- Series: Security and Professional Intelligence Education Series (Book 3)
- Paperback: 234 pages
- Publisher: Scarecrow Press; Revised edition (October 17, 2008)
- Language: English
- ISBN-10: 081086181X
- ISBN-13: 978-0810861817
- Product Dimensions: 6.1 x 0.6 x 9.1 inches
- Shipping Weight: 14.7 ounces (View shipping rates and policies)
- Average Customer Review: 10 customer reviews
Amazon Best Sellers Rank:
#665,419 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)
- #794 in Books > Education & Teaching > Schools & Teaching > Education Theory > Research
- #1102 in Books > Politics & Social Sciences > Politics & Government > Specific Topics > Intelligence & Espionage
- #1288 in Books > Politics & Social Sciences > Politics & Government > International & World Politics > Security
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An Introduction to Intelligence Research and Analysis (Security and Professional Intelligence Education Series) Revised Edition
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About the Author
Jerome Clauser is the author of several publications on intelligence education and training. His previous books include Voice of the United Nations Command: A description of a strategic radio broadcasting psychological operation; and An overview of collateral psychological operations in the Republic of Korea.
Jan Goldman is the author or editor of numerous articles and books on intelligence to include Ethics of Spying: A Reader for the Intelligence Professional, and Words of Intelligence: A Dictionary. He is the editor for Scarecrow Professional Intelligence Education Series.
Top customer reviews
This book will not turn you into a self-taught intelligence analyst. Being an introductory read, the material within isn't covered to great depth. However, this may be a good stepping stone to reading more advanced books on analysis (I'll have to follow up when I've read more books about intel).
P.S.: Toward the middle/end of the book, when it discusses descriptive/predictive techniques of intelligence analysts, it's helpful to have a basic understanding of probability and statistics. Some of the equations shown made my brain hurt a little, if only because I've never taken and finished a stats class.
4.75 stars: 0.25 stars deducted for a minor error in the example graphs (page 187 is supposed to show a graph depicting the intensional and extensional characteristics of missiles, but instead shows a population growth forecast previous featured on page 173).
This book reads so well that it almost feels like if it was not an educational material. The author has a great gift to present the topic clearly and briefly; even a thoroughbred would understand the point (ShyBoy's comment: Mustangs do not consider thoroughbreds the most intellectually gifted ponies, as they tend to shoot out without thinking). I would recommend this book to everyone who intends to write a more complex work based on any type of research, and make valid conclusions based on it. Lot of effort can get wasted, and conclusions can be flawed if the research is not done right. Systematic search of newly available information in various archives and consequent rigorous analysis of obtained information for studies in history would be a perfect example of use of this textbook outside the intelligence community.
The book is useful to anyone who has to deal with data sets and confirmation or disconfirmation of hypotheses. The basic rules relating to research, reasoning, data handling, bias, and intellectual honesty may seem obvious, but reminding of essential truths does no harm. The advice provided is very practical, based on experience and deep understanding of the mind of an average researcher (a curious geek). Some logical exercise is included in chapters which relate to basic concepts of intelligence analysis, introduction to quantitative statistical techniques, methodologies, and models.
The range of techniques presented in the part relating to prediction and forecasting is quite wide. It is interesting to see hard science methods used on social science and political intelligence. Valid predictions have got to be based on correctly conducted research and well formulated hypotheses. In other words, sloppy data collection and design flaws in analytic methods will only result in pointless conclusions which have no validity.
This book is an essential guide for everyone who is serious about meaningful intellectual work. The rules can be applied to any so-called soft science, from political science, to behavioral sciences and sociology, and most importantly, historical studies and biographies.