- Paperback: 352 pages
- Publisher: Basic Books; Reprint edition (October 1, 2000)
- Language: English
- ISBN-10: 0738203645
- ISBN-13: 978-0738203645
- Product Dimensions: 6 x 0.8 x 9 inches
- Shipping Weight: 1.1 pounds (View shipping rates and policies)
- Average Customer Review: 17 customer reviews
- Amazon Best Sellers Rank: #3,330,325 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)
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The Long Boom: A Vision For The Coming Age Of Prosperity Paperback – October 1, 2000
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Thanks to various technological, fiscal, and political revolutions that have reshaped our world over the past two decades, some observers believe, the new millennium will offer opportunities for economic expansion that rival any previously recorded. The Long Boom is a fascinating attempt to pin down this potential upsurge by combining a shrewd examination of where we've been headed for the last 20 years with a plausible forecast of where--with a bit of good fortune and tenacity--we might be going during the next 20. Moreover, its unique mixture of germane facts and figures with supportable projections and original storytelling techniques (most notably a letter to friends sent once a decade by a fictional observer born in 1960) make it as readable as it is provocative.
Originating as an article in Wired magazine, the optimistic scenario envisioned by authors Peter Schwartz (chairman of a combination think tank and consulting firm), Peter Leyden (a technology, economics, and political journalist), and Joel Hyatt (a Stanford entrepreneurship professor who cofounded the legal-services firm bearing his name) integrates existing and potential technological advancements, financial developments, political upheavals, and social movements. Among its predictions are a formulation of a "glass pipeline" that seamlessly tracks manufacturing and production processes, creation of a volunteer Global Corps to aid developing nations, the dawning of a true Space Age, and the birth of a unified worldwide society with "well-off people who share certain values that are transcending borders." The account is highly recommended to everyone concerned with, yet hopeful about, the future. --Howard Rothman --This text refers to an out of print or unavailable edition of this title.
From Publishers Weekly
Based on an article originally published in Wired, this book suffers from the expansion, as the authors have to keep finding ways of telling readers that things will be great in the near future. Schwartz is chairman of Global Business Network, a consulting firm; Leyden was managing editor of Wired; Hyatt teaches at the Stanford Graduate School of Business. Written with the same optimism about the economy as Dow 36,000 (Forecasts, Aug. 30), this sunny look at the future goes beyond the stock market to take an upbeat gander at the way we will live in the next century. To say that the authors are bullish is an understatement. Alternative energy sources, biotechnology and increased productivity figure prominently in their rosy scenarioAthe key to which is continued and extended economic growth in the developed world, which will trickle down to the developing world and create a global middle class. But in their zeal to describe how all parts of the world will participate in and benefit from the long boom, the authors make sweeping and potentially offensive generalizations: Asians, for example, while not good at "improvisation," are "extremely adept at mastering set courses and memorizingAfar better than" Westerners. The authors are on safer ground discussing technology, but their attitude toward this future is entirely passive. They give the impression that we will all sit back and marvel at the forthcoming human accomplishments, and that this will provide the chief pleasure in the future. Yet their vision is exciting, and the authors articulate it with the panache of Alvin TofflerAand the kind of wide-eyed confidence in the future that characterized the 1939 World's Fair. (Oct.)
Copyright 1999 Reed Business Information, Inc. --This text refers to an out of print or unavailable edition of this title.
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Top customer reviews
There are four Parts followed by an Afterword.
Part I Track the Inevitable (ie major developments in technology, economics and politics)
Part II The Politics of the Long Boom (ie how to overcome "looming political problems")
Part III The Engines of the Twenty-First Century (ie technologies which can help to preserve the environment)
Part IV Birth of a Global Civilization (ie creation of a new middle class amidst fundamental global changes)
In the forward-thinking Afterword, the authors reaffirm their faith in the almost unlimited potentialities of the Long Boom IF the human race can somehow avoid committing planetary suicide. They are emphatically NOT misty-eyed visionaries; on the contrary, they seem most comfortable when addressing harsh realities such as territorial "politics" which, if permitted, can result in the Long Whimper. Among their objectives is to provide "a starting point for an ongoing global conversation about how everyone can take advantage of the great potential of our era and create a better world." The observations shared are anchored in the real-world; the suggestions offered are practical and do-able. If for whatever reasons the human race is unwilling and/or unable to fulfill the promise of the Long Boom, who to blame? According to Pogo, "We have met the enemy and he is us." Schwartz, Leyden & Hyatt would perhaps reply, "OK but so what? There's still time. There's still hope. We have everything we need. Let's work together on a global basis. It won't be easy but we can do it. We really can."
How? This brilliant book answers that question. Better yet, it explains why.
Those whose minds and hearts are nourished by this book should also check out Natural Capitalism (Hawken, Lovins & Lovins) and Holding On to Reality (Borgmann) which address many of the same issues but from somewhat different perspectives.
I also liked the way the book was written. The letters written in current time and the documentary broadcast in the future looking back at the past 40 years added some very interesting perpectives.
The Long Boom should be required reading for everyone as it opens up a door to what is possible that most people don't consider in the narrow viewpoint of daily living.
By 2050, the world may come back and cite the book's authors as the forefathers of the course vision which attempts germination of harmonious global community convergence.
....establishes a practical mindset of vast scope political, social, economic, global inter-dynamics
...should be classified must read material at every worldwide higher learning institution, in the same manner that Ethics and Business Policy is required at every MBA program as capstone courses.
Very well repected Washington Kiplinger Editors offer similar book reporting similar trends in Global Business, Geo-politics and Technology.... ...."World Boom Ahead"....
...never expect a guarranty how mankind will advance globally......but plenty of room for thoughtful, practical blueprints and scenario planning.....
...offers very practical advice for world's business and political leaders....not intended to be a detailed roadmap for global destiny....
If for the first 50 years of the world's 21st century mankind aligns toward this course blueprint, then mankind has the opportunity to make up for the tragic first 50 years of the world's 20th century.
All need to read this book so as to know what policies to be demanding from their local, state, regional, federal politicians and business enterprise leaders.
Scott D. Barnette 37 yrs old Sr. Sales Director Hitachi Corporation