That the climate debate has been sullied by the involvement of the fossil fuel industry is unfortunate. Naturally they don't want any restrictions. None of this should matter to the basic science.
Merchants of Doubt asserts that we've been tricked by the likes of conservative think tanks, who are opposed to government interventions, and the interests of the fossil fuel industry. I have no doubt that these groups are opposed to AGW on grounds other than the science. But there are scientists who disagree with the majority opinion. The film insinuates that there are fictitious names on the opposing "Oregon Petition," such as Dr. Charles Darwin and Michael J. Fox, but it doesn't go on to track down those signatories and prove this: it could very well be that we do have a contemporary Dr. Charles Darwin, for example.
But more than this, the film isn't about the science: it's about the supposed conspiracy against the science. We're told that the Climategate emails have been looked into ---"nothing much." Many would disagree with this and would argue that the Climategate emails reveal a close-knit group of scientists who are all-too-willing to attack the messenger rather than the arguments-- and this flaw is at the heart of the film as well. It consistently attacks the messengers of doubt, and not the reasons for that doubt.
What are the reasons for doubt? The film says nothing at all about the notorious hockey stick-- the graph produced by Michael Mann et al that showed 1998 as the warmest year in the last 1000 years. There's a good reason the film doesn't mention this: it's been thoroughly debunked. Here's the "trick" that Merchants of Doubt is playing on you: they are telling you that the science is settled, but they aren't telling you that in 2001 in the Third Assessment Report of the IPCC Mann's hockey stick played a central role, and that this graph was used to convince governments around the world that the planet was heating up faster now than in the past 1000 years, while in fact at that time there was contrary evidence showing a medieval period warmer than today, and this issue is still "unsettled." The 1990 IPCC Report also showed a medieval period warmer than today, and the Climategate emails tell us of the efforts to get rid of the medieval warm period-- notice they aren't looking for objective facts but they have an agenda, just as they did when Mann's hockey stick took central place despite contrary evidence and, more importantly, despite that the graph was never checked for accuracy. It turns out that there's no statistical basis for this graph: it should never have been used, and the story can be found by searching for "What is the hockey stick debate about?" by McKitrick. This is shoddy science at work; this is cherry picking evidence to suit the theory.
We hear about climate change and sea level rise and storms, but none of this is proof that CO2 is the cause. A study, "US Temperatures and Climate Factors since 1895" by D'Aleo has shown that natural weather patterns are more significant than CO2 and better explain the current climate.
Look at James Hansen's predictions about climate catastrophe: he's been largely wrong all along.
I believe we need to use fewer fossil fuels, and we need alternative energy. I don't agree with much of what the conservatives say but they are right that we should beware of an over-reaching government. CO2 is a greenhouse gas but maybe most people don't understand that most of the projected increase in temperature has to do with knock-on effects of an even more potent greenhouse gas: water vapor. Clouds. There are many variables involved so we don't know for sure if increased water vapor will cool or heat. What we really need to do now is look closely at the science and at the methods and activities of the IPCC; since so much is at stake, we need to make sure that the IPCC is correct and the science is correct. We need a rigorous audit of the IPCC, something that has never been done despite common belief that it's all rigorously peer reviewed. Here is an appropriate comment (in light of the film's analogies to card tricks) on the IPCC's workings by Ross McKitrick in "What is Wrong with the IPCC": "Simple card tricks often work by adding in steps that seem to make the outcome impossible, but which in reality have no effect. For example, if the card that needs to be revealed is known to be at the top of the deck, it is a simple matter to shuffle the deck repeatedly without changing the position of the top card. While it looks like the entire deck has been randomized, in reality the shuffle was neutralized with respect to the one card that matters.Drawing attention to the number and speed of shuffles adds to the effect, but is irrelevant. The analogy applies to the IPCC review process. At some stages the review process is open, rigorous and transparent, taking in a wide range of views. But there is a subsequent re-write under the control of a small group of Lead Authors that is not open and not subject to review."
The main argument against the greenhouse effect is that the IPCC science and projections have been biased, and there's good evidence for that. So are we getting the real story? The situation may be serious, but to me the more serious question is this: are we auditing the science as carefully as we should be? Let's do this first.
So see the movie, but with your eyes open.