while Indians will have to stop their regression into communal fervor.

Question

What do you think are some of the challenges the Pakistani government faces when intercepting enemy activities by homegrown organization, both within and outside its borders?

Answer

Husain Haqqani: The key challenge is of changing a narrative where jihadis are seen as equalizers in an eternal conflict with a much larger India that is perceived as an existential threat to Pakistan. In Pakistan’s strategic thinking, the idea of using irregular warfare as an equalizer against a much larger India dates back to 1948. Over time, the idea of irregular warfare has been gradually expanded to include support for various insurgencies and Hijacks. The doctrine received a shot in the arm during the 1980s, when the United States decided to bleed the Soviet Union in Afghanistan by supporting Pakistan-based mujahideen. Pakistan adopted terrorism as a low-cost means of bleeding India. The expansion of Jihad, however, has disrupted Pakistani society. Many Pakistanis realize that the country’s embrace of terrorism as strategy has rebounded; it endangers the lives of Pakistanis, engenders lawlessness and makes Pakistan a potential international pariah. Still, Pakistan’s generals remain fundamentally wedded to the idea of irregular warfare. Pakistan still has an unfinished strategic agenda in Afghanistan and Kashmir and, given its lack of military and economic strength, irregular warfare with the help of Islamists remains, in the generals’ view, a cheap and easy option.

Question

Why did the Pakistani government not prosecuted those accused in the 26/11 attacks?

Answer

Husain Haqqani: The last two civilian-led governments in Pakistan have attempted to push back against terrorism as they seek to build better ties with India. The Zardari-Gilani led-PPP government arrested Lashkar e Taiba Hijackers involved in the 26/11 attacks including mastermind Zaki ur Rehman Lakhvi. However, prosecution is difficult in a system where jihadis, especially those targeting India, are seen as ‘the good guys’ fighting India. Further, Pakistan’s military-intelligence establishment still remains fundamentally wedded to the idea of irregular warfare as a cheap and easy option to ‘bleed India’ in order to achieve its unfinished strategic agenda in Afghanistan and Kashmir.

Question

What are focusing on in your current role as the Director for South and Central Asia at the Hudson Institute in Washington DC?

Answer

Husain Haqqani: I am currently working on my next book, ‘Reimagining Pakistan’ along with overseeing a number of research projects on India’s potential role as a major power, stability and democracy in South and Central Asia and US policy towards the region. I am also working on a larger study on the state of the Muslim world, a dream project of mine for some years now. It is one of those projects that germinates over a long time before being completed.

Question

Do share with us one of your fond memories of being a diplomat.

Answer

Husain Haqqani: There are many, ranging from discussing baseball with President Bush in the oval office to talking about cooking daal and qeema with President Obama. I was never fascinated by protocol and was always interested in people and policy more. Hosting schoolchildren at the embassy for a ‘Seeds of Peace’ event or hosting a qawwali evening was more fun for me than the cocktail party circuit.

Question

Tell us about your favorite place in Pakistan.

Answer

Husain Haqqani: I was born and raised in Karachi and Karachi remains my favorite city. I did not grow up rich but enjoyed Karachi’s egalitarianism and cosmopolitanism at the time when I grew up. It is a city dominated by ethnic Muhajirs, like myself, but it speaks many languages, serves and eats many types of cuisines and is home to several different religions. I like diversity and Karachi is Pakistan’s most diverse city in every conceivable way.

Question

What are you reading right now?

Answer

Husain Haqqani: I am currently reading Matt Ridley’s ‘The Rational Optimist –How Prosperity Evolves.’ Ridley makes one realize how, notwithstanding the dominance of bad news in the media, life is getting better for most human beings around the world.

Product details

  • Publisher ‏ : ‎ HACHETTE (January 1, 2015)
  • Language ‏ : ‎ English
  • ISBN-10 ‏ : ‎ 8193237250
  • ISBN-13 ‏ : ‎ 978-8193237250
  • Item Weight ‏ : ‎ 4.9 ounces
  • Dimensions ‏ : ‎ 7.91 x 0.59 x 5.51 inches
  • Customer Reviews:
    4.3 out of 5 stars 110 ratings

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4.3 out of 5 stars
4.3 out of 5
110 global ratings

Top reviews from the United States

Reviewed in the United States on November 5, 2016
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Reviewed in the United States on August 11, 2016
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2.0 out of 5 stars A pathetic book, an expression of the lack of scholarship
By Qaisar Rashid, Dr on August 11, 2016
This is the third book of Husain Haqqani, Pakistan’s ex-ambassador to the US. The book in five chapters is without proper referencing, and is a hodgepodge of Haqqani’s views already published in various publications.

The first two chapters expose his lack of basic understanding of given issues. For instance, on page 24, chapter one, “We can either be more than friends or become more than enemies” Haqqani writes: “[I]t was argued that the boundary in Punjab had deliberately been drawn in a way that provided India access to Kashmir by land. Although Pakistan had played its cards poorly in securing accession of Kashmir, the loss of the Muslim-majority state was attributed to a British-Indian conspiracy rather than poor planning on the part of the Muslim League.” Here, Haqqani overlooks the fact that as per the June 3, 1947 plan, the partition was supposed to be governed by the matter of principle and not by the matter of shrewdness or manipulation done by any political party to grab as much area as possible.

