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Megadisasters: The Science of Predicting the Next Catastrophe Hardcover – November 8, 2009
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Top Customer Reviews
The book is written for the general public, and the reader does not need to have any particular training or experience in mathematics or science to follow the author's discussion. The book provides a basic introduction to the subject matter for readers who are not trained or experienced in mathematics or science. Anyone interested in a more detailed, technical discussion of mathematical models and scientific predictions of various phenomena should look elsewhere.
One example of a more technical discussion of mathematical models and scientific predictions is Prediction: Science, Decision Making, and the Future of Nature (Island Press, 1990), an anthology edited by Daniel Sarewitz; Roger A. Pielke, Jr.; and Radford Byerly, Jr.
The chaos that occurs with disasters prevents prediction now or in the future is discussed
The types of disasters listed include tsunamis,earthquakes,volcanoes,typhoons,climate change,cosmic impact and pandemics ( this is the poorist section and is not well described)
A useful insight into the uncontrolable workings of our planet.
The author is very intelligent and open-minded about science (verging on a veritable 'philosophy of science' angle) and he's been brave enough to have written another of his books on Fomenko (with whom he shares some of the same upper-level physics and mathematics expertise - namely differential equations and their use in celestial mechanics and optimization problems). Brave because doing so risked career suicide. No one is allowed to touch Fomenko. Period. This being said, Diacu seems very aware about methodological and experimental honesty or dishonesty issues - as is clear in the chapter on climate change - and the quite flexible borders between science and pseudo-science on both sides of the coin: those holy theorems overdue for revision and working hypotheses unduly held in distain. This is a brave quality in Diacu. He's a brave writer. Brings to mind Poincare's attitude toward both positivists and dogmatic realists. So many "scientists" are merely conventionalists (unquestioning of the dominate paradigm) who wear the badge of scientist yet lack the necessary loyalty to the true open-mindedness which makes science "Science". It is with this sort of sobriety that he takes a position of authority to say what has been only prematurely labeled as science when it comes to prediction and what is, really and truly, more cutting edge in the science of tsunamis, earthquakes, volcanoes, hurricanes, climate change, meteor impact, economic breakdown, and pandemics.Read more ›