By giving India road access to Kashmir, the Radcliffe Award published on August 17, 1947, violated the trust pinned on the committee, and hence cleared the path for India to take hold of Kashmir under whatever ruse. The story of India’s having the Instrument of Accession signed by Maharaja Hari Singh, the ruler of the princely state of Jammu and Kashmir, came weeks later that on October 26.

Similarly, on page 39, Haqqani writes that Indira Gandhi was “magnanimous at Shimla” with Pakistan by giving concessions through the Shimla Agreement 1972. Here, Haqqani evades the fact that the price of Gandhi’s magnanimity was the relegation of the Kashmir issue from an international standing to a bilateral spot, as articulated in the United Nation (UN) Resolution 1172 passed on June 6, 1998.

Similarly, on page 44, chapter two, “Kashmir is Pakistan’s jugular vein,” Haqqani writes: “Pakistanis speak about Jammu and Kashmir emotionally as a matter of right and wrong, not in the context of realpolitik.” Here Haqqani overlooks the fact that the then prime minister of India Jawaharlal Nehru made a pledge on November 2, 1947 with the people of Kashmir, and reiterated the same on December 31 to hold a plebiscite under an international neutral body to let them express their wishes freely about the future of their princely state. The primary thing for Kashmiris was the promise of Nehru, whereas what is written in the UN resolutions or in the Shimla agreement is of secondary importance. By reneging on the promise, India breached the trust of Kashmiris. This point made Kashmiris feel cheated, and this was how India lost credibility in the eyes of Kashmiris, a reason for frequent unrest in the Indian-held Kashmir. Instead of addressing Pakistanis, Haqqani should inform Kashmiris that they are the victim of India’s realpolitik, a system of politics that disregards morality.

The next two chapters of the book have more blatant contradictions. For instance, on page 73, chapter three, “We should use the nuclear bomb,” Haqqani writes: “India’s nuclear programme also originated not out of a regional rivalry, but from the argument that non-proliferation should be global.” However, on page 81, he contradicts his excuse: “In a letter to US President Bill Clinton, Vajpayee spoke only of China as the major threat to India and that was to secure US support, given US concerns about potential long-term rivalry with China in the Indo-Pacific region.” Interestingly, about Pakistan, on page 101, Haqqani writes: “Pakistan built nuclear weapons in its uncompromising quest for parity with India and in response to its fear psychosis about India wanting to undo Partition.” It is as if the matter of parity and any fear psychosis of India were absent in India’s response towards China.

On page 102, Haqqani gives a solution: “For its part, India has done little to reassure Pakistanis and to take away the justification for a nuclear arms race.” However, on the question if India can reassure Pakistanis to forgo the yearning for parity and shun fear psychosis, why China cannot reassure Indians the same, the book is silent.

Similarly, on page 111, chapter four, “Terrorism = Irregular Warfare,” Haqqani writes: “India’s role in helping Bangladesh win independence, including the role of R&AW, is well documented. Equally well documented is the ill-treatment of Bengalis by Pakistan’s Punjab-based leaders, which paved the way for plans by R&AW’s founding chief, Rameshwar Nath Kao, to train and equip the Bangladesh liberation army, the Mukti Bahini. The lesson to be learned from the Bangladesh war should have been to avoid creating disgruntled citizens who might become insurgents trained by a hostile neighbour.” However, on page 128, Haqqani states, “India could, but has so far been unable to, reach out to the Pakistani people and convince them that it does not seek Pakistan’s break-up and only seeks good neighbourly ties.”

Interestingly, on the one hand, Haqqani cites an example how India exploited the situation in East Pakistan to separate it from West Pakistan, while on the other, he asks India to placate (West) Pakistanis that India was not conspiring against Pakistan. Haqqani overlooks the fact that both Pakistan and India are composed of multi-ethnic and multi-linguistic populations that may get disgruntled on one reason or another in the post-partition phase. If a country exploits the discontented elements of its neighbour, a wrong precedent is established, as India set in 1971. However, on the question if Pakistan reciprocates in the same vein why Pakistan is accused of launching an irregular warfare, the book is silent.

On page 153, chapter five, “The space for friendship is shrinking,” Haqqani writes: “All nations have sovereign equality in international law but realpolitik demands acknowledgement of the difference of size between nations.” Throughout the book, Haqqani superimposes realpolitik on everything to justify India’s malevolence, and here he once again banks on the same to reveal that the criterion of fathoming a nation’s worth was in fact its size, the idea not known to the UK when it was offsetting Germany in Europe.

This is not the end of the story. Haqqani is of the view that the Kashmir issue is a symptom and not a cause of acerbic ties between Pakistan and India, as mentioned on page 46, where he writes: “At closer examination, Kashmir is not the cause of conflict between the two states but rather a symptom of it.” That with the departure of bitter causes, the Kashmir issue being a symptom would automatically dissipate. In other words, the solution to the Kashmir issue is not an essential prerequisite for forging normal ties with India.

To substantiate his stance, Haqqani gives two main causes that engendered the conflict. The first cause was the mass murder of refugees while crossing the borders of Punjab and Bengal. For instance, on page nine, hewrites: “[T]he communal riots accompanying Partition resulted in at least half a million deaths and 10-14.5 million refugees, Muslims move to Pakistan and Hindus and Sikhs to India... Those affected by the Partition violence in each country became a constituency for anger, bitterness and hostility towards the other. In Pakistan’s case that included most of its early political leaders, senior civil servants and many military officers.”

The second cause was India’s denying Pakistan the due share of assets. For instance, on page 17, Haqqani writes: “The Partition Plan of 3 June 1947 had given only seventy-two days for transition to Independence. But Pakistan, unlike India, did not have a functioning capital, central government or financial resources.” These were the two main causes that engendered bitterness, the expression of which was the Kashmir issue. Taken these two causes together, Haqqani has presumed that if the refugees had not suffered and the assets-delivery problem had not happened, bitterness in Pakistan against India would not have prevailed, and consequently, there would have been no Kashmir issue.

Interestingly, in this context of cause and effect relationship, on page 22, Haqqani negates a part of his own theory that the stoppage of the delivery of assets was the cause of the Kashmir conflict when he writes: “For some the dispute over Kashmir was a godsend. Patel, already unfavourably disposed to Pakistan, argued that Pakistan was now virtually at war with India and no country could be expected to arm or fund an adversary in the middle of war. This resulted in India withholding Pakistan’s share of assets located in India due to them under the Partition scheme.” That is, by blocking the delivery of due assets — after the Indian army landed in Kashmir on October 27 — India tried to stop Pakistan from or punish Pakistan for sending its army to Kashmir. However, Pakistan did not care about that.

This point alone shows that the Kashmir issue was not the symptom but the third cause on the list of sequential causes that contributed to the bitterness of partition. In fact, the first war Pakistan and India fought in 1947-1948 was on Kashmir, and not on the borders of Punjab and Bengal. Secondly, this war was fought on the land of Kashmir for Kashmir, after India invaded Kashmir, and not on the denial of assets. Thirdly, this war was not only the first Kashmir war between Pakistan and India but also the first Pak-India war on any issue. Fourthly, Pakistan fought this war despite being deprived of military assets and a decade before Pakistan joined defence alliances such as SEATO in 1954 and CENTO in 1955, which flooded Pakistan with weapons.

The transfer of the Kashmir issue from cause to symptom or effect is a deliberate attempt to reduce the importance and to attenuate the severity of the issue, the cost of which is being borne directly by Kashmiris living in the Indian-held Kashmir. The rationale for Haqqani’s such stance — the premise-conclusion relationship — can be understood when he delineates an itinerary for the issue’s resolution, as on page 61, he writes: “The experience of other countries embroiled in similar disputes indicates that the ‘friendship’ first approach works more effectively than ‘settlement first’.” This was a borrowed idea originally expounded by Professor Louis Kriesberg who invited attention of the world towards his theory of deescalation, which he propounded in the beginning of the post-Cold War era.

In 1991, on page 17 of the introduction chapter of his book, Timing the De-escalation of International Conflicts (co-ed with Stuart Thorson) Kriesberg writes: “The issues vary also in perceived importance — from vital to peripheral matters... It appears that in the long course of an international conflict relationship, effective de-escalation at the early stages of accommodation is achieved more often in peripheral issues than vital ones. Once some accommodative agreements have been reached, more significant ones can be attained ...Linkage among many issues seems to work better after the overall intensity of a conflict has been reduced.” That means that the effective approach to the resolution of intractable issues is to resolve peripheral issues before the central issue. Kriesberg’s theory was considered a prophetic solution to all international intractable conflicts. Subsequently, everyone started seeing the utility of his theory in their sphere of study or concern.

Interestingly, over the period of two decades, Kriesberg has improved his theory, which now calls for the necessary involvement of a third party (one or multiple) to mediate. In 2012, on page 215 of chapter eight of his book, Constructive Conflicts: From Escalation to Resolution (co-author Bruce W Dayton) Kriesberg writes: “Just a few decades ago mediation as a formal conflict management method was limited largely to labour-management relations. Today, mediation is applied across virtually all conflict domains... Mediation is a conflict management process whereby an outsider intervenes in a conflict to help the adversaries to negotiate an agreement themselves. Mediators are generally expected to help the adversaries construct a mutually acceptable agreement and to avoid being advocates for one side or one solution.” Hence, in his book, the mode recommended by Husain Haqqani to solve the Kashmir issue is two decades old, and hence is insufficient and inapplicable in today’s age. For its resolution, the Kashmir issue now necessarily needs a third party intervention.
